The Pelle Neroth Taylor Show/The Pulse: an interview

Over the past couple of years, I have on occasion been interviewed by one end or another branch of the TNT radio network which appears to operate in both the UK and in Australia.  My latest rendez-vous with those folks was last week when I was given 30 minutes on the Pelle Neroth Taylor Show (The Pulse).

Our chat covered my new book War Diaries. The Russia-Ukraine War, 2022-2023 and how it complements other volumes dealing with the war such as Scott Horton’s Unprovoked. We discussed in particular what the failed peace negotiations of March-April 2022 should tell us about the chances of current peace talks in Istanbul succeeding. We discussed the reasons why Russia launched its Special Military Operation in February 2022 – both those that are best known, meaning the military strategic reasons, and those which were promoted most consistently to the Russian public, namely the obligation to defend their fellow Russian-speakers in the Donbas from an imminent invasion by Ukrainian armed forces that would have led to mass ethnic cleansing if not to outright genocide.  We also discussed in this interview the Bucha massacre that was a false flag operation engineered by MI6. And finally we talked about the recent revenge attacks by the Russians in response to terror and other provocations by the Ukrainians.

Transcript of News X interview, 6 June

Transcript submitted by a reader

NewsX: 0:00
Now we move on to Russia. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov warned that the US Golden Dome anti-missile system will militarize outer space and heightened global tensions. He called for international agreements to prevent an arms race in space, highlighting Russia’s push for a UN ban on space weapons deployment. Ukraine claims it struck two Russian airfields and fuel sites overnight in a major retaliatory operation. President Volodymyr Zelensky confirmed the strikes followed a massive Russian assault involving over 400 drones and 40 missiles.

Zelensky also called on Western allies to act decisively and ramp up pressure on Moscow. He warned that failing to respond promptly would encourage further escalation. Zelensky said Russia must feel the cost of terror. “We need more air defense, long-range capabilities and firm decisions from partners.” He stressed that delayed action only strengthens the enemy and urged the West to speed up weapons deliveries and sanctions.

1:06
Russia claims it intercepted several Ukrainian drones. Moscow also says ties with Washington are in ruins, diminishing hopes to renew the New START nuclear treaty. Meanwhile, the EU is weighing whether to add Russia to its money-laundering gray list, a move that would increase financial pressure on Moscow. Meanwhile, the EU says a new trade deal with Ukraine could be struck by summer, which sugar quotas set to rise sharply under the proposed agreement. Pre-war trade rules will resume from Friday as temporary exemptions expire, but talks are underway to reach a balanced long-term agreement.

NewsX: 1:49
Now we have guest Gilbert Doctorow. He’s a Russian affairs expert joining us live from Brussels, Belgium. Thank you for joining us today. Is there a risk that outer space could become the next frontier of the arms race between superpowers?

Gilbert Doctorow, PhD:
I don’t think that risk is going to be very great. The Russian complaint over US plans for using space, these complaints are supported by many other countries. And the whole project, it’s a very expensive, “Golden Dome” project, is unlikely to be realized. It is a talking point for Mr. Trump, and I don’t think much more.

NewsX: 2:35
And according to how does Russia view the EU’s plans to deepen trade ties with Ukraine in the midst of this war?

Doctorow:
Well, whether they deepen them or don’t deepen them, I don’t think makes much difference to Moscow. Moscow was interested in the military and financial aid from the European Union and from NATO to Kiev. And that, despite all the fine words coming out of Western Europe, is unlikely to happen, simply because the money isn’t there and the war materiel isn’t there to give to Kiev. Moreover, all European leaders have their eyes on Washington, where they expect Mr. Trump to leave the field to them and to withdraw American assistance.

NewsX:
And following up on that, how does Russia respond to Western concerns that Moscow itself is testing space-based military technology?

Doctorow:
Well, the Russians will not really comment on that. So there is not, there is not much material for me to use to answer your question. They, of course the Russians are prepared to enter that sphere if necessary. It is not a matter of immediate concern. This project will take years to realize, and there’ll be many changes in relationships between the United States, Russia, and other major powers while these tentative developments are occurring. So it’s not an urgent issue that bears on the present very strained relationships in global affairs.

NewsX: 4:19
And is there any room left for de-escalation, when both sides are striking deep into each other’s territory?

Doctorow:
Well, both sides striking deep — the Ukrainian side striking deep is striking locally. That’s to say they’re not striking from Ukraine. And that is hard to repeat. This project that was so stunning last weekend, their Operation Spiderweb, took 18 months from conception through final implementation. I doubt that there are many reserves of Ukrainian drones on Russian territory to deploy to use in the near future. So I think this is a one-way street. The Russians have every capability of striking deep with missiles, with drones, and so forth. The Ukrainians don’t.

5:13
Nonetheless, the situation that was created by the strike on Russian air bases last weekend is of major international concern, because of one other item in the news that you mentioned in passing, that the Russians are saying it’s unlikely they will be a renewal of the New START arms limitation treaty. The reason for that is precisely what happened last weekend. The United States, no doubt, was a party to the planning of the strike that eventually took place last weekend, going back into the middle of Joe Biden’s term in office. And this was, this meant that the United States was in direct violation, egregious violation of its basic obligations under that treaty. The treaty, as you know, obliged the Russians to leave their aircraft, their strike, their nuclear triad strike aircraft exposed on the tarmac so that they could be watched from space and counted to see that the terms of the agreement were being honored.

6:21
That was used by the Ukrainians, of course with the help and connivance of the British and the Americans, to strike, to try to destroy those very bombers. That cannot pass as a basis for any further talks. And therefore, we’ve heard from Moscow remarks that you commented upon and you delivered to the audience a few minutes ago.

NewsX:
And with that in mind, on US-Russia relations and nuclear tensions, Moscow says ties with Washington are in ruins. Who is responsible for this collapse in dialogue, according to you?

Doctorow:
The United States, because the Russians never cut their relations. I mean, the Russians never cut their relations. They were on the receiving end of America’s attempts under Joe Biden to isolate Russia and to make it a pariah state. Therefore, any Russian acts curbing diplomatic presence, making it difficult for citizens to get visas to Russia, these were all a Russian reaction. And indeed, it has to be said that the Russians went out of their way to maintain relations, people-to-people relations, even as the United States did everything possible to cut every variety of ties.

7:44
What I mean is that seeing that diplomatic core of each of these powers in the other country was curtailed to an extent where visa issuance became problematic, the Russians reopened the channel of electronic visa issuance on the internet, making it possible for Americans to travel, one could say freely, to Russia. So for the Russian side, they have to a limited extent tried to maintain ties, while the United States did everything possible to cut ties.

NewsX:
And that explanation raises a critical follow-up. Is there any hope for reviewing the New START Treaty, or is arms control now dead between Russia and the U.S.?

Doctorow:
Well, this is a major point that I’ve been trying to make and introduce with various broadcasters and I find myself regrettably pretty much alone in making this point.

Everyone has called attention to the dramatic damage done to various Russian bombers. Yes, that was of course striking, but the biggest damage was precisely to the whole concept of arms limitation. The United States, as the other power, the other partner in such treaties violates them in the most cynical way as it did clearly by facilitating the launch of Operation Spiderweb 18 months ago, then there’s no sense whatsoever for the Russians to enter into arms limitation talks with the Americans. They are not an honest partner whose word is worth anything. That is very sad, because arms limitation talks are much more than reducing the numbers of warheads or putting caps on the numbers of arms that each country has.

9:42
They are a process. That is, not the negotiation, but the final treaties, are a process of dialogue between the countries that maintain something resembling trust. And if there are no agreements in place, then there is zero trust between the parties, and we are very close to possibly terrible consequences of mistakes, of erroneous identification of coming, of in-bound strikes, nuclear weapon strikes, where each party follows the rule of “fire at once upon suspected incoming missiles” because you use them or you lose them. That is a very dangerous situation today, all the more so considering that the time from pushing a button to launch to its reaching its target has descended from the traditional 1960s 1970s Cold War scenario of 30 minutes to something like five minutes. So the lack of trust is a fatal risk to all of us.

NewsX: 10:52
Yes indeed, and thank you very much for sharing that insight and joining us, Gilbert Doctorow. He’s a Russian affairs expert. He joined us from Brussels, Belgium. Now we move on to our next story.

NewsX (India): Russian Official Warns US Golden Dome Space Weapon Escalates Tensions

I recommend this 10-minute video to the Community, because it focused on the issue of arms control treaties and how the chances of their renewal have been deeply compromised by American participation in the planning for Ukraine’s drone attack a week ago on Russian nuclear triad bombers parked on the tarmac of several air bases.

As I say here, the importance of New SALT and other such agreements is less in the caps they place on offensive strategic weapons systems of the parties to the agreement than in the process of constant expert visits and dialogue stipulated by such treaties which builds trust between the signatories.  Without treaties, without constant consultations, there is zero trust, and consequently there is a high likelihood that erroneous detection of incoming missiles from the enemy side will lead to immediate launch of a counter strike. Such an eventuality is all the more foreseeable given that the time from launch to target has been reduced in recent years from the traditional 30 minutes for ICBMs to just 5 minutes for the short and intermediate range missiles that both sides are now relying heavily upon. That by itself is the strongest possible argument for reinstatement of the respective separate treaty on these missiles, or, what is more important, for holding negotiations to cancel planned deployment of such missiles in Germany by the USA and planned further forward positioning of such missiles to the West by Moscow.

Larry Johnson and Ray McGovern on ‘Judging Freedom,’ 6 June 2025

Larry Johnson and Ray McGovern on ‘Judging Freedom,’ 6 June 2025

It is not my custom to post links to the video interviews of peers, but I will make an exception for yesterday evening’s ‘Judging Freedom’ Intel Roundup with ex-CIA analysts Larry Johnson and Ray McGovern. The show raises many more questions than it answers and provides stimulating food for thought to fill free moments this weekend. This is so because in what is a rare instance on these programs the two interviewees are in disagreement about most every question tossed to them by Judge Napolitano. That leaves a lot of room for the audience to work the angles and try to come to an independent determination.

See  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZrKNU9PUesk

                                                           *****

I use the opportunity to put into the mix some of my own conclusions below relative to the questions posed by Napolitano. But first I note that, in general, I am cautious about expressing my differences with any of my peers. One reason is that some readers think that the Opposition to U.S. foreign policy should be totally aligned, should express solidarity and not show fault lines.  I strongly disagree, saying that solidarity behind wrong-headed analyses demonstrates weakness, not strength. But more importantly because when you spend time looking laterally at what others are doing and saying, you are not looking forward and being constructive.  I stopped reading the political scientists published by Foreign Affairs magazine a decade ago when I understood that critiquing their Neocon-inspired essays did not spread light, only rancor. 

With that waiver behind me, I proceed below to share some thoughts on the ‘Judging Freedom’ edition of Intel Roundup yesterday.

The dispute between Larry and Ray over whose sources in and out of Russia are more reliable in reading Russian thinking was a draw.

I agree with Larry Johnson that the airbase attack was not a pinprick and that Putin did not mention it in his address because it is all too embarrassing.  And yes, the Russian response is still coming, as Ray says.

But there are other aspects of all this that were not discussed.  The terror attacks on the trains were a much bigger issue than Larry Johnson thinks.  His recalling the Crocus massacre a year ago is wrong. Yes, 145 deaths then trump the 7 deaths in the Bryansk train wreck last weekend.   But how many Crocus entertainment centers are there in Russia?  Answer:  one, two, a half dozen perhaps.  How many railway tracks and bridges are there to blow up? The answer is thousands and thousands.  The Russian news a day ago showed the latest sabotage of various rail lines for the sake of derailment.   Russians travel the trains in hundreds of thousands or millions every day and there are a lot of very worried Russians now when they buy train tickets for their summer vacation.

The missile and drone attacks on Kiev and on every major city across Ukraine in the past couple of days IS NOT an appropriate Russian response to any of this.  It is only more of the same targeting arms production research centers and production facilities.  We see how effective they are: it is just sweeping back the tide.

My own guesstimate is that Putin will continue to go slowly, slowly and the level of anger in the broad Russian population will mount.

I never was in accord with Paul Craig Roberts that Vladimir Putin’s reasonable, sage and humane approach to the war with Ukraine is leading to ever more escalation and taking us precisely where Putin does not want to go, namely to a global nuclear war. I never was in agreement with Sergei Karaganov that Russia must stage a devastating strike in Western Europe to puncture the bubble of condescension and scorn for Russia’s supposed weakness and bring the European leaders to their senses.

However, I am becoming much more sympathetic to both of these positions day by day. We have already lost prospects for renewed arms negotiations talks thanks to the airbase attacks.

You cannot watch every kilometer of rail track or rail bridges across Russia to ensure the security of Russian citizens. The only solution, now that Putin has identified the Kiev regime as a terrorist state, is to destroy the decision-making centers, starting with Mr. Budanov and his whole team of terror planners and operatives in downtown Kiev. One Oreshnik hypersonic missile can do that.  Will Mr. Putin do what has to be done, or not?

©Gilbert Doctorow, 2025

Transcript of ‘Judging Freedom,’ 5 June edition

Transcript submitted by a reader

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-lfHFpd7yk0

Napolitano: 0:32
Hi everyone, Judge Andrew Napolitano here for “Judging Freedom”. Today is Thursday, June 5th, 2025. Professor Gilbert Doctorow will be here with us in just a moment. What kind of pressure is there on President Putin to respond to the Western drone attacks decisively? Is it coming from the ordinary folks, from the elites, or from his inner circle?

0:58
But first this. [commercial message]

Napolitano: 2:28
Professor Doctorow, good day to you, my friend, and thank you for joining us. Thank you for accommodating my schedule. According to the readout of the Russian Foreign Ministry, or put out by the Russian Foreign Ministry, of the telephone call between President Putin and President Trump, President Trump told President Putin, the United States had no knowledge of the drone attack.

So let’s analyze the significance of whether this is credible, it clearly isn’t. How the Russians react when the President of the United States says something like this, and does Donald Trump have control over his own intel apparatus? What is your initial response to such a statement made by Trump to Putin?

Doctorow: 3:18
Well, I’d like to call attention to the time it took him to say that.

Napolitano:
Yes.

Doctorow:
Not to read it over the phone, but why it took him two days to come forward and make a statement. And this was a question that was put to me by an Indian television station yesterday. And I tossed back, why did it take Putin so long to say anything about it also? I think both sides were checking to see who was involved in this attack. And I doubt that Trump would have dared to call Putin until he was personally satisfied that there was no way of pinning this on the United States during his time in office, which is critical.

4:04
That the United States was involved previously is a hundred percent certain, that this goes back 18 months when Joe Biden was still in the saddle, so to speak. Or anyway, his facilitators, his so-called subordinates, Jake Sullivan and Tony Blinken, were surely in cahoots with the Brits and with Kiev about staging this attack. But they weren’t in office when it took place. And I think Trump wanted to be certain that no one had subverted his intentions. There had been no rogue attack, no rogue participation in the people under him in this previously planned attack. Because it would be deadly to take this up with Putin if Putin had the goods on him and would point a finger.

4:56
Well, he was satisfied obviously that the United States was not involved in the implementation of a program which it had helped to hatch 18 months ago. As for Mr. Putin, clearly he also was in no rush to talk about this until he understood who were the likely responsible people for it happening. But Trump did call, and I think that is very important to weigh in on the discussions that the airwaves are filled with on various programs, including your own. Is there rogue activity in the United States? Is the government really following Mr. Trump’s dictates? Is there still a deep state? My personal position is there isn’t a deep state. Not that as it was before.

Napolitano:
Say again, because I didn’t hear you. Is or is not?

Doctorow:
Is not. There isn’t a deep state after Mr. Trump threw 40,000 people out on the street. Closing of USAID, I think, was a stake through the heart of the Dracula. And the State Department’s being purged now, about which the “New York Times” and the “Financial Times” are busy bleating to their audience.

Napolitano: 6:16
Well, does the Kremlin believe that American intel and security services operate outside of legal controls? Do they believe that Trump truly didn’t know what the CIA, under Biden, had concocted, and that the CIA had washed its hands of it under Gabbard and Ratcliffe?

Doctorow:
Well, I think they assumed that he knew that such a plan existed, which would be a safe guess. Although not necessarily the case. If it was no longer operative, if the people who had been in charge of it were out now out on the street, then why bother to inform him about something that no longer was operative? So it is conceivable that he didn’t know. As to the Kremlin, I think they’re concerned precisely to identify were his people still involved in this affair.

7:12
Nonetheless, the time– this occurred on his watch, and the issues that are far-reaching that almost nobody’s addressing remain. The issue I want to highlight is what this says about the prospects for any renewal of any arms limitations.

Napolitano:
Yes, that’s a profound statement. And I would argue, Professor, that it is bigger than that. I mean, this may disrupt not only arms negotiation, but the reset, the commercial reset that Trump said he wanted to do. Before we go a little further, here’s President Putin yesterday in his most definitive response. Chris, cut number one.

Putin: [English voice over]
It was a deliberate strike. And it only confirms our suspicions that the illegitimate regime in Kiev that came to power through a coup is now being reborn as a terrorist organization, and its sponsors become supporters of terrorism. At the same time, they’re asking for a ceasefire. They’re asking for top-level meetings.

But how can we organize such meetings when something like this is happening? What is there to talk about? How can we negotiate with those who are resorting to terrorism? And why should we reward them with a cessation in hostilities, allowing them to receive additional weapons to continue their mobilization and to prepare for more terrorist attacks like those in the Bryansk and Kursk regions?

Napolitano: 8:58
How do you read that?

Doctorow:
Well, you just… the last two words are the key to understanding what he was saying. If you didn’t hear those, you would think he was talking about the attack on the air base. This has been big discussion in the media, on YouTube in the last couple of days about was the attack on those air bases a terror attack or was it a legitimate military attack? I’m in the group that says it was a legitimate military attack. And Mr. Putin deliberately did not speak about that when he went to the nation. He spoke only about the attacks in Kursk and Bryansk which are terrorist attacks.

Napolitano:
Well, the attack on the bridge and the train were a terrorist attack. I agree with you. An attack on military aircraft deliberately left out in the open in order to comply with a SALT treaty known to Western intel and probably to Ukrainian intel is a valid, legitimate, lawful military target.

Doctorow:
It is a way to kill all treaties or future treaties on weapons limitations.

Napolitano:
Right.

Doctorow:
But it is– now I want to call attention to something that nobody is talking about, but it has to do with exactly the telephone call that Trump made and as he explained to the public. He said that he understood that Mr. Putin has to respond to this attack. So he’s expecting a retaliation. That was a statement which probably did not win too many friends in the States.

Napolitano:
All right, let me just stop you and read what we have on the screen, which is the guts of what you’re talking about. So this is Trump’s statement on Truth Social, referring to his conversation with President Putin.

Quote: “It was a good conversation, but not a conversation that would lead to immediate peace. President Putin did say, and very strongly, that he will have to respond to the recent attack on the airfields.” Close quote.

That’s yesterday. Please continue, Professor Doctorow.

Doctorow: 11:04
That’s the first extremely important part of what Trump said. The second part, which I think is equally important, I don’t hear a word about. Trump said that he discussed with Putin the negotiations for limiting uranium enrichment in Iran, the negotiations that are ongoing.

It’s the first time I’ve heard Trump talk about that. And it is highly important. Why? This is a dog whistle to Mr. Trump’s allies in the Zionist group on both parties in Capitol Hill. He’s saying “Look you don’t like very much my being nice to Mr. Putin and the Russians, but the Russians are with us. We’re aligned completely on keeping the Iranians away from nuclear weapons. And so—

Napolitano:
Ah, but allowing them … a sufficient level of enrichment for domestic civilian purposes.

Doctorow:
Well, with or without that qualification, the point is that Witkoff, when he made his first trip to deal with the negotiators from Iran, I think it was Oman, I can’t quite recall which of the Arab states he was in.

Nonetheless, on his way there, he stopped off unexpectedly and without prior agreement in St. Petersburg. He stopped off for maybe four to six hours on his way to the Middle East. And why did he do that? It wasn’t to update the talks on peace negotiations in Ukraine, it was to discuss precisely how to handle the Iranians during the talks he was about to have.

12:47
But we didn’t hear about that. And Mr. Trump said nothing about it. The first time that he’s acknowledging that Russia can be useful, is useful, to the United States in his dealings with Iran was yesterday. And it was precisely to strengthen his hand with the pro-Zionist members of Congress while he’s walking through a minefield in dealing with Mr. Putin and dealing with his tax bill and the rest of it.

Napolitano: 13:18
Right, right. Let’s get back to the attacks and President Putin’s likely response. What is the reaction as you’re able to put your finger on the pulse of Russian elites? What is the reaction of Russians in the streets? What is the reaction, if there is any public knowledge of this, of his inner circle?

Doctorrow:
Well, I’ll start with the last, well, next to last. His inner circle will support him in all events. They will smile through gritted teeth as they did the evening before the launch of the special military operation. He had all of his top people there to sign on for responsibility for what he was about to do. They weren’t happy about it.

I think the situation today is that they also are probably going to smile through gritted teeth, that is his inner circle. But what about the broad public? The table talk across Russia as people break bread, I think will be highly critical to Putin.

I don’t think the Russians are the least bit happy with these whole series of attacks. It’s more than just the headline attack on the air bases. There’s also a general who was blown up in Moscow, as I understand, yesterday. There was an attack on some bridge in Moscow. There was, of course, the attack, the attempt to blow up, with several thousand pounds of explosives to blow up the Kerch Bridge in the last few days.

14:46
And, of course, there was murderous attacks on civilian trains in Bryansk and Kursk. So the Russians have had a lot to discuss over the table in their kitchen talk, and I don’t suppose that any of it was favorable to Mr. Putin and his go-slowly approach.

Napolitano: 15:08
What do you expect President Putin to do?

Doctorow:
Well, he won’t satisfy the hardliners. That’s a hundred percent sure. Whether he will satisfy the general grumbling that surely is going on, as I say, at breakfast and dinner tables across Russia, that remains to be seen. I don’t imagine that he’s going to depart from his slowly, slowly approach, which will leave a lot of the broad public questioning and unhappy. But we’ll see. As I’ve mentioned elsewhere, this week, peculiarly, all the Russian ambassadors from around the world, as far as I understand, have been called back to Russia for consultations or to give them a briefing on what to expect next.

Napolitano:
Well, that’s pretty dramatic, isn’t it?

Doctorow:
I can’t be sure. There are annual meetings between Mr. Lavrov and his worldwide ambassadors, at which Mr. Putin generally comes.

But I’m not sure the timing is peculiar. It’s inconvenient for the ambassadors because they were called on very short notice, which suggests that this meeting is indeed linked to what happened last weekend, and it’s coming before the days when Russia celebrates its equivalent of 4th of July, which is the 9th of June. And these ambassadors are supposed to be at their posts officiating at the celebrations of Russia’s National Day. So it’s inconvenient for them in every way to have been called to Moscow right now.

Napolitano: 16:45
I want to get back and press you on who is responsible for this. Does the Kremlin believe, not you, do you think the Kremlin believes that the American deep state operates outside the lawful controls of authority?

Doctorow:
I don’t think they believe that. But I can’t say with my hand on my heart that’s a hundred percent certain. I think they give Trump the benefit of the doubt. They know that he’s struggling with a lot of resistance, and they’re very sympathetic to that cause, because it concerns them directly.

If he fails, then their chances for accommodation with the States go down with him. But I think they believe that he has the upper hand presently. But that is only a guess.

Napolitano: 17:37
Yeah, I am not a fan, and I don’t think you are, of General Kellogg. He’s an old-fashioned neocon that wants this war to keep going.

But even _he_ warned of the dangers of what happened the other day. And who knows why he said it? I’ll play the clip in a minute, maybe to wash his hands of his colleagues involvement, maybe because he honestly believes it. But here he is on Fox News on June 3rd, warning about an unacceptable level of risk. Chris, cut number six.
——–

Kellogg: 18:13
Each age has its own style of warfare. And we’re seeing our drone warfare and we’re going to have to adapt to that, look at that. And it’s not so much the damage done on the bombers, which was what you call the Bear in the NATO terms, we call them Bear and Blackjack, Because the 22s, the Tupolov 22s, those are the swept-wing ones.

And they’re all nuclear capable. But any time you attack the Triad, it’s not so much the damage you do on the Triad itself, like the delivery vehicles, the bombers, but it’s the psychological impact you have. And it shows that–

Fox News:
Well, that was a huge embarrassment to people.

Kellogg:
Well, and I think what it showed, it showed that, you know, Ukraine is not lying down on this. Ukraine is basically this, you know, “we can play this game too,” And they can raise the risk level to levels that are basically to me, they’ve got to be unacceptable.
——–

Napolitano:
I think, as you pointed out in the statement from President Putin, the last two words are the most important. I would argue that the last word he used, “unacceptable”, referring to the level of risk induced by this, is the most important of what he said. Were you surprised to hear him say that?

Doctorow:
I think he wants to stay in government a bit longer.

Napolitano:
Spoken like a person who truly understands American politics. I mean, I don’t know why he’s there unless Trump just likes to have a warmonger, a Lindsey Graham type whispering in his ear. The Russians don’t pay him much mind. What do the Russians think of Witkoff? A nice guy, a smart guy, a good negotiator, but a babe in the woods compared to the Russian negotiators?

Doctorow:
I don’t think they look at him in that perspective. Their major concern is how well he is received by Mr. Trump and to what extent he is the voice and to the brains of Mr. Trump in the affairs that are of interest to the Russians. As to Kellogg, they dismiss him entirely.

But Witkoff, I think they respect him. Of course they know that he’s a business– that he’s a realtor and he’s not a professional diplomat. But in so far as he is the confidant of Donald Trump, they necessarily take him seriously.

Napolitano: 20:32
While we are talking, Professor Doctorow, the chat room, the people that comment, which often for you numbers into the thousands, are responding to a poll that Chris posted. And we’ll give you the results in a few minutes.

You’ll find this question intriguing. “Did Trump know in advance of the Ukrainian drone strike?” This is the opinion of those who regularly watch this show and who particularly watch it when you are the guest. If the United States and Great Britain and other NATO forces, probably the Germans, were behind this, then the United States, Great Britain, and Germany are legitimate military targets for the Russians. Is that not so?

Doctorow: 21:21
Well, they’ve been, with the exception of the Germans, the others have been legitimate targets in so far as almost a year ago. Vladimir Putin identified the United States as a co-belligerent. They didn’t press the point. They did not declare war, which was possible considering what Putin just said, that none of the attacks with the missile supplied by the United States or supplied by France and England could have struck any targets without all of the programming and satellite intelligence having been provided by the United States and its close allies. So the possibility of considering the United States at war with Russia has existed for most of the year.

Napolitano:
Did you just acknowledge that these drones could not have been effectively employed without American satellite know-how?

Doctorow:
No, no, I was not talking about drones. I was talking precisely about guided missiles, cruise missiles, the long-range attack weapons that the United States, France, and Britain have supplied to Ukraine. They are highly sophisticated, and they require all that you have mentioned. The drones are a different story.

22:46
Look, the targeting used by, for the missiles, has to be up to the minute. Things move. Air bases don’t move. Planes that are visible for purposes of the new SALT agreement, they are stable, they’re in place. Therefore, I don’t think the Ukrainians would have needed real-time satellite information for targeting these planes using their drones. Moreover, the drones themselves are guided by reconnaissance drones.

Coming back to this whole question of the value of highly sophisticated satellite reconnaissance, the Russians are doing without it. The Russians campaign in the Donbass is almost all done by reconnaissance drones. They work in parallel with the kamikaze drones.

Napolitano:
Right. Let me get– and we have a result on the poll which I’ll reveal in a few moments, but let me get back to who knew what when. If John Ratcliffe, the director of CIA and if Tulsi Gabbard, his boss, the director of national intelligence did not know that this was happening, wouldn’t that be gross incompetence on their part?

Doctorow:
No, not know that it was happening when it happened.

Napolitano:
I don’t mean when it happened, but that it was going to happen.

Doctorow: 24:20
Not, well, not necessarily. The people who knew that were probably on the street when these people came into office.

Napolitano:
When you say on the street, you mean they were by then ex-CIA officials who no longer chose to or were no longer permitted to work in the Trump administration?

Doctorow:
Precisely that.

Napolitano:
Okay. All right.

Doctorow:
So the continuity is not clear.

Napolitano:
I don’t know where this is going to go. It’s almost inconceivable to me that American intel didn’t know. How badly did Russian intel drop the ball and will heads roll there? How could Russian intel not have known this was coming? The trucks were moved into Russia. The drones were dismantled in Russia. The collapsible roofs on the trucks occurred in Russia. The drones were fired from Russia.

Doctorow: 25:13
I agree completely with your emphasis on this issue as being a sign of weakness within the Russian intelligence. But let’s go back to the very start of this war. The Russians assumed that launching the special military operation, it would be over in a week. The Americans, the Brits and everyone else who was feeding the press after the 23rd, 24th of February were saying it would take two or three days. The Russians are after all, amassed at the Belarus-Ukrainian border, what is it, 60 miles to Kiev? It’ll be over fast.

They assumed that the Ukrainian army would act out of national interests and would not follow the orders of a neo-Nazi regime that was imposed on the country and that held the government by the throat. They thought the army would behave patriotically and not subject to rule by Zelensky. Were they right? They were dead wrong. And this is the most peculiar thing to understand, given that everyone speaks about Mr. Putin as having been a KGB operative, having been a master at intelligence, what the hell happened to Russian military intelligence? It had serious failures.

Napolitano: 26:46
I guess heads will roll.

Here’s the result of the poll. No surprise. So about, just under a thousand people responded. Did Trump know in advance of the Ukraine drone strike? Yes, 77%. No, 22%. I don’t know if that’s a fair, I mean, our audience is international, as you know, so I haven’t seen any polls here, I haven’t seen any political reaction here, but I just, as you can tell, I am skeptical about senior national security people around Trump being totally ignorant of it.

They may have kept him ignorant of it so he could legitimately say to Putin that he didn’t know, But it’s hard for me to believe that no one in the American government knew that something of this magnitude was about to take place.

Doctorow:
Well, they wouldn’t have known that it would succeed. They wouldn’t have known that the Russians had been so lax in security. There was reason to believe that it could fail. And at least one of these bases that was attacked, it did fail.

So I don’t see why they would rush to tell Mr. Trump about Operation Spiderweb when its date for implementation was not known, when its chances of success were not known, and when it was assumed that America no longer had a hand in it.

Napolitano: 28:16
Well, do you agree with Colonel McGregor, who called this a PR stunt, Operation Spiderweb?

Doctorow:
The whole Ukrainian government for three years has been one PR operation, to the great detriment of their loyal military officers and soldiers. Everything that Zelensky has done has sacrificed men for the sake of PR, so that he could squeeze more money out of the Western supporters.

So if this was a PR event, it’s purely continuation of the whole nature of the operation within Kiev.

Napolitano:
Thank you, Professor Doctorow. A great interview. Very informative. I so appreciate your analysis, whether you’re consistent with our other guests or not. It’s a pleasure to be able to chat with you. Thank you for your time. We’ll look forward to seeing you next week.

Doctorow:
Well, very kind of you. Bye bye.

Napolitano:
Bye bye. We have a busy day coming up. At 11 o’clock this morning — he’s been texting us since, well, for a couple of hours now — Scott Ritter; at two this afternoon, Max Blumenthal; at three this afternoon, Professor John Mearsheimer; at four this afternoon, Colonel Lawrence Wilkerson; at 4.30 this afternoon — I don’t know where he is on the planet, but he’s coming to us — Pepe Escobar.

29:33
Judge Napolitano for “Judging Freedom”.

‘Judging Freedom,’ 5 June edition: The Pressure on President Putin

This was a very good, well-rounded discussion of the telephone call between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin, beginning with why it took so long after the Ukrainian drone attack on Russian air bases for the American President to place this call.  My interpretation is that Trump had his people check very carefully whether there was any American involvement in the actual execution of the attack.  He certainly would not have dared to phone Putin if there were a chance that the CIA or any other U.S. agency had facilitated the execution. And I maintain that American intelligence did not inform the president about Operation Spiderweb ahead of the attacks because they were satisfied that there was no current American participation, that they did not know when it might be staged, and that no one could know if the operation would be successful.

In our chat, I called attention to the two elements in Trump’s social media statement about his phone conversation:  the first, that he heard Putin say there would be a revenge attack on Ukraine, which he personally did not disagree with; and the second, that he had discussed with the Russian leader the ongoing negotiations with Iran over uranium enrichment and was satisfied that Putin also does not want Iran to produce nuclear arms.  The latter point, largely ignored by online commentators in the West, was a ‘dog whistle’ to Trump’s Zionist supporters on Capitol Hill, reminding them of the sound reasons for having good relations with Moscow.

Of course, our discussion also took in other related points which will be clear from the Transcript which I will post here within the coming 24 hours.

Transcript of WION interview, 4 June

Transcript submitted by a reader

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x4DCzMfqhzA

WION: 0:00
The American President Donald Trump is yet to issue a public comment on Ukraine’s 1st of June Spiderweb operation, which targeted billions of dollars worth of Russian nuclear-capable fighter jets that were stationed at bases across the country. This, even as his social media activity has significantly increased over the days. In the past couple of days, Trump has in fact posted about a gamut of different issues on his Truth Social network, from his relationship with the Chinese President Xi Jinping to Poland’s elections, but there’s not been one word on the Russia-Ukraine war. The White House press secretary Caroline Leavitt has confirmed in a briefing on Tuesday that he was not informed in advance about Operation Spiderweb.
——–

Reporter:
Was President Trump informed in advance by Ukraine that the attack is coming?

Leavitt:
He was not.
——–

WION: 0:52
Now the American President Donald Trump is in fact on an online posting frenzy. He’s been posting on the internet at a much faster rate than what he did in his first term. As of the 1st of June, Trump had posted about 2,262 times in his company’s social network Truth Social in the 132 days since his inauguration. And this is according to a Washington Post analysis, [and now] this is more than three times the number of tweets that he had put out during the same period in his first presidency.

Now, during his first term, Trump had used Twitter, but his account was blocked by the network’s administration following the attack on the Capitol Hill by his supporters on the 6th of January back in 2021. In 2022, the tech billionaire Elon Musk took charge of X, lifted the restrictions, but by then, Donald Trump was already using his own Truth Social network, where he continues to post pretty much on a day-to-day basis. While the American president began to use social networks for communication with his supporters more than 10 years ago, but his activity has since been significantly on the rise. In 2017 the President had posted about 14 tweets per day at the most. And this number is nearly 10 times greater, 138 posts on Truth Social.

2:11
The heightened volume is not just to the credit of Trump. He has now a team of aides who actually help him post through the [day]. To give us more perspective on this, we’re joined by Dr. Gilbert Doctorow, who’s a Russian affairs analyst and also an international affairs expert, an author, and a historian. Dr. Doctorow, thank you very much indeed for joining us here on WION. And let me, in fact, start off by asking you this: in the aftermath of Ukraine having carried out those drone attacks that targeted Russian nuclear-capable fighter jets, in your assessment, why is it that we’ve not heard anything from American President Donald Trump, who is so given to putting out his ideas on his social network?

Gilbert Doctorow, PhD: 2:56
Well, we also haven’t heard very much from Mr. Putin. So it’s not just Donald Trump has been quiet about this. I think there’s been enormous speculation as to whether or not the president of the United States was informed in advance. The question that was posed to his press secretary, Leavitt, was whether the Ukrainians had informed him. But in the alternative media there is some great speculation and discussion that he should have or could have been informed by the CIA. in the assumption that the American CIA was involved in the preparation and execution of the attack. That of course is pure speculation, which I don’t share.

3:39
Coming to Mr. Putin, I think we will hear from him in a very important way in the coming days. I don’t think your audience is aware, but all Russian ambassadors around the world have been called back into Russia for a meeting. Now, this could be just an annual event. In the spring there are such events.

But the timing is peculiar. And I expect that Mr. Putin will be briefing them on what he is about to announce to all of us on Russia’s revenge for this disastrous strike on its nuclear assets.

WION:
Right. It’s interesting that you point out that not only Donald Trump, but even Vladimir Putin has said very little. But the fact is, Putin would see this as a massive, massive embarrassment for what has been done to him in a war that he believes he is actually quite clearly winning on the battlefield. But the question that I want you to weigh in on, Gilbert Doctorow, is, you know, considering the level of American involvement in this war, the amount of intelligence that the Americans have been sharing with the Ukrainians, the sophistication of this attack that was carried out by the Ukrainians, do you think the Ukrainians could have done this without active American support? And if that is the case, could the American president not have been aware of this?

Doctorow: 5:05
Well, let’s take what Ukraine has told us, that this event was planned 18 months ago. The preparations began 18 months ago. And this was all during the period of Joe Biden’s presidency. So it is not an attack that was arranged or staged during Mr. Trump’s time in office. It is unlikely that the United States, which had surely participated in setting up this type of attack 18 months ago and contributed no doubt to its planning later on, it is inconceivable to me that after Trump came into office and purged the intelligence agencies, decapitated them in fact, that those agencies would persist in a program that was directly opposed to the plans of their boss, Mr. Trump, to find a common language with Russia.

WION: 6:09
You know, it’s interesting that you point out that this could have been an attack for which the planning may have been going on for 18 months, so it may have been sanctioned very well by Joe Biden when he was the president. But the fact is, it is Donald Trump WHO has now been pushing for a deal to bring about a ceasefire. In the aftermath of this attack, what happens to those negotiations that the American President Donald Trump has taken upon himself to try and bring about a ceasefire?

Doctorow:
If there is any hint that Americans have continued to participate in the planning and execution of this attack after Donald Trump came into office, then I think we would see, and we would have seen already, but certainly if not already, then in the coming day or two, the Russians pulling out of peace negotiations, denounce the United States.

7:00
And it’s more than just the loss of this equipment. It would be the complete loss of trust over the viability of the New START treaty, which still has a year to run, which the Russians have suspended but say that they are still respecting. And the fact that all of their jets were lined up on the tarmac for open view was a consequence of their following the agreements they had negotiated with the United States. The United States would be utterly destroyed in terms of credibility and as a talking partner for Russia if that were so. And therefore I believe it is not so. that the Americans were not involved, though the Brits very clearly were.

7:45
And I’d like to add, let’s be a bit more kind, or at least a bit more understanding of the Ukrainians. To say that this could not have been done without foreign assistance, I think is missing the point. The Ukrainians in drone affairs are probably way ahead of the British. It’s a joke to think that they would need massive help from abroad to perform this drone attack.

WION:
A lot of people have turned around and said they need the satellite data that would be supplied by the Americans to give effect to an attack of this nature. But we’re completely out of time. Thank you very much indeed, Dr. Gilbert Doctorow, for joining us with that perspective there.

Doctorow: 8:24
Thank you.

WION (India): Russia-Ukraine War – White House Confirms Donald Trump Was Not Informed About The Attack

The web is now afire with sensationalist titles of interviews with talking heads of all political convictions who are telling us that World War III is fast approaching. Yesterday, none other than Jeffrey Sachs weighed in on the prospects for a US-Russia nuclear exchange in the coming days.

My best advice to the Community is to remember that yellow journalism is not something that went out of style with the print newspapers. It is very much with us in the digital age. It sells, it attracts incredibly large audiences.

For all of these reasons, I am especially appreciative that WION has kept the titles attached to this morning’s interview factual and not speculative.

The interview is only 10 minutes long and I leave it to you to watch it or wait for the transcript which will be posted before long.

I use this space to expand upon one point I made in the interview: that the Spider Web attack on Russia’s heavy bombers, which form a key part of its nuclear triad, may ruin any chances for the Trump administration to enter into arms limitation talks with the Russians should the move towards rapprochement be pressed by his administration.

Just remember that arms limitation negotiations have been the key interest of Russia-haters in the USA in good times and bad. They want to be sure that their own necks are safe even if they are planning and doing their best to sabotage the Russian economy, to isolate the country and otherwise to do it harm.

There can be little doubt that the USA and Britain were active in the planning and for some time in the implementation stages of Spider Web. Most likely Britain was a participant right up to the launch of the attack.

The operation took advantage of the vulnerability of the Russian bombers out in the open that was mandated by the New SALT arms limitation treaty. The Russians have suspended their participation in that treaty but pledged not to violate its terms. Clearly, they kept to their word. And equally clearly the USA under Biden egregiously violated the treaty by enabling the Ukrainian attack on those jets.

If I were Vladimir Putin, which I am not, I would say to the States that there can be no talks, no extensions or new treaties on arms limitation until and unless the USA and Britain admit to their foul play and pay compensation for the damaged jets. We will see in the immediately coming days what Putin actually does to exact a price from Russia’s enemies.

As I say in this interview, all of Russia’s ambassadors have been called home and will be meeting with Lavrov and likely with Putin during this  week before heading home to officiate at Russia’s National Day festivities, the equivalent of their July 4th on 9-10 June. I fully expect Putin to issue an address at this meeting that represents Russia’s response to the attacks of this past weekend.

©Gilbert Doctorow, 2025

Transcript of Coffee and a Mike interview, 2 June

Transcript submitted by a reader

Mike Farris:
Gilbert, good to see you again. I always appreciate you making yourself available. We set this up just a few days ago. Let me start off with congratulations on your new book.

Doctorow:
I’m very happy with this newly-hatched book. It took a great deal of effort, frankly, to put this together and I’m pleased with the result. It is in two formats. First, a week ago, the paperback edition appeared on all of Amazon’s websites across the globe. And this is not an abstract consideration. One of my first orders came from Japan, another order came from Australia.

Not to mention, of course, the States is obvious, Britain and English-speaking countries are obvious. But these remote locations already have placed orders to receive the book, which is a great pleasure because the issues are global. The interests of the whole world are in what is taking place now in and around Ukraine. So it’s logical that this would be topical. The achievement here was to cull the writings that I do several times a week to try to reduce duplication, because necessarily you cover the same track when you are writing about events before, during, and after them, and to give a very important introduction forward to this to prepare the reader for what they’re about to see and what they’re not going to see.

I’ll say right up front what they will not find here is a comprehensive history of the Russian-Ukraine war. That’s something that there are dozens and dozens of historians and political scientists who will be doing that for forever. And the public, the audience can choose among them. What I’ve done is something they do not do, because they weren’t in Russia, and I was. This book in particular covers a period, this is 2022, 2023, when virtually all foreign journalists left Russia.

Some of them weren’t there anyway because the Russian-Ukraine war started only a few months after the Covid epidemic ended. During the epidemic, there were relatively few foreign journalists anywhere outside their home base. So that was how we went into the war. And during the war, they of course, the Russians, stopped issuing visas. And so, visas for all purposes, business visas, visas for journalists, visas for anyone, except humanitarian visas.

And my visas fall in that category because I have a Russian wife. And those who were in close family relations were issued visas by the Russians. So I got into Russia and I wrote about what I saw. And this book is about how the Russian society fared during the war. Nobody else was paying much attention to it.

Certainly Western newspapers and electronic media were not interested in conveying to their publics anything that they might know, because Russia was taboo, Russia was supposed to be isolated, Russia was supposed to be collapsing. Therefore I recommend this book to those who want to see how Russian society developed, because it was not static, the war as I– there’s an old saying that wars make nations, And it is true. Of course, in Western media, that has been used with respect to Ukraine, how Ukraine consolidated and became a single culture country under the impact of the war. In the case of Russia, it also had dramatic effect on rising patriotism by creating new elites to replace the elites that we all know about from the Yeltsin period, that is to say the oligarchs, who are deeply tainted with corruption and with selfishness and so on. And they are steadily being replaced by patriotic self-sacrificing people who have impressed the broad public, and of course the powers that be, with their possible contributions in future.

For the Americans who are watching this, I refer to the effects of military service in creating whole cadres of higher business executives and government officials following the World War II, following the Korean War. When I was coming up through the business in the late 1970s, almost anybody who was at the top of a major corporation had seen military service in one of the many wars that America had been engaged in. So Russian society has been shaped also by the pressures and the opportunities for upward movement that come out of wars. And this is something I describe. Of course, greater interest, I think, to the general public is consumer, the consumer services and goods that were available in supermarkets, in the corner grocery store, in the electronics store, how these things changed over the three years.

And the changes were very significant. Of course, the single biggest item here when speaking about supermarkets is that Russia became really very self-sufficient in almost everything that you would find in a supermarket. And they’ve also created new sources of supply from Iran, from Azerbaijan. So, I’m not going to repeat here points in the book, but I will say that for the general reader, this type of material, my travel notes in Russia during my periodic visits in 22, in 23, will be of particular interest. And then there are other items, because the book has several different genres.

It has book reviews of books that I think are highly relevant to understanding. The Feeling of Patriotism, my one book, I found for 85 days that the city of Slaviansk survived as a cradle of Russian renaissance in 2014, this was the Russia’s Alamo to liken it to historical events that would be known to Americans at least, standing up against vastly superior forces and ultimately losing, but creating a kind of landmark kind of tradition that Russians would return to in 22 and 23 when an actual war took place with participation of the Russian Federation. So there are books. There are some very important documentary films, which most of the audience, most of the readership of this book will not know about, should know about. So as I say, there are a number of genres, not a single one.

I hope, as I say in the introduction, there are, there’s material here that not everyone will be interested in. And my recommendation is to skim and to go to what you find is of particular interest to you in the general subject matter of the Russian-Ukraine war. It’s 772 pages of rather condensed print, typeface, and of large format book, 7 by 10 inch book instead of the usual 6 by 9. So there is, there are 280,000 words. I do not recommend to anyone other than scholars who are keen to do a book review to try to sit down and take on this book in one sitting or two sittings.

I myself, in editing it, took a week to get through 280,000 words with some comfort. But there is material here. And I’ll answer the question, why republish and present here material that otherwise was available on my internet sites. My internet sites are here today and gone tomorrow. I expect that this book will find a readership not just next week and next year, but for a good long time.

And I say that not idly, but with good reason from my experience. I am still selling comfortably books which I published in 2010, like my analysis of the great writers or authors of road maps to the future after the United States was looking for the next big thing, having slain the other communists in Russia by their own thinking. Of course, not in fact, but that’s how they imagined it. In any case, the books that go back to 2010, also collections of essays, are still selling with good reason, because they have a lot of relevance. And so I believe that this book will find readers, not just among scholars, for several decades.

I think it’s easier, the last comment I’ll make, to help people understand what this is. It is a primary source, it is not a secondary source. Secondary sources are based on materials like this primary source. Otherwise, primary sources are autobiographies or similar material. This is personal journalism, and it is–I position myself as a chronicler.

I am a historian by training. And in Russian history, there are figures who are very well known to the broad public who are chroniclers. Pymian is the one case in point. The one man who wrote about it, Isidman, who wrote about what the Russians call the “time of troubles” in the early 17th century, which led to the installation of the Romanov dynasty. He was recording what he saw around him.

And that is what I am doing in this book, recording what I saw around myself. And I hope people will find it to be of value.

Farris:
And for people, we didn’t say the title of the book, so would you like to share the name of the book?

Doctorow:
Oh yes, oh yes please. It is “War Diaries” with “Volume One”, Volume One because there’s going to be a “Volume Two”, and I hope that will be the end of it.

Volume Two, I expect will come out at the end of this year, assum ing that the war winds down one way or another, although how it will wind down is still a matter of great conjecture. So “War Diaries, the Russia-Ukraine War, 2022-2023”. This is Volume 2, where it is intended to be 24-25.
——–

Farris:
This episode is brought to you by Vaulted, launched by McElveany Financial Group, the simplest and most affordable way to own physical gold and silver. Physical gold is the only asset outside of the control of the government and banking system.

They can print dollars but they can’t print gold. Click on the promo link in the show notes or go to vaulted.blbvux.net forward slash coffee and a mike.
——–

And so for people that are listening on the audio, I’ve just put up an image of the cover page for Gilbert’s new book. And where can people find it?

Doctorow:
It’s available globally from Amazon. There are, people like their little bookshops, I understand that. So I hope they’ll bear with me. As an author and self-published person, I am very satisfied with Amazon, even if I don’t like the owner of Mr. Bezos. These are unrelated issues.

What he has created is brilliant. For authors, I have experience both with publishers who look like traditional publishers, though actually they’re also just typography, so printing houses, and who pretend to give you full service and promotion and rest of it, for your money, of course, and who keep almost all the royalties to themselves. Thank you very much. Amazon is a generous partner with the authors who publish on it. And so I am a, also they give the author instantaneous information about sales and where the sales take place.

This is invaluable for properly positioning and promoting your book to audiences who are interested in it. So my experience with them has been very good. My experience with other means of publishing, like my memoirs, physically the books look wonderful. I was very pleased with them. But as an author who would like to be reimbursed for my expenses, possibly make a cent or two on my intellectual efforts, I find these alternative ways of publishing to be considerably less attractive.

So I hope that the audience will bear with me and understand why I’ve chosen to market this book exclusively through Amazon. Now, there are, it’s in two formats. I mentioned at the start of this explanation of the book. The first that came out was the paperback, and that is not cheap, but the production costs of the book aren’t cheap. A 772-page book costs quite a bit to make.

So the retail price in the US is $36 for that book. Now I’m happy to say a more democratically priced solution is also available. For $10, you can get the e-book also on the Amazon website starting June 4th, which is the proper launch date of the ebook, it will be instantaneously available for download from the various Amazon websites. And I mentioned various because they’re all over the globe. They have centers, of course, nodes, which serve several countries at a time.

Here in Europe, almost every country has an Amazon website. Of course, the States, Canada, South America, Brazil, Mexico, in the Far East, or Australia, or Japan, these all have Amazon websites, and they serve the country where they’re located, and they serve neighboring countries. So, from the standpoint of the audience, this is readily accessible and they ship very quickly. So that is my recommendation.

Farris:
Well, again, congratulations on that. When you look at the completed book now and it’s it’s been released and you know, starting in 2022 and where we’re at, especially the events that unfolded over the weekend you know, what were your thoughts with seeing this drone attack? And it’s unbelievable where we’re living, the times we’re in, because I’m reading this stuff yesterday morning, and I don’t know Gilbert, like it’s just, you’re like, okay, was it just damaging? Was it not damaging? Depends on who you read. And what will the response be from it? So what were your thoughts yesterday?

Doctorow:
Well, my thoughts are the same that you’ll find expressed in the foreword to the book, that this war has had many turning points. And the people like myself, who have been on interview programs and who have written essays have been proven wrong, consistently wrong, because no one could participate in the escalations that have changed the nature of the war periodically or the dramatic events that occurred this past weekend, which you’re alluding to. And they open up complete change of perspective of what happens next. So in this, I think it is essential, an essential point of the book, that we have been proven wrong, not because we’re stupid, but because events have changed in an unforeseeable way.

And by the events I mean the level of US and NATO participation in the war, which changed the war from what was initially a special military operation, meaning a certain cleanup or regime change plan that Mr. Putin and his colleagues had to justify their military entry into Ukraine to a full-blown proxy war between Russia and the collective West. That was unforeseeable. Also, the level of offensive weapons, of deadly weapons that the West gave to Ukraine after forswearing it at this point and at that point, changed the Russian approach to the war.

As I have said repeatedly, in order for the Russian Federation to be safe from attack from Ukraine, they have to push Ukraine back the distance that the latest weapons systems give them to attack Russia. As Mr. Medvedev said the other day, “We soon will have to push Ukraine back to the Polish border, because– if we are to be safe from weapons that are put on the ground or in the air in what remains of Ukraine.”

So these things were foreseeable. Now as to what’s going to happen next from this weekend, there is, as you say, uncertainty about the extent of damage that was carried out by the drones on Russian planes in the various air bases from Murmansk in the north to the Moscow, a central Russian region, all the way out to the Irkutsk, 5,500 kilometers east of the Ukraine border.

How many of the nuclear-capable big bombers were actually destroyed? Well, Some people, the Ukrainians, were saying initially that they had destroyed one-third of the Russian fleet of these strategic bombers, and that 40 planes worth $7 billion had been destroyed. Latest indications, unofficially coming out of Russia because the ministry of defense says nothing, but unofficially it’s believed that maybe five of these bombers were actually damaged, or a few of them were destroyed. But the issue of course is bigger than the dollar value on how many planes were destroyed and whether it is just a tiny fraction of the Russian fleet that is part of their nuclear triad, which was destroyed, or a more significant number of planes. The issue is much bigger than that.

And it has to do with possible involvement, or likely involvement, of the United States intelligence, the CIA, of MI6, in helping the Ukrainians to prepare for this attack 18 months ago when the work began. The good thing to come out of this event is that it took them 18 months to prepare this attack, so it is virtually excluded that anything similar can be done now by the Ukrainians for as long as this war goes on. That doesn’t mean that something different that is devastating cannot be done by the Ukrainians. But this type of attack on air bases, we can exclude for the future. Nonetheless, it puts into question much bigger issues than just Ukraine.

The– people have asked “Why were all these Russian planes sitting like sitting ducks out on the airstrips exposed to possible attack?” Well, they were there because that is the condition of the New StART arms limitation treaty that had both the United States and Russia still honor it, though the Russians suspended participation in it. And so the planes were there. And the question, next question is, how did this, these drones get into Russia? Why were the– because they all seemed to have passed Russian customs border points being carried in semi-trailers.

So why did they, the Russian customs officials, not stop them? But I have traveled repeatedly across the border from Estonia into the Russian Federation, and our bus was almost taken apart by Russian border guards looking for Lord knows what in the engine case. How did these semi-trailers get across the border with no one stopping them anywhere with more than one border crossing? And if any one border crossing had stopped and discovered them, they all would have been discovered. So there are unanswered questions.

Was it, were these border posts bought off? Were they traitors? It’s possible. There’s a lot of corruption in these underpaid positions. How about the drivers? Did they know if they were carrying? Of course they’ll say they didn’t know. But what is the truth? Several have been arrested, and I imagine that their interrogation will be more intense than just a verbal interrogation, to get to the bottom of what was going on. So Russian security has been shown up to be very lacking.

And that is a big problem for Mr. Putin. The bigger problem is: the loss of prestige and humiliation that this entails, and how, whether or not Mr. Putin can resist the surely growing calls of patriots to do something serious about Ukraine, by which I mean to do what he said he would do three years ago, when they challenge strategic interests, strategic defenses of Russian Federation, namely to destroy decision-making centers. Well, that means the Ukrainian government. Can the Russians do that? Of course they can. They have the Oreshnik. It’s not nuclear. They could, with surgical precision, wipe out the Ukrainian government from one day to the next.

Will they do that? I just will introduce here an observation. You know that I have been interviewed weekly on Judge Napolitano’s program. That has in recent weeks, every program, has been translated into Russian, not just translated, voiceover and synchronized lips. This is the latest development AI re-engineered in Russia.

And I looked at, first there were just a few thousand viewers of that. Now there are 50,000, 60,000 Russians who are viewing these interviews. And I look at the comments, several hundred comments, and I can tell you they’re very violent. They’re very xenophobic. They’re very condescending to the West.

And so there are a great many Russians who are outraged by how the West has been abusing Russia and who are shocked at the, shall we say, timidity or lack of force of their president responding. I personally see it as very difficult for Mr. Putin to remain in office if he doesn’t do something serious now.

Farris:
And are you surprised that he’s held back for as long as this has been going on? Because I mean, do you feel like he’s been holding back?

Doctorow:
Oh, of course he’s been holding back. The question is, was he justified? Because if he did something dramatic, if the retaliations could be charged with being disproportionate, then we could well be moving closer and faster toward World War III. So this held him back. Besides, he was, with good reason, persuaded that the American leadership under Joe Biden was insane, that insane, drunk, whatever you want to call it, certainly the behavior of everyone around Biden, that Biden was somehow was beyond discussion, but that his immediate keepers, the subordinates who actually were running Mr. Biden, whether it’s Anthony Blinken or Jake Sullivan, from the perspective of Moscow, these people were insane. Therefore they were doubly cautious to do anything that might set them off. Now, I think they’re satisfied that Mr. Trump is not insane, that he is a rational actor, he’s a businessman, that the things that are said about him which are not flattering have nothing to do with his sanity, they have to do with his morality.

And so the Russians, I think, are satisfied that they are not dealing with a madman, which is a big change from where we were before the new administration came in. How will Mr. Putin react to this latest threat, which crosses the red lines of damaging part of the Russian nuclear triad? That’s what these bombers are. We’ll have to see.

But I’d say I venture to guess that he might declare war on Ukraine. Let’s remember that this is a variation on the question that some interviewers have asked me in the recent days, does Mr. Putin really want a peace treaty? And I have said unequivocally yes. He is a lawyer by training.

He thinks today in these terms. He wants to stay on the right side of international law. And just an attack on Ukraine, a decapitating attack more particularly, would not be his way of behaving if he didn’t have openly declared war on Ukraine. So I watch this closely. If in the coming weeks Mr. Putin goes before the nation and declares war on Ukraine, then I think a decapitating strike will follow the next day.

Farris:
What do you think of Putin as we sit here June 2nd today as a leader?

Doctorow:
He is a brilliant leader. I have various essays in this book and otherwise have said that he is a brilliant manager of human resources. His basic approach is that everybody is good for something. And even openly exposed, openly criticized villains, thieves who have stolen large sums from the Russian federal budget, had been retained by Putin, because they also could contribute unparalleled, unequaled services to the state.

So in this sense, he has been, in this sense, he’s been like Peter the Great, who did exactly the same thing, who was surrounded by a lot of scoundrels, whom he used very effectively for the benefit of the state. So that’s one aspect of Mr. Putin. But the single biggest proof that the man is extraordinary is that he has raised Russia from, in a phoenix-like way, from the ashes. What he took over from Yeltsin was a ruined country.

And it didn’t, it was a deeply corrupt country, and its economy had been smashed and had not reconstituted itself. And he turned this around, not at once, it took years. I would say that the complete recovery of Russia coincided with the start of the special military operation. Mr. Putin launched it because he was confident that his military had been raised to the level of the most efficient and strongest in Europe, if not in the world, ground forces, and because the Russian economy had been made sanction-proof in the preceding eight years from 2014.

This is all under his watch. So what he achieved speaks for itself. But there are, nobody is perfect and this has been said “horses for courses”, that a race horse is not good for the plow and a plow horse is not good for the races. And the question is whether Mr. Putin is good for today.

It’s an open question. Is Mr. Lavrov good for today? I’ve already said no. I think he should have been replaced two years ago, not just because he’s been here too long and has fallen prey to corruption, by corruption very specifically, raising his son in his path, this type of, this is very widely practiced in Russian senior positions.

And unfortunately, Mr. Lavrov has done that also. So in business, it’s a widely considered good management to rotate people. Now, some of them, they don’t gather too much moss under their feet. This is something that is a weak point in the Russian senior ranks.

Mr. Putin also, in 25 years, he is not irreplaceable. He came in, when he came in, everyone was asking, who is he? Because he seemed to have no merit to justify that position as president. Similarly, Mr. Putin will be replaced. Nobody lives forever. The question is how smooth that replacement will be, and will he be replaced by somebody who also has good judgment and isn’t too trigger happy. So this is the situation today. I mean, after all, Mr. Putin was almost killed. He was almost murdered two weeks ago by drones, which the Ukrainians sent against his helicopter. So the question is not something that I’m introducing as coming from nowhere.

We have to consider who runs Russia, for how long, and is there somebody around? Nobody has been groomed to replace Mr. Putin. But among those people who are at the top levels of the Russian government, who could fill his shoes without bringing us all into World War III?

Farris:
How much time, how much rope does Putin have before, say, the neocons and the people will demand an action?

Doctorow:
I’m sorry…

Farris:
I said how much time does he have for a proper response that will satisfy the people.

Doctorow:
Well, I wouldn’t expect it to take place tomorrow. He’s a man whose favorite word is akuratma, which Russian translates as carefully, cautiously. So he will do nothing precipitous. But will he do something? He has to do something.

Russian society will be deeply disappointed with him if he doesn’t do something. Just throwing a few more bombs at a few more underground factories making drones will not satisfy public opinion, considering the gravity of both the attacks we’ve discussed on the Russian heavy bombers and the terrorist attack, which we haven’t discussed, also this past weekend, where the Ukrainians blew up a railway in Kursk and blew up an automobile bridge in the neighboring region, just to the north of Kursk, Gansk, whereby the bridge collapsed on trains passing below and killed outright seven people on the train, injured 100 and sent 40 to hospital. Russian society is still reeling from this. Just imagine, this is within the Russian Federation, of Kursk. It’s nearby. It’s across the border from Ukraine.

Nonetheless, this is an attack on civilians which caused deaths and was attacking the transport infrastructure, which is vulnerable. You cannot have guards riding over every bridge in the country. And so the only way you can stop that is by stopping the people who are sending these saboteurs into Russia, which means destroying the Ukrainian government at a blow. That’s the only thing that can stop this.

Farris:
Well, and what I’m perplexed by is, you know, Trump comes into office. Shortly thereafter, Zelensky comes for a visit, and everybody saw that video, and he said, we’ll be out, we’ll be out. And yet they have not cut off funding to Ukraine, which could, I mean, ultimately wrap this thing up very quickly, but yet they haven’t.

Doctorow:
Mike, when we touch upon Trump, we’re touching upon a man who’s under fire from very big domestic opposition that is aligned with European opposition. And so it is quite strong. He has said many contradictory things, flip-flopping day to day, which make him look foolish, which make him look like a buffoon to those who are unkind.

I am not in the unkind group. I believe that this is all tactical, to keep at bay his enemies, to persuade them that “the fellow really listens to the last person who spoke to him. If we can get his ear long enough, we can bring him around to our position.” And for this reason, they don’t stab him in the back, which they otherwise would do. If they were confident, or if they were certain that he is in the enemy camp and could not be brought around, then they will be going after him with their daggers.

So this explains a lot of the peculiar behavior of Mr. Trump, including what you were just alluding to. He has effectively kept the Europeans out of all the negotiations. We don’t hear a word any more about the coalition of the willing putting boots on the ground in Ukraine. Dead, why is it dead?

Because Mr. Trump has kept them at arm’s length from the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations. Why has he not stopped the flow of money and weapons that were appropriated by Biden?

If he did that, then he would be seen to favor the Russians, and his enemies would all gang up. As it is, he has a big problem with the bill which senators– with a bipartisan bill, which has 80 signatures on it and is therefore not vetoable in the Senate, which is calling for imposing very harshly economic sanctions and financial sanctions on Russia.

This is the bill that was sponsored by Richard Blumenthal from the Democrats in Connecticut and the villain of the Republicans, Graham from South Carolina, Lindsey Graham. I expect that bill will be passed in Congress. And at that point, Mr. Trump can put lipstick on the pig, can claim that he has no objection to that new sanctions because the Russians have behaved badly, and these sanctions will help to temper the Russians and to bring them closer to peace.

At the same time, he will do what you were just suggesting. He will cut off all financial and military aid and reconnaissance aid to Ukraine, saying that will also temper them and make them more amenable to compromise and reaching a peace settlement, and he’ll walk away from Ukraine. That is how I see this end game of the United States, leaving the Europeans left with chaos and disaster, and the Ukraine probably having a coup d’état to remove Mr. Zelensky and to put in charge somebody who could negotiate an end to the war with the Russians. This is my reading of the situation and my explanation of why, to answer your question directly, why Trump has not cut off the flow of weapons and finance to Ukraine till now.

Farris:
So your estimation then kind of summarizing this to make sure I heard you correctly, this is all being tactically done by Trump, knowing the adversity he’s facing domestically and from Europe.

So he will do this, his bill will get through, at the same time he’ll cut off funding to Ukraine in order to remove the United States from this, and then it will get dumped onto Europe. And do you see, how do you see Europe and the rest of NATO then responding for Ukraine?

Doctorow:
I see Europe pretending to give assistance to Ukraine for two or three months, which will be a transitional period. They can’t just drop the ball. They need time to reformulate a narrative to explain why they are leaving Ukraine also.

For some of the European leaders, that would be easier than for others, because some are more invested in the continuing war than others are. Nonetheless, the end result will be Europe will also leave Ukraine under the bus, after a certain grace period so if they can find a common narrative to hand to the mainstream media.

Farris:
Then you see Zelensky getting removed. Then what will the future of Ukraine be? Because with the United States removing itself, NATO and Europe also removing itself, will they create a new government or?

Doctorow:
Oh yes, there will be an interim government, probably a military government, because there are no leaders from the past. Mr. Poroshenko, Timoshenko, Madame Timoshenko, who is known as the braided, she had wonderful braided hair. These people are no solution for Ukraine.

They are as guilty as Mr. Zelensky in bringing on this disaster. So I think the only solution for interim government will be a military government pending maybe a year or two when society can be brought back to reality in Ukraine, then there would be elections and a normal civilian government installed. This is how I see it.

Faarris:
Who would be overseeing? Would Putin and Russia be participating in this restructure to make sure that what has occurred over the last several years now never happens again?

Doctorow:
Well, I think the prudent thing would be for there to be a group of nations to oversee this transition in Ukraine, not just Russia. If Russia took that on singly, it would face tremendous resistance. So several major powers, the United States, China, Russia, and a few others, maybe from the global south, would be nominally supervising the transition to democracy over a period of a year or two.

Farris:
I know I’m running out of time here with you, but I do want to ask, what will the future of NATO be if the scenarios that we discussed play out this way?

Doctorow:
I think it will fade away. The United States cannot leave NATO formally de jure. That has, requires approval of Congress. Mr. Trump will not get that approval. But if he takes the stuffing out of NATO, the effect will be the same.

It will lose its value. I’m hopeful that in this period, as I described as a grace period of two or three months for the European leaders to reverse course and to move away from Ukraine and let it collapse, I think that hopefully in that period there will be a political realignment within the European institutions. And those who have been the most vociferous defenders, what’s so-called defenders of Ukraine, actually destroyers of Ukraine, because they’re promoting this continued war against Russia, I think that, I’m hopeful that they will receive the just desserts, which will be to be removed from office.

Farris:
As we’ve talked here for the last 40, you know, over 45 minutes, how concerned are you about all this, with everything going on? You know, what is in comparison to when we’ve talked previously? Is it higher now? Same?

Doctorow:
No, I wouldn’t say it’s fine. It all depends, of course, on what Mr. Putin does, how dramatic it will be. I’m fairly confident that Trump’s reaction to whatever Putin does will also be sensible and will keep us away from a progression to a nuclear war between the major powers. I trust in Trump’s judgment in that respect. I understand how many of the viewers of this program will be skeptical about that, because all major media have for the last six years painted Trump in the blackest terms. He is not a likable personality. I wouldn’t necessarily want him for a neighbor, but that’s irrelevant.

Machiavelli said it a long time ago, and these verities do not change. The morality of individuals is not the same as the morality of state actors. You like it, you don’t like it, that’s the way the world was, is, will be. And from this viewpoint, Mr. Trump is a realist. He’s not all that bad. Even if he doesn’t write his own speeches, he reads them okay. The speeches that he reads are amazing. Everyone, the last thing I’ll say, Ibecause I do have to go, is that everyone listens to Trump.

Don’t listen to him. Now he’s not addressing you, he’s addressing his enemies. Watch what he does. He closed down USAID, which was the main vehicle for regime change financed by the CIA. He is now purging the State Department of all the villains who have risen in the ranks and in the diplomatic service ever since Dick Cheney chased out decent people from the State Department at the start of this millennium. He made a speech in Saudi Arabia denouncing the whole fiction of America’s spreading democracy through its wars.

The speech he didn’t write, obviously, but he read it. And he knew what he was reading. So the man, I say, look at what he’s doing, what he has done. He didn’t make any speeches about closing down USAID. In fact, you’d hardly know that he was involved.

It was all Elon Musk who was saving government money. Don’t believe that for a minute. That was a political move which was approved, which was agreed between Trump and Musk. It was sold as a money saving venture. The hell it was.

It was all about dumping 40,000 neocons out on the street. And I say bravo to him, and I say please trust that not every US president is a villain.

Farris:
Where could people find you, Gilbert? Where could people find you? Are you Substack?

Yeah, Substack. gilbertdoctorow is just one word, my first name and last name, dot substack dot com. And you find me in the search box in Amazon.com .

Farris:
And I’ll put the description to people who want to order the book and then your substack on the show notes. So Gilbert, as always, thank you for making time to speak with me. We’ll follow these events and look forward to more conversations ahead.

Doctorow:
Well, don’t despair. We have been through worse times.

Transcript of RT interview, 2 June

Transcript submitted by a reader

RT: 0:00
All right, we can speak now to Gilbert Doctorow, former visiting scholar, Harriman Institute at Columbia University. Professor, good to have you on the program with us. This second round of talks between Moscow and Kiev, as we all know, has just wrapped up. What do you make of the memorandums that each side presented? How far apart do you see the two sides being at this point?

Gilbert Doctorow, PhD: 0:25
I think they are oceans apart. What we’re looking at, to the best of my understanding, because you reported the xxxxxxxx details on the Ukrainian memorandum, but what I had read earlier indicates that each of the warring parties is demanding that the other side accept capitulation. The Ukrainians, the last I heard is they were demanding that Russia pay reparations as well as provide for the security of Ukraine. The Russians, well, we’ve heard that the Russians want essentially everything that Mr Lavrov has outlined in public previously. That amounts to a Ukrainian capitulation. It is inconceivable that Ukraine would accept those terms if it were not persuaded that it has lost the war.

So what is coming out of these negotiations is something positive, but not in the sense of bringing the war to an end any sooner. It is remarkable that they have, in this atmosphere of considerable hostility, which is greatly aggravated by the events of the past weekend, both the terrorist attacks in the Bryansk and Kursk oblasts, and of course the military attacks, drone attacks on air force planes, on Russian strategic bombers located across the Russian Federation. This certainly could not have helped to bring the parties closer to the terms of ending the war. But in spite of all that, they did reach agreement to proceed with prisoner exchange and exchange of the deceased, the bodies of those fallen that are held in enemy territory, essentially.

2:22
This is a remarkable achievement for which they should be congratulated. On behalf of the families of the fallen soldiers or the still live soldiers who will be exchanged, will bring joy and all will bring closure to the lives of the mothers, the fathers, the brothers, the wives, the children of these soldiers. So that, if it’s 6, 000 on each side, whatever the number is actually arrived at, this will be an immense step, humanitarian step, that comes out of these discussions, which justifies their taking place. But as to ending the war, I think we’re no closer to ending the war, and I would be very surprised if Mr. Trump does not walk away from the peace process, judging by the distance that separates the Ukrainian and the Russian negotiators.

RT: 3:29
Yeah, he had said that he was possibly going to step away if both sides weren’t able to reach an agreement soon. Professor, ahead of the negotiations, Ukraine’s memorandum was leaked to the news media, and we know the document showed Kiev will not support, will not recognize Russia’s new territories and will demand reparations from Moscow, which of course are obvious red lines for the Kremlin. Do you think the leak of this document is suspicious at all?

Doctorow:
No, it is in line with the overall behavior of the Zelensky government from the get-go. This has been a PR government. Unfortunately for the soldiers in the Ukrainian armed forces, it has been a PR government running a war which cost them their lives. And so it is today, the only thing that this government in Ukraine is capable of doing is looking for public relations points with the press, with the media, with diplomacy. And so what happened most recently is simply a continuation of that obvious xxxxx illusion.

RT: 4:39
You mentioned the wide-scale drone attacks across Russia that took place on Sunday, on the eve of these talks. What do you make of the timing of those attacks? What does it say to you about Kiev’s perceived position going into these negotiations?

Doctorow:
Well, I think its intention was again its public relations. The intention was clear, to show that Ukraine is not beaten, that Ukraine has various tricks up its sleeve, which can be very costly for the Russians, and should not be considered vanquished. However, of course, this attack was very serious, and we can discuss that as much as you have time for. But the point, the positive that comes out of this is that this attack took 18 months to prepare, and we can take it as a safe assumption that Ukraine is not capable of delivering any follow-on attacks to Russian military assets such as this one.

So that is a good thing, but that’s behind us. And it was not devastating, though it was deeply humiliating for the Russian government to have, who have seen security failures all around, at the borders, that is the customs, who did not properly detect what was in those trailers. The security around the bases, which are of high, very high strategic importance to Russia, and yet these drones were kept in sheds, or they were kept in the trucks, which finally delivered them for use over the weekend. They were stored, one assumes, in open view around the bases. Why weren’t these detected? Why weren’t citizens in the area denouncing this or calling upon investigations?

6:45
So there are security breaches here, weaknesses on the Russian side, which are so far inexplicable, that must be of great concern to the Kremlin.

RT:
Yeah, Volodymyr Zelensky has been boasting about the drone strikes. We’ve heard it referred to as “Russia’s Pearl Harbor”. Of course, we know how America responded to the attacks on Pearl Harbor. But given the scale of the Ukraine conflict, is this really the major achievement that Zelensky is presenting it to be?

Doctorow: 7:15
It depends on what the actual extent of damage was. Zelensky has claimed that 40 heavy bombers were destroyed, which amounted in his estimation to 30% of the total Russian aircraft fleet in that category. If so, this can be lined up with the destruction or damage, a little over a year ago, of early warning radars in the south of Russia. What these have in common is they are both, to the extent that they have been successful, they are both doing harm to Russia’s essential strategic defense.

In that sense, this meets the criterion that the new Russian nuclear doctrine sets for Russia using tactical nuclear weapons in retaliation. So it will be, of course, very closely watched what Russian retaliation will be, to what extent will it be commensurate with the possible damage. We don’t know the extent of it, because the Russian Ministry of Defense is so far silent about figures, about how many planes were destroyed, how many planes were damaged and are recoverable. This we don’t know. But potentially, it was a serious blow to Russia’s nuclear triad.

8:42
And in that sense, one can suspect that the real authors of this attack were not in Kiev, but in London and Washington. So these dimensions of the attack of the weekend have yet to be clarified.

RT:
Zelensky, meanwhile, has also accused Moscow of doing everything it can to prevent these negotiations from producing real results. Putin, of course, is the one who initiated restarting these talks. Do you see any evidence to support those accusations?

Doctorow: 9:16
Well, the accusation stands by itself. It misses the point. The real point is, what are the positions of the sides? Whether you have negotiations, don’t have negotiations, is almost an irrelevancy if the positions of the sides are totally irreconcilable. And to my judgment, that’s where we are today.

So they are accomplishing something very praiseworthy, as I mentioned a moment ago. On the humanitarian level, the exchange of prisoners, exchange of bodies of those who were killed for that action, is all by itself a very good outcome from these face-to-face Russian-Ukrainian meetings. But progress on a peace, I don’t see any.

RT: 10:01
What is the end game here then? Do you think Zelensky and his Western supporters are even interested in a long-lasting peace?

Doctorow:
I don’t think Zelensky will be around long enough for what he’s interested in to make any difference. Assuming that there is no resolution in Istanbul of meetings, round three comes up, of the fundamental differences, when two sides are each asking the other side to capitulate, I think that we’ll move back to the United States, because the real action is going to be there when the US Senate presents Mr. Trump with a nonstopable, a non-vetoable bill setting new harsh sanctions, financial and economic sanctions, on Russia. Then we will enter a new stage.

11:00
And I predict the outcome of that will be that Mr. Trump walks away from Ukraine and he accepts responsibility for the new sanctions, which he will say are put in place to moderate the Russian position and bring the size of the Russian peace. And he will then also stop all US military aid and financial aid and intelligence aid to Ukraine for the same justification: to make Ukraine more willing to find a peaceful settlement.

11:31
And the United States will walk away. “We’re leaving this to the Europeans”, who also will walk away after a two- to three-month grace period in which they pretend to support Ukraine, but do not actually support Ukraine, and spend all their time speechwriting, trying to agree a narrative that they can present to Western media for why they’re throwing Ukraine into the bus.

RT: 11:55
All right, we’re going to leave it there. Gilbert Doctorow, former visiting scholar, Harriman Institute at Columbia University. Thank you.