Plus ça change plus la même chose, or Déjà vu all over again

As I mentioned some days ago, I am now working on Volume III of my Memoirs of a Russianist: 2010 – 2026, Years in the Opposition.

The “Opposition’ of which I was and remain a member is to the Washington Narrative on behalf of U.S. global hegemony.

When covering my activities in 2021 in promotion of my newly published second volume of those Memoirs, I found the link to a review of my books which Natalie Baldwin kindly posted on her blog platform Natalie’s Place, and then reposted on other web platforms. Her review was all the more valuable, because she was well known for her own published books on her experience of traveling in Russia. See https://natyliesbaldwin.com/2021/03/review-memoirs-of-a-russianist-volumes-i-ii/

To my surprise and pleasure I now came across in her review an example of how minutia caught in the amber of my diary notes, being a primary source, can prove useful, indeed, quite thought provoking in unexpected ways years later, that is to say today.

Quote

While attending a dinner party to celebrate Victory Day with his in-laws in St. Petersburg in 1995, Doctorow relayed one relative’s experience serving in Chechnya as a pathologist for the military. His job was to examine and identify the war dead amid the utter devastation of the capital of Grozny. After completing his service, he and those he served with were all treated for “shell shock” before release. This young man told Doctorow and the other guests that the war seemed to have been needlessly prolonged for political reasons. [emphasis mine]

Unquote

I believe that this observation bears on our dilemma of explaining Putin’s dragging out the ongoing war with Ukraine. Is this awful situation that adds to the needless loss of hundreds of thousands of soldiers on both sides due to the defect of indecisiveness, or worse still, cowardice, in the personality of the president or is it due to his being controlled by oligarchs who profit from the war. In any case, the issue is not new.

****

I close this brief essay with a comment on my whereabouts, which bears on the supposed conflict of ideologies today between the conservative, traditional values in Russia and a Collective West that supposedly has gone off the rails in its rejection of the family, of the biological distinction between male and female and adopted other nonsense promoted by present day Progressives from the offices they hold at the top of European states.

I write to you today from our rented apartment at Knokke, Belgium’s premier coastal resort. As I stroll down the paved walkway between the sand beach and the roadway, adjacent to what Russians call the ‘первая линия’ (literally ‘first line’) of 8-story gleaming new condominium residential buildings, I am struck by how the month of May must be mayhem at Belgium’s laying-in (birthing) hospitals. I say that because a very significant portion of strollers are carrying or pushing in carriages their ‘newly hatched’ offspring. Many others are with their toddlers, in families with two, three and more children. Since the preponderant share of the residents and vacationers here in Knokke are Flemish speakers, one can say at a minimum that Flemish Belgium has no demographic problem at all. Vladimir Putin would feel right at home here in Knokke, where, incidentally, his $100,000 or more Rolex watch would also not be so unusual among strolling males.

Yes, Knokke is a prosperous community, where the average per meter price of apartments is 10,000 Euros (about at Paris levels and twice the price of Brussels) and where an underground parking place will cost you 100,000 Euros. The latter fact explains or complements the fact that you will spot a fair number of Bentleys, Aston Martins and other very expensive autos which make the occasional Tesla on the street look like transportation for the poor folks.

At the same time the very Flemish joie de vivre, the feeling that the good times are rolling, makes Knokke a wonderful refuge from the dismal international news and war developments that preoccupy me when home in Brussels.

The interesting thing is that Knokke is not a gated community. It is open to day visitors of all kinds. And its ethnic composition is in flux. In the past, say up to Covid, on a weekend you could be sure to see on the digue (beachside walkway mentioned above, favored by strollers and cyclists) groups of Orthodox Jews, Hassidim based in Antwerp, going to or coming from their prayer services. Their distinctive dress, with men wearing oversized black fur hats even in the midst of summer, made them very easy to spot. Today, by contrast, the presence of Orthodox Jews has faded and in their place there is a growing and visible presence of Muslims. Clearly, well-to-do Muslims.

In general, Flanders is known to be anti-immigrant. The Belgian Minister of Defense, Theo Francken, gained national attention by his 2018 book Continent without borders, which denounced the uncontrolled entry of supposed refugees from Syria in 2015-2016. In his new position, Francken has co-authored measures to restrict access to Europe put in place by the EU authorities. And yet, it is precisely here that you can see the rising Muslim population ‘strut its stuff’ in the most prestigious resort of the country. In the same vein, I direct attention to the Flemish Opera which closed its spring season in June with a production of Carmen that had lead singers from everywhere, including South Korean tenor Kyungho Kim playing Don José. For that matter, one of Knokke’s leading art galleries is featuring some remarkable canvases and sculptures by South Korean artists which they exhibit next to well known French artists of long ago.

My point is that Vladimir Putin is only partly right when he speaks about the sources of conflict in the West. He says repeatedly that Russia’s problem is with European elites, not with the broad population. I agree overall but not in particulars. What he is saying follows the ideas of Nixon’s Vice President Spiro Agnew, who wanted government to rely on the right-thinking ‘silent majority,’ not on the loud-mouth elites.

Putin points to the dominant Progressives like Macron who have adopted false values and scorn the traditional social building blocks of family and religion. They are the disseminators of Russophobia. together with their cockeyed satanic values that we saw exhibited during the last Olympic Games in Paris. And yet, as I mention above, the elites are not a homogenous bloc. The proof is that elites in a vacation mood, at ease with their mug of beer and feet in the sand, can be quite tolerant folks and really don’t give a thought to Russia and its war.

©Gilbert Doctorow, 2026

News X World:  interview of 6 August 2026

Today’s interview has been split by the broadcaster into two podcasts:

Major Russian oil refinery burns after overnight drone attack near Yaroslavl

US Weighs Ukraine Patriot production

I am grateful to the Indian broadcaster for allowing me to go beyond the headlines to explore the underlying issues: 

that the Ukrainian attacks on Russian energy infrastructure are well planned and executed using the most advanced US and European drones, causing significant disruption of the Russian fuel supply to consumers across the country and raising the unpopularity of Putin’s war of attrition strategy. These drone attacks demonstrate the irrelevance of Zelensky’s call for Patriots, which, if received, would be useless against Russian hypersonic missiles that are now being used by Moscow in considerable numbers. Moreover, Kiev’s air defense is sufficient to keep Russian bombers away from its air space, depriving Moscow of the possibility to use its much more powerful glide bombs

©Gilbert Doctorow, 2026

Segments from News X World morning and afternoon interviews today

For those of you on vacation who are now looking more for entertainment than for information, I recommend that you take a look at these podcasts, especially the last one which has a fairly tart conclusion.

Morning

Black Sea strikes: Russia claims strikes hit 3 Black Sea cargo ships

Red Sea escalation : Red Sea tensions rise after Houthi tanker attack claim

from minute 11.40

Afternoon

Explosive Drone Found at German Airport

from minute 21.00

Putin commits political suicide on the evening of the attack on a Black Sea beach in the Krasnodar region that killed seven, including children

Democracy is not only the best political system around because all the others are worse. It is the best because it assumes common sense and sound judgment in a great swathe, sometimes even the majority of the general population. It gives us reason for hope that bad policies and bad politician can be changed peacefully from time to time without bloodshed.  And for that reason, I am delighted to receive  comments from my readers such as the following from a certain “Eric” whose email address indicates that he is likely writing from Russia. My point is that you don’t have to have an advanced degree in political science to see through rubbish that state broadcasters may send you, and to do this entirely on your own and without coaching.

Quote

Now there was at least proper reports of it on Vesti this morning, but yesterday there was nothing at all about the drone terrorism near Gelendzhik on the news.

Instead they lead with the worthless image of Putin kicking a football around the stage as part of a youth award event. Embarassing.

In a normal country, the President should be making a televised address that same day to the nation over such a serious attack. Making threats to the western supplies and organisers of Kiev, announcing some countermeasures- but he’s long given up the pretense of threatening the west ( nevermind look like he will). What has become implicitly accepted civilian deaths in liberated territories and border regions from Ukrainian attacks is now nonchalantly accepted as inevitable daily mass civilian deaths with 5-8 killed, dozens injured,deep in mainland Russia. No deterrence achieved against this vile regime, mainly because their western controllers have nothing to worry about.

The head of Wildberries, she made a speech that put the likes of Putin to shame in terms of bring upfront with people.

The successful Ukraine strikes are now so daily that a directive of “keep calm” to not spread panic is worthless

This is still in the aftermath of the terror attack in the Moscow restaurant where after 3 days there is still not a single piece of extra information on what happened and ( hopefully not) if General Chaiko was the target with his daughter seriously injured and her husband killed.

Dare I say it, but this indifference in public towards civilian deaths inside Russia deserves to have serious repercussions for Putin and Russian leadership. It’s like the modern day version of the western myth that Soviet generals were throwing around Red Army soldiers to be easily sacrificed- but this time with civilian deaths being treated as non events

And it looks particularly worse as the point you pose remains unanswered- liberation of Donbass won’t lead to the other objectives listed by Putin at the start of the military operation being fulfilled

Unquote

Yes, indeed: “the worthless image of Putin kicking a ball.”  Those were precisely my thoughts as I watched the opening minutes of Vesti news last night and saw Putin’s smiling face, his basking in the ecstatic greetings extended to him by youths in a vast auditorium for participants in a youth program intended to encourage and support their development into leading professionals of the next generation.

The broadcaster made no concession to the shocking tragedy that was reported later in the news bulletin about the 7 killed, 15 sent to hospital, some with very serious injuries and still more wounded from a Ukrainian drone attack on a popular family holiday resort on the Black Sea in the Krasnodar region. Normal guidance for heads of state in such situations is for them to fly down to the scene of the tragedy, to declare several days of mourning and to address the broad public on what has occurred and what will be done about it. Not to have done so was a self-damaging act by Vladimir Putin that his compatriots will not forgive or forget.

©Gilbert Doctorow, 2026

Yesterday afternoon’s News X World interview on latest Russian missile strikes in Kiev

minutes 20.40 to 27.40 in this hourly news bulletin

This interview opens with discussion of the contradictory narratives coming from Russia and Ukraine over the latest missile strikes in Kiev. Per Ukraine, residential neighborhoods were struck. Per Russia, they hit military targets manufacturing drones and other weapons. As I explain there is no contradiction in fact because the Zelensky regime systematically locates military production in apartment blocks.

We go on to discuss at some length the latest protests against the firing of Defense Minister Fedorov and his allegation that he was removed because his planned reforms of procurement stepped on the toes of vested interests.