Transcript of Press TV panel discussion, 19 September

Transcript submitted by a reader

http://www.urmedium.net/c/presstv/134610

Bardia Honardar, PressTV: 0:04
Hello and welcome to “Spotlight”. The UN Security Council has rejected a bid to keep sanctions relief for Iran, paving the way for renewed UN sanctions within days. Iran has slammed the move, calling any attempt by the European trio to reimpose sanctions baseless and a direct assault on international law. Iran’s ambassador to the UN, Amir Saeedi Ravani, emphasized that in a striking display of hypocrisy, the European trio and the US claim that Tehran must be punished for the reciprocal measures it took years after enduring violations by the other side. The three European countries triggered the snapback process last month, accusing Iran of breaching its obligations under the 2015 nuclear deal. That mechanism will expire on October the 18th.

0:54
And if no deal is reached by September 28th, international sanctions suspended under the nuclear deal will automatically return. Allow me to introduce my guests for tonight’s show. Security and political analyst Avi Rizk, joining us from the Lebanese capital Beirut. And we also have independent international affairs analyst Gilbert Doctorow joining us from Brussels.

1:25
Gentlemen, welcome to the program. Let’s start off with Mr. Rizk in Beirut. Iran’s ambassador to the UN, Amir Said Ravani, said today’s action was hasty, unnecessary and unlawful. The Iranian foreign minister also highlighted that the push to revive sanctions lacked consensus and faced serious opposition from several council members. What were your expectations for today’s session, Mr. Risk?

Rizk: 1:51
I think that the expectations were that indeed that this measure wouldn’t pass and that the sanctions are going to be implemented or imposed. In fact, the French president Emmanuel Macron said as much during an interview with Israeli television when he was asked about this topic. He was asked, are you certain, I think, that the sanctions are going to impose? He responded in the affirmative.

So I don’t think it comes as a big surprise. And I think that a lot of it’s related to European animosity towards Iran, specifically over Russia. In other words, there’s a lot of hostility and animosity between the Europeans and the Russians over Ukraine. And we know that Iran has drawn closer to Russia in recent years.

2:41
And so that’s made Iran more of an enemy in Europe’s eyes. I think that is one or possibly the major factor, not the only one, but a major factor behind the European approach to Iran and the fact that they’ve decided to impose these sanctions.

PressTV:
Gilbert Doctorow, Iran’s ambassador to the UN said any attempt by the European trio to reimpose sanctions is baseless and a direct assault on international law and the Council’s credibility. Give us your perspective on this route that the E3 decided to pursue ultimately.

Doctorow: 3:20
I believe that the underlying reasons for this action have nothing to do with Iran. I agree with the remarks of my fellow panelist that they are to be understood in reference to Europe’s positions on Russia. And this action against Iran is in its own way similar to Donald Trump’s attacks on boats in the Caribbean, allegedly coming from Venezuela and carrying narcotics. This is the action of a bully, a cowardly bully, who looks for a weak spot to flex his muscles and show his strength. And that is what the European Troika is doing. They are picking on Iran because they don’t have the guts to go directly after Russia. That’s what it’s all about.

PressTV:
All right, Ali Rizk, China and Russia who backed today’s proposal, they condemned further sanctions on Tehran as counterproductive, illegal and invalid. They also released a joint statement regarding the anti-Iran sanctions. The two countries said that the reinstatement of the sanctions [was] illegal. They will not comply with or abide by these renewed sanctions. So break down the response from China and Russia. What message do you think this sends to the other side, to those who are pushing for the renewal of the sanctions and for cranking up pressure on Iran?

Rizk: 5:01
Well, I think it was very clear during the recent summits which were held in Beijing, if you remember, Chinese President Xi Jinping hosting a number of world leaders, including Russian President Vladimir Putin, also Iranian President Masoud Pazhashkian, and the North Korean leader Kim Jong-un. I think that this show– by the way, another very important development during that summit, perhaps the most important, was the participation of the Indian Prime Minister Modi. I think that was a major, major development.

So I think that that particular summit showed that there’s a emerging block which is taking shape. And the reason why I focused on India is that India’s traditionally seemed to be on the Western or in the Western camp. But what happened in Beijing, I think, proved that something different is taking shape, because I think of Trump’s own policies.

6:02
And I also believe that this also brings me to another important issue. For example, India didn’t commit to the sanctions which were imposed on Russia. That’s why Trump chose to increase the tariffs. But that just goes to tell you that even if the Western camp doesn’t tend to increase the maximum pressure on Iran, a lot of the countries aren’t going to commit to that, regardless of this resolution or regardless of the European intentions to reactivate the snapback mechanism. So China and Russia, yes they won’t commit to it, but I think also countries like India, it’s quite possible that they might not also commit to it.

6:47
So this era of Western hegemony and the West being able to impose its own will, I think that slowly is breaking down. And I think Trump’s policies, by the way, are speeding up the process of it breaking down. So yes, it is considered to be, I think, an escalatory step, but I think that other countries do have their own incentives to try and stop or limit how effective these measures will be, not just for the sake of Iran, I think, but also because they want to prove their own points that there’s a new world order which is emerging, and that the US can no longer use these sanctions in such a way.

PressTV: 7:31
And Mr. Doctorow, about the reactions and responses coming in following the UN Security Council session, if you’d like to add anything to China and Russia’s response. Also, Pakistan said invoking snapback complicates the situation. Iran’s cooperation with the IAEA could be an area which gets complicated.

Doctorow:
I subscribe completely to the remarks of my fellow panelist. We respect the positions of China and Russia on the snapback. I just remember that going back 10 years, the Russians and other countries that had been subjected to sanctions went along with the dictat coming from the United States and its allies to impose sanctions on a country X, Y, and Z. That game is over, and it has been declared invalid from the highest possible point, that is Russia and China.

8:39
And for that reason, the notion that a Gemini is unraveled, or has unraveled already, and cannot be put back in place is a very important development to which we are witnesses. Having said that, of course I appreciate that imposing or reimposing sanctions on Iran will be very painful for your country. And I am hopeful that understanding in places like Russia and China will enable mitigation of the pain that the troika in Europe intend to impose.

Let us also consider that they’re acting in the hope, one more action in the hope of currying favor with Donald Trump. Trump, of course, is much tougher on Iran than he dares to be on Russia. So this is a situation in which Iran is an unwilling victim and a innocent victim, one can say. It is being punched for the simple reason that those who are imposing these sanctions believe that they can do to Iran what they cannot do to a country like Russia. And then that is sad.

PressTV:
So Mr. Rizk, Gilbert Doctorow believes that the trail leads back to Russia. Iran’s foreign minister, however, he has accused the European Troika, France, Germany and the UK of colluding with Israel and the United States to maliciously pressure the Iranian people. Your reaction to that accusation, and do you agree with the Iranian foreign minister?

Rizk: 10:34
I think that part of it is about the United States, but again, I think the Europeans have their own hostility towards Iran, which is separate than the issue of the United States. And it wouldn’t be the first time, by the way. If you go back to when Obama wanted to reach the agreement or when he did reach the agreement with Iran, France objected strongly initially. It was the most hawkish player out of all of the G5-plus-1.

And at the initial phase, it obstructed the American efforts, Obama’s efforts to reach an agreement. This time around, I think that the European stance is even more hawkish, as I said, due to the developments that have taken place between Iran and Russia. By that, I mean the closer ties between the two countries. But regarding Israel, I think that’s an interesting point. And this brings me to the issue of the European intentions to recognize a Palestinian state. And we hear now about potential European sanctions against Israel.

11:36
Now I think possibly, possibly, the Europeans, in order to satisfy the Israelis, they might be following the strategy in such a way, in the following way, that we recognize a Palestinian state, we might sanction some Israeli right-wing figures, but at the same time, we impose sanctions against Iran. That way, they might make up for Israel.

So they take some anti-Israeli measures on the one hand, but they make up for that by escalating against Iran. And I think many Western countries do pursue these kinds of policies in order to gain the satisfaction of Israel, because Israel still, I think, wields enormous influence over political decision making in the West.

PressTV: 12:25
Gilbert Doctorow, along the lines of the same issue, a guest that we spoke to earlier here following today’s UN Security Council session said that there is a constant effort to undermine Iran at every turn. Please tell us whether you agree with that or not; and who benefits from this?

Doctorow:
Well the beneficiary of course is Israel. Any restrictions on Iran that cause economic harm, any restrictions that cause a weakening of some sort in the military capabilities of Iran all serve the purposes of Israel.

As regards Israeli influence on this decision, I’m rather skeptical. The decision to reimpose or use this snapback, I’m rather skeptical that they played any significant role. I still say the issues are more on the United States, currying favor with the United States, and doing to Iran what they would like to do to Russia, but don’t have the ability or the force of will to do.

PressTV: 13:40
Sure. And Ali Rizk, just chronologically looking at everything that led up to the situation we are right now, the E3, they also severely failed in carrying out their obligations under the JCPOA. So what about all of Europe’s shortcomings in the implementation of the nuclear deal? And why did Iran have to do all the heavy lifting all these years? Why has Iran always been the one to shoulder the responsibility of keeping the JCPOA afloat?

Rizk:
Well, I think that’s been the issue all along. I have to emphasize here, I must slightly disagree with my colleague. I still think Israel wields enormous influence over the West, and I think this goes a long way in giving an answer to what you just asked.

PressTV:
Absolutely.

Rizk:
Israel is viewed as a natural ally of the West, of Europe and of the United States, and as a result of Israel being viewed as this natural ally, that leads to these double standards which you just referred to. The Europeans weren’t able to live up to their own pledges of the deal simply because Trump introduced this mechanism of secondary sanctions, meaning that if the EU were to continue with business deals with Iran after the US withdrew under Trump, they would be subject to sanctions. And I think the EU economies are just too weak to withstand that.

But again, I think the major, the basic point is that Israel continues to be viewed despite everything which is happening and the horrors of Gaza, it’s still viewed as a natural Western ally, and that’s translated into these policies which appear to be illogical and place all of the onus on Iran without looking at how other parties have not lived up to their commitments or pledges.

PressTV: 15:42
Mr. Doctorow, would you like to respond to that?

Doctorow:
Well, if we look at this old question of the smaller devil and the bigger devil, the smaller devil being Israel and the bigger devil being the United States, I put my money on the bigger devil. This is– what we are now engaged in, my fellow panelists and myself, is a debate over whether Israel is the tail wagging the dog or whether the head is wagging the tail. I opt for the head wagging the tail.

Israel does what the United States wants. And it’s not because Israel dominates the United States, but because the United States dominates, or can dominate Israel, if and when, at any moment, it wants to. Everyone knows full well that the moment the United States pulls the plug on its economic support to Israel, Israel will fold. So the situation is a bit different from my perspective from the presentation that Israel is calling the shots and the United States falls into line.

PressTV:
All right, and staying with you, Mr. Doctorow, Iran has been calling out a serious double standard here, where Tehran has demonstrated its peaceful intentions, pointing to years of cooperation with the IAEA and the transparency it has shown under the NPT. But Israel, which is carrying out a genocide as we speak, it possesses nuclear weapons without scrutiny, and Iran here is being punished for its civilian nuclear technology.

Doctorow: 17:24
Well, unfortunately, the world we’re living in has more than double standards to worry about. It is very sad that the Gulf states have done nothing to save the Palestinians and to put pressure, military pressure, as well as political pressure, on Israel to desist.

That is the world we live in. It’s a much more complicated world than we have been discussing till now. And it is regrettable that none of the great powers can move in. It’s logical they can’t move in if the neighbors of Israel and Palestine are doing nothing other than Iran. Iran is very active. The Houthis are very active. But the rest of the region is quiet.

PressTV:
And same question to you Mr. Rizk about this double standard and hypocrisy that we’re seeing with regards to the Israeli regime.

Rizk: 18:25
If you just give me a minute to respond to that point, I know we’re going off script here, but I have to emphasize that the recent strike on Doha, Qatar, the Israeli attack, I think that proves in my humble opinion beyond any doubt that it’s Israel which directs US policy in the way it wishes more than the other way around. I’m not saying it dominates or it always decides, but it does have significant influence.

Look at the pro-Israeli lobby, look at the evangelicals, and the US, it can, if it pulls the plug on economic aid to Israel, yes, Israel wouldn’t survive. But I don’t think that there’s any US president who has the political will to do so, because of the dangers that would expose. The strike on Qatar, you’re talking about Centcom, the base of Centcom. Now how that strike serves American interests, I fail to see.

19:22
Regarding the double standards, look, again, this is standard Western policy. There are certain players which are signified as national allies. [4 sec. no sound] And that’s the way the policies are pursued, despite the fact that this sometimes is contradictory to Western interests, but they continue to pursue that. And it seems to want to be rather illogical, not based on any strategic or rational calculations.

PressTV: 19:56
Gilbert Doctorow, let’s talk about the credibility of the United Nations Security Council in its entirety as well. Do you think that the Security Council is a body for peace, or is it the exact opposite? Because we have to also allude to the constant resolutions for a ceasefire in Gaza that have been vetoed at the Security Council.

Doctorow:
There’s no question that the UN Security Council is not functioning as designed. But it was always from the very beginning intended to be a place of dispute and failure to resolve issues. That was foreseen when the veto was given to the permanent members.

So I don’t see a very great deterioration in the efficacy of UN resolutions or in the actions of the Security Council itself. The Security Council is a talking body. And it is a place where some debates of importance take place, which can be useful for informing the broad public across the world. However, when matters are critical, as they are in the Palestinian issue, on the issue of Iran today, we can expect that the various interests work against any effective resolution. That’s where we are today. And I’ll say the issue is in the region, and the region is doing nothing.

PressTV: 21:45
Okay, final question to Mr. Rizk. Same issue about the United Nations Security Council. Do you think there’s a big question mark over the credibility of the likes of the UNSC? Is it a force for good or is it a force to stifle good?

Rizk:
I’m not sure if we can say it’s a force for good or a force for evil. The UN Security Council, it’s a result of World War Two, basically, whereby you have the most powerful countries that emerge after World War II, which have veto power. Each country, yesterday for example, it turned out to be a force of sheer evil when the US used that veto against the resolution regarding genocide, which is taking place in [Gaza]. So there are certain powers who exercise their own domination if you would like, in order to push through their own policies. And I think that more and more we’re approaching the law of the jungle, if you would like, outside the framework of the UN.

One very good example of that is not only the genocide in Gaza, but also what the guests referred to, the current US campaign against Venezuela, the attack on boats and fishermen, which is happening. Also how the George Bush administration launched the war on terror without going back to the Security Council. So I think that quite some time, the UN Security Council has been only able to do so much.

PressTV: 23:16
All right, thank you, gentlemen. We’re going to leave it there. Security and political analyst Avi Rizk, joining us from Beirut. And independent international affairs analyst Gilbert Doctorow, joining us from Brussels. Than you, gentlemen, and a special thanks to you our viewers for staying with us on tonight’s edition of “Spotlight”. It’s good night for now. We’ll see you next time.

Transcript of a conversation with Professor Glenn Diesen

 1 September 2025

Transcript submitted by a reader

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zgEZmp-sBk8

Diesen: 0:00
Hi everyone, and welcome back. We are joined again by Gilbert Doktorow, an historian, international affairs analyst, and author of “War Diaries, the Russia-Ukraine War”. So welcome back to the program.

Doctorow;
Well, it’s my pleasure.

Diesen:
So we now see that– we’re watching the SCO meeting in China. That is the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. And of all the members attending, I think the most important aspect of this meeting is now India, China and Russia coming together, these three Eurasian giants. Indeed, we have now all these pictures and videos of Modi, Xi and Putin looking extremely friendly. And I know optics isn’t everything, but Modi of course is traveling to China for the first time in seven years. And we have pictures of Modi hugging Putin, reassuring each other that this is an enduring partnership between India and Russia. They’re not going to walk it back. If anything is underutilized, they have to build on it further.

1:09
We also see Modi shaking hands with Xi after all these tensions over the past years, both calling for improving China in their relations as these two Eurasian giants. So recognizing that they should perhaps sort out their relationship. Now this, well, to me seems very historic. I was wondering, what do you make of this huge meeting?

Doctorow: 1:37
The meeting was historic, I agree completely. And I find that perhaps some observers in India, and not only in the West, are missing that point. I have been under siege, in fact, as you probably picked up the recording of this telephone call that was coming in, because I have received multiple phone calls starting at 6 A.M. This morning from different Indian broadcasters. And I have participated in their programs.

It was one thing to talk, it’s another thing to listen. And I was listening to what _they_ are saying, because these were not just one-on-one interviews, but they were panel discussions with various prominent Indians in the country and outside and Western experts invited to speak. And what I heard was a bit surprising, a bit disappointing, because I don’t think that they, India, of all places, that their experts are fully appreciating what’s happened in the past two days. I believe that Mr. Modi has, and if he has, then he will be regretting that he is not going to be at the Beijing military parade on Wednesday.

2:41
But what is, to answer your question directly, what I think we are witnessing is the rise of India. The Indians themselves are exulting over what they see as the humiliation of Pakistan in one of the points in the joint declaration adopted by the SCO at its closing, that point being the condemnation of cross-border terrorism and the attack on India. Well, we know where the cross-border came from. It came from Pakistan. And so the Indians are celebrating that as the, can you imagine the SCO has just put Pakistan in its place.

That is exaggerated. Let us remember that Pakistan is a protege of China and this slap on the wrist for Pakistan could not have been proved without Xi approving it. Furthermore, the situation overall is much more complicated than these several Indian journalists would have us believe. After all, Pakistan is a close supporter of Iran. Iran is an important transit country for the North-South Corridor, which India wants very much, because it would give India access to the whole of Central Asia, which under the present conditions where everybody is scrambling to find new markets, is all the more important to India’s economic future.

4:17
So there are complications here of many [coms]. I hope we can get into some of them because, astonishingly, they haven’t been brought to light. And one of them, which I’ll just mention here, to seed our discussion, is the presence of the Prime Minister of – my goodness, I’m speaking now about Pashinyan, Armenia, and his warm discussion, tete-a-tete, unforeseen in the program, with Vladimir Putin, which was featured on yesterday’s wrap-up of the week’s news hosted by Mr. Kiselyov. I hope we get to that because it shows how all of these countries, that are members or observers or guests of the SCO, have interests that are intertwined, and some of them are conflicting.

5:16
When you have 25, 26 countries, it’s not surprising that there will also be conflicting interests. And there you have a summit like the one of the last two days, which provides a platform, a venue for these various parties to get together in quick sequence so that discussions between two could then be extended to their circle. And that is what’s happened in the last two days. I believe that, for example, that Armenia was roped into this, probably by the Indians or by Xi. As you may be aware, Mr. Macron in France has done his best to ruin relations between Russia and Armenia.

6:03
And what you had and was shown on Russian television yesterday was the two of them, Putin and Pashinyan, sitting next to one another, Pashinyan said, “Oh yes, Vladimir Vldimirovich, you are my good friend.” And well, this of course was lapped up by the Russian news commentators. But there are all these little details. And they tell you the part that is visible. I have to tell you that a lot is going on that is invisible.

But coming back to the question of India, and coming back to what the SCO stands for, because there’s a lot of confusion in the broad public. How is this different from BRICS? And well, BRICS is a global organization, and it has in its membership key founding members, countries like Brazil or South Africa, which are not terribly interested in issues that move Russia and China, for example. And they hold up progress in the integration of BRICS because they have their own concerns about relations with the United States and whether or not they’re tipping too far against the United States and so forth.

7:13
The ISHOR, as the Russians call it, or SCO, it was founded about 30 years ago and had at its job description, as its mission, to bring security to that East Asian region. It was founded by Russia and China, primarily, first of all, to moderate their competition for the Central Asian countries and also for the two of them to coordinate actions to keep the United States and other interlopers out of the region. Officially its task was to combat terrorism and to combat narcotrafficking.

Now what we saw in the last two days is a vast expansion of its remit, of its self-definition. It is taking on features of BRICS that is an economic dimension. Mr. Xi rolled out the plans, or the announced plans, to create a CSO, sorry, SCO bank, a bank for development. This is remarkable. We have, we see, oh my goodness, the friends are back.

8:39
We see the attempt to integrate this vast region financially and economically, recalling that its global contribution of GDP is 24 trillion dollars. Now, it does not do away with the importance of the United States as a global trade influencer, But it is very significant. The concentration is on Eurasia. There are the margins Belarus, Mr. Lukashenko was there and was warmly greeted. There is the entrance of the Middle Eastern countries, and that is Perseio, the United Arab Emirates. I think they fit into the financial dimension as possible supporters, backers, of this new bank that is planned for the Shanghai Cooperation Organization.

9:56
The… Now, what about the languages? Well, the working languages of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization are Russian and Mandarin. That tells you who runs the show. This is a point that somehow commentators in the West just don’t talk about. They talk about 25 countries are there, la, la, la, but who was running the show? It is Russia and China.

I think for India, judging by the body language between Xi, Putin, and Modi in the final hours when they’re all together, and they were conferring together, we see the prospect or the invitation for India to rise as one of the governing countries of the SCO. And that is, if that is fulfilled, it’s dramatic change.

10:52
At the same time, coming into this, I think Mr. Modi missed opportunities. I think his stopping in Japan was a mistake. Obviously, it was a message. He was giving a message to the Chinese that “Don’t think that we’re going to fall into bed with you tomorrow, but we have our own options.” And his decision not to participate in the or not to witness the military parade in Beijing, I think that was a bad decision. After all, the parade is celebrating the end of the war in the Pacific. India was not a country in 1945, but there were a lot of Indian soldiers who fought the Japanese in the Pacific as soldiers in the British Empire.

11:43
The Indians in both fronts, both in Europe and in Asia, lost one and a half million soldiers in World War II. And I think it was a mistake for Modi not to honor the memory of those compatriots who died putting an end to World War II in the Pacific. By the same token, I think it is very sad that Donald Trump will not be there, because of course the Americans had a decisive role also in liberation of island after island of occupied territory from the Japanese, and he’s not going to be there. The United States will not be represented at the proper level at this landmark event. The Chinese, since nobody talks about it much, they have very few military parades. They are not like the Russians, every year. And this is a big deal. And so for Modi not to be there, for Trump not to be there, I think is a big mistake.

Diesen: 12:48
You mentioned the SCO developing and yeah, because originally it was intended as focusing on security, that is terrorism and such, but [was] managing Russia and China so they wouldn’t have the security competition and the power competition in Central Asia. But once they began to take on economic competencies, they also, that would mean to hand over some of the leading role from Russia to China.

So when they brought in all these other large powers, be it India or let’s extend Pakistan, but Iran, then I think the Russians became more comfortable, because the Chinese would still be the leading one, but they wouldn’t be in a dominating position with all these other giants.

13:32
But that being said, it seems often that when, when I read the Western commentary on the SCO, it’s often focused on, “Well, look at all this competing interests they have. They’re not aligned.” But again, this is a very different form of organizing security though. It’s not the alliance system where you have a group of countries working together for security against an external non-member of the bloc. Instead you’re having security arrangements where you seek security with other members of the grouping. I mean, China, India, Pakistan, there are tensions behind this country.

But the whole point is that if they’re able to solve the political differences, then they can have some mutual economic benefits. It just seems that often in the West, we tend to assess everything based on how, if the interests are completely aligned. But often this means, you know, the way we often achieve it in the West is by framing everything in the language of ideology, which often results in countries not being able to pursue their national interests, as we see in Europe. But if you have all these countries with competing national interests, all pursuing their national interests, which at times is in competition, the goal surely isn’t some utopia where everyone agrees on everything, is it?

Doctorow:
No, it isn’t and can’t be. These countries have their diverse interests and some of them, visitors of course, understand this as solitude and are unwilling to compromise on it. As India is shown by its refusal to follow the dictat of Donald Trump respecting their trade in Russian petroleum. And this subject has been much in discussion among the commentators on the Indian broadcasters. And these are NewsX, NewsX World– they are two different companies– CNN 18; and they are talking about what Trump has done only in the terms of what is obvious and evident, that they are being treated in a discriminatory manner, that China buys more oil than Russia does and is not being penalized, that this is double standards and so on.

16:02
They are not looking at what was in the last paragraph of the “Financial Times”‘s discussion of the impact of the tariffs on US-Indian relations a couple of days ago. They were talking about the impact on the Indian economy. In point of fact, the impact is on manufactured goods and precisely textiles. And textiles for export mostly to the States has two percent of the Indian workforce, as I understand.

That’s not a great number, but considering the size of India, still it has to be said. Now, the… what… This is quite distracting. I regret it.
[ringing telephone not heard on recording]
But you see the insistence of the Indian broadcasters. I am now losing my train of thought. So let’s go back to your question, if we may.

Diesen: 17:23
Well, it’s to what extent the SCO arrangements and the cooperation between India and China and Russia should be assessed based on the extent to which competing interests are eliminated or simply how the differences are addressed.

Because it has a very different system than this assumption we have in the West that everything has to fit in this alliance system. But as we know from political realists, I guess permanent peacetime alliances is not very attractive always, because it locks in countries and prevents them from pursuing national interest. John Hertz even wrote in 1950 that these peacetime alliances, it removes the right to make war and replaces it [with] a responsibility to make war. So this is why the Chinese don’t want alliance systems essentially. They want to be in a more loose organization where they don’t have to push national interests aside in order to align policies.

18:39
Well, now I understand why I was jumping to the following issue, of where Mr. Trump stands on this. And this was something which I expressed with several of the broadcasters to their enormous surprise. I hope it gives them reason to reflect. They were all focusing on the superficial side of what Trump has done, just as the “Financial Times” in its article on the Indian relations with United States focused on the economic side of the tariffs, what this means to their trade after all, it is only on manufacturers, particularly textiles, doesn’t affect the very big and important $80 billion trade in IT, where India is a major supplier of programming and business intelligence to American corporations or the pharmaceutical industry.

19:31
So it affects a lot of people. It has a political impact because these are textile workers, after all, and they are going to lose their jobs. But if the very last paragraph, the “Financial Times” said, [“And by the way, this is going to really damage the quadrilateral arrangements that the United States has constructed carefully over the last 25 years to bring India into containment policy and directed against what’s said to be China’s aggressive ambitions and expansion, destroyed in several weeks.”]

And my point is this was not an accidental consequence. It was the _reason_ for the tariffs to be imposed, because the tariffs are illogical. Everyone knows that. And they are discriminative. And why India is being hit and China isn’t, it was precisely, I believe, because Mr. Trump in his, insofar as he has a foreign policy and concept, this is exactly what you’re describing.

20:39
And he didn’t think it up. He got it from Henry Kissinger, who was closely advising him during his presidential campaign in 2016, and whose ideas were reflected in Trump’s first national security strategy papers in December of 2017. And this is relationships between competitors and not adversaries. It rejects completely the fundamental principles of neoconservatism. And people who think that Trump doesn’t have an idea in his head had better reread Kissinger, 1994, “Diplomacy” and reread the 2017 American National Security strategy papers.

21:34
It’s one and the same idea. The idea that Kissinger was promoting in ’94 and had to move away from when he did his “World Order” in 2014, was a world of pre-World War I nature, of several major powers who were competitors, but no bloc. But, well, I say you go earlier, still earlier, because by the 1890s, there were blocs, of course.

But earlier than that, and certainly going back to the period that Kissinger loved most, 1815, the concert of powers, the balance of powers notions that predominated at least until 1870. That is the vision that Kissinger had in 1994 when people like him were making roadmaps for the post-Cold War period, and that was his vision. And I believe it’s a vision that he passed along to Donald Trump, who is trying his best within the limited possibilities he has, to break up the blocs.

Diesen: 22:42
Well, this, yeah, ’94 book on world order, though, it’s, he always made the point that world order, if it’s going to be stable and sustainable, it needs to balance just both the power and legitimacy. And I guess this was always the problem of unipolarity. It’s not durable in terms of the distribution of power and it’s not going to have the legitimacy of one center ruling. And also in order to have this he also recognized you need the balance of having this what Chinese call civilizational diversity and also agreeing on some key principles. But you know so how do you, yeah some ways we will always be different, the nationalist idea, and then some principles we need to have the same.

23:25
I think under the liberal hegemony, we tilted too much to the idea that everything has to be shared principles and we forgot about the cultural distinctiveness, which kind of lays the foundation for sovereignty. And from my perspective, it also builds in a bit to Trump’s perhaps domestic ideas, because he sees that this liberal hegemony is eating up some of the values in terms of America’s own civilizational distinctiveness and turning into this, what he would consider liberal blob, I guess. But do you think he’s still working according to the Kissinger’s manual? I know they did speak ahead of his, you know, after he won the election. But how much do you think he’s influenced by these ideas?

Doctorow: 24:14
Well, you can ask the Kissinger to follow his own recommendations of ’94. Of course not. There is a big change in Kissinger between what he wrote in “Diplomacy” and what he wrote in “World Order”. And that was that he got beaten up over his vision of ’94 by the neocons, for being an unforgiving realist who was discarding values. And of course, Americans make a great deal out of values to drive foreign policy.

So in the end, in 2014, after saying that the foreign policy would be interest-based, he threw a bouquet to his opponents and said, yes, and of course there also should be democracy values uniting some parts of the world community. But that is not such a big concession, when you consider going back to his dissertation work on 1815, it all ended. Yes, there was a realist approach, but it was all framed by monarchical principles, and so these– which were the values of the time. These ideas, which are in competition, did not completely rule out the other side of the story. The question is where is the basic thrust?

25:50
And the basic thrust of Kissinger’s thinking was realism and eschewing all ideology; and I believe that Donald Trump remains in that camp. And people who say “Oh, he surrounded himself with Rubios.” Well, if you’re going to look for people who share that view, you wouldn’t have anybody around him. There are very few realists in high position, or with recent government experience, whom he could have as counselors and implementers. So he engages, as I’ve said, in double talk, and he does within the limits that one man can do when he is in a power situation surrounded by many other forces. After all, there are limitations on the president’s power, however much “New York Times” would like to say he’s overriding it all.

26:44
And he pursues a destruction of blocs. NATO is hard to get rid of. To really get rid of it, he needs two-thirds of the Senate backing him, which is not available. The quadrilateral arrangement never received that kind of formation, formal formation, where it cannot be undone. He’s undoing it. So I firmly believe that Trump has an idea or two in his head, And I believe that the ideas that he holds closest to his heart, as he has a heart also, are coming from Kissinger. I remember that Kissinger was very, very pleased to have the ear of Donald Trump, because for the first time in 30 years, he was not admitted by Obama to the Oval Office, who didn’t, who simply despised Kissinger and didn’t want to hear his advice.

27:45
Whereas Trump was very glad to take his advice. Of course, the role of Kissinger lasted almost a year. I wouldn’t say long. That’s understandable. There were many other competitors for Donald Trump’s ear. But I don’t believe that he has forgotten those lessons from Kissinger and that he is, I believe that he’s trying to implement them within his powers.

Diesen: 28:13
But on the topic of Kissinger though, one of the great achievements in the geopolitics was in the 1970s, splitting the Soviets from the Chinese. The general Machinder idea that you shouldn’t allow two Eurasian giants to get too close. Same with Germany and Russia. But the key criticism of Trump was always of Biden that the hostility towards Russia meant that the Russians were pushed into the arms of the Chinese.

But these recent pressures from Trump against India or his administration in terms of the tariffs and also the threats of a– pressuring of India not to trade with Russia, it appears to now be pushing India also towards the arms of China. Again, despite, I accept the premise, this idea that Trump is very hostile to all these alliance systems as a way of locking in America, preventing the reforms it needs. However, from every aspect, this seems to have been a colossal mistake, because America needs India if they want to have some balance against the Chinese or just some good relations in the East. This just seems like a disaster though, isn’t it?

29:44
I think it’s a temporary situation. I think this was a body blow intended to end India’s involvement in the containment policy against China and the formation of a new military bloc in Asia. The situation between Russia and China and India and China cannot be compared. India and China do not have the common economic interests that Russia and China have.

As the Indians say openly, what do we have to sell to the Chinese? Nothing. All we can do is buy from the Chinese. So that is not a prospect to be compared with the Russian situation. This was mentioned yesterday on Russian state television as they were discussing these various relationships. Russia is probably the only major country that has a proficit, not a deficit, in its trade relations with China.

30:51
And it is not just that they are supplying hydrocarbons and also more recently, a lot of agricultural commodities. They also are about to supply the jet engines for China’s newest middle-range passenger airliner, which is left engineless because of sanctions by the United States. Yes, as they said yesterday, you can count the world’s producers of advanced jet engines for passenger airliners on one hand, and Russia is one of them. And this is now being finalized. So the Russians are not just selling commodities, they’re also selling some high-tech and some pharmaceuticals. The Russians’ pharmaceuticals are now entering the Chinese market.

31:52
Nothing like this, not of this scale, can be anticipated for India with respect to China. What is in prospect is not a full unlimited friendship or partnership, but an end to enmity, an end to these border skirmishes, and cooperation on a common development of economic and securityinterests in Eurasia.

Diesen:
Well, that in itself seems quite important, because whenever you have two great powers, of course, if you choose to put India in that category or at least an aspiring great power, once they have some tensions between them, these tensions or conflicts can be exploited by external parties who want to get some concessions from one or balance, contain the other.

32:51
But I guess, yes, the last question going back to the beginning. How much do you think this is, if not a change in the world order or development or shift away from the unipolar system, how significant should we interpret the direction we’re going now? Because I see the lack of trade compatibility between India and China. I don’t expect any alliance systems from come out of this, but the ability to deal with the competing or political conflicts, it’s quite significant in order to, I guess, organize an alternative international economic architecture, given that there’s less trust in both the ability of the United States to hold this role. I mean, even the US now seems to be recognizing that the dollar, it can’t be the only reserve currency. It will surely have a very leading role, but alternatives have to come in place to actually reflect the distribution of power as it is.

Doctorow: 34:02
There is an acceleration in the movement towards a multipolar world. And what we saw in these last two days are a significant landmark in that trail. So it is, we should not exaggerate, as you’re saying, we should not exaggerate the prospects for rapprochement or warming between China and India. But what comes out of this, as I was just hinting a moment ago, is the, raising the flag of sovereignty. India did that by its refusal to take phone calls from Donald Trump and demonstration in every which way that is not going to submit to the American efforts to break its reliance on Russian hydrocarbons, in fact, intending to increase by at least 10 percent its import of Russian hydrocarbons in the coming month.

35:00
This is a declaration of sovereignty. The Russians were talking sovereignty a year ago. And I was saying that this is the word of the year. But I think now we’re witnessing it spreading to other major powers. Sovereignty dictates against participation in a military alliance or bloc.

The Chinese were the first to realize that and to practice it. Going back, and just to take one comment on your remark with respect to Kissinger and the cleavage that America drove between Russia and China for its own benefit, I think you’re being unkind to Richard Nixon.

Diesen:
I’m unkind to…?

Doctorow:
Being unkind to Richard Nixon.

Diesen:
Oh yeah.

Doctorow:
I believe that was _his_ idea and that Kissinger was the implementer. Of course, Kissinger would not bring that fact out in his memoirs. Who can blame him. But Nixon was no fool. And from the perspective of today, the Nixon that was the nasty man who was unpleasant with the press, well, he looks like a gentleman, a dignified man. By accident, on YouTube I saw a year ago, the Kennedy-Nixon debates. Remarkable. These people were civilized. It’s been a descent from civilization ever since.

36:41
So Nixon looks a lot better in that optic, and he was smart enough to see that opportunity and to have a very good implementer in the person of Henry Kissinger.

Diesen:
Yeah, the decline in decency. It’s quite remarkable if you go back a few decades and look at those presidential debates. Hopefully we reach the bottom of the barrel and there will be some improvements coming. But no, it is interesting, because when I saw Peter Navarro making these comments, that is the adviser to Trump, that, you know, “India is the largest democracy, how can you cozy up with the Chinese? You should be loyal to us.”

In other words, “bend to our pressure.” I think it exposes how much of the world actually sees it whenever someone refers to liberal democracy. It’s often translated almost always into sovereign inequality, which means in the name of liberal democracy, you should not pursue your national interest. But India keeps saying, well, our national interest has to come first.

37:54
And that means they’re taking into consideration the neighborhood they live in also, of course, and not cutting themselves off from very vital partnerships. So no, this could be a huge shift. I’m just curious if it’s going to change American policies, because so far the US appears to be doubling down on this, that “How dare China go continue along this path? They should fall in line. Maybe the problem is we haven’t put enough tariffs on them.”

38:27
This is kind of the logic, what else can be done, as opposed to reflecting a bit on what the actual Indian position is, that they see this being an issue of sovereignty. And it pains me to say this as a European, but if you look towards the ones who are bending too much to fall in line and compromising on their national interests, it’s the Europeans. Whenever the Europeans bow to daddy and do as they’re told, every time you ignore your national interest, you’re going to come out in a weaker position. So it doesn’t seem like a model that Indians would like to emulate.

39:11
Sorry, that was just my last question. Do you see any changes coming from the US position now, given the pictures coming out of China of Modi, Xi and Putin essentially being defiant and not responding in terms of allowing divisions, but instead further decoupling and diversifying their ties?

Doctorow:
I think we have to give this a bit of time. As I’ve said, I don’t think that Donald Trump has any intention of severing commercial ties with India or maintaining his present punitive tariffs for long. I believe that he is fully expectant that Putin will destroy Ukraine in the coming weeks to months, and therefore these punitive tariffs will not go on all that long. This is a message to break up the quadrilateral NATO information in the Indo-Pacific.

40:17
And Russia– as for China, of course, they read the Riot Act to the Americans. They explained how they will destroy American industry by cutting off rare earth metals and other vital supplies to American industry. And that is what caused the drawback from imposition of punitive tariffs on China and delaying it and it’s moving along with horizon on when they will be imposed. So let’s give this a bit of time. Let’s look beyond the two weeks or three weeks.

I believe that relations will foot back. The Indians are very keen to maintain relations with the United States, because as we just said, China is not a replacement for the American market, and there is no replacement for India in the immediate-, even in the medium-term future, for the American market. So of course they’ll find the competition. But that will be after the Americans drop their belligerency over whom India trades with.

Diesen:
Yeah, and I think that’s the main point, that the Indians don’t want to join a Eastern bloc against America. They literally just want to be non-aligned and diversify their trade. And no, which is why I think if United States walked us back and not– doesn’t tell India what to do, I think India’s greatest interest would be to also trade, have close relations with the US. Indeed, I would put Russia in the same category. They always saw this as a balance of dependence. That is yes, China might be the most important, but you have to balance out and diversify, so trading with the Europeans and Americans will always be important. Which is why I think they’re putting so much efforts to restoring bilateral ties with the United States. It’s just they’re not going to be lured into an anti-Chinese camp. And I think that dream has to be dropped with the Indians as well.

42:24
But yes, thank you so much. This is fascinating times. And indeed, the weakening, if not the sabotage of these alliance systems altogether is quite revolutionary in terms of changing the international system. So thanks again.

Doctorow: 42:46
Yeah, my pleasure.

Transcript of CNN18 (India) interview of 1 September

Transcript submitted by a reader

CNN News18: 0:00
–the big summit that’s taken place in Tianjin on the sidelines of the SCO summit from Mr. Modi and even the Russian President Vladimir Putin held two significant bilateral meetings that have reaffirmed the enduring strength and depth of the India-Russia strategic relationship. Both leaders have emphasized the multi-dimensional nature of this partnership, a time-tested one at that, which spans critical sectors, which are mainly defense, energy, trade, and technology.

And President Putin has described the ties between the two nations as principled, even multifaceted, noting that over the years the relationship has evolved into a robust framework for cooperation. Echoing these sentiments, Prime Minister Modi has described his interactions with President Putin as always memorable, underscoring the continuous high-level engagement between the two nations.

0:51
While Prime Minister Modi has also reiterated India’s constructive role within the SCO framework, especially when it comes to combating terrorism, even disrupting terror financing in a notable diplomatic snub. Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shahbaz Sharif has appeared isolated during this entire summit. Prime Minister Modi left for New Delhi after a successful China-Japan tour. So all in all, this past week has felt only diplomatic triumph for New Delhi. But let’s also listen in to what Prime Minister Modi had to say in his plenary session at the SCO.

Modi: 1:32 [UNCONFIRMED TRANSLATION]
I would like to say that security, peace and security are the basis of any country. But in this path, terrorism, terrorism and terrorism are big challenges. Terrorism is not only a threat to the country, but also a simple challenge for full independence. It is not just a challenge for the country, but a challenge for the entire humanity. The role of the SCO Reds is important. At this time, India has led the Joint Information Operation, initiative.

We have supported the organization and have also supported the Indian government for four decades to create the terrorism. So many mothers lost their children and so many children were–

CNN News18: 3:27
Gilbert Doctorow, who is an author, also specializes in Russian relations, is joining me live on the broadcast. Many thanks to you, Gilbert, for joining in on CNN News 18. We just heard some very critical points being made by the Indian Prime Minister in his plenary session at the SCO, especially when it comes to condemning terrorism and double standards on terrorism. Before I deep-dive into the bilateral that’s taken place between Prime Minister Modi and President Putin, share your thoughts on how India has come down on the issue of terrorism.

Also not to forget that the SCO declaration has managed to condemn the Pehelgam terror attack as well this time around, which India is of course seeing as a diplomatic thing.

Doctorow: 4:07
The Shanghai Cooperation Organization unites Eurasia. Eurasia has many common interests. Eurasia also has differences, some of which led to armed conflict, as the recent clash between Pakistan and India illustrated. It would be unrealistic to expect that 20, 25 countries would all see the same views, would all have the same positions on most everything.

And so it is that there is conflict among the some of the member states of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. Nonetheless, it was extremely important that the declaration today condemned the attack in Punjab and the terrorism which emanates, as everyone knows, from Pakistan. That was an important victory. I would say for India in the group. Sorry.

CNN News18:
You meant Kashmir, I believe, because–

Doctorow:
Ah, Kashmir, yes. Yes, you’re correct. The point is that this was a diplomatic victory for India and theres good reason for Mr. Modi to be proud of it.

CNN News18: 5:22
What is your understanding of the bilateral relationship between Moscow and New Delhi at a time when Donald Trump is accusing India and Prime Minister Modi of funding Putin’s war chest, calling Ukraine as Modi’s war.

Prime Minister, on the other hand, has in fact, of course, called upon the Russian president urging him to bring peace or to choose peace, rather. And that’s been his stance always when he said that this is not an era of war, something he reiterated this time around. But Russia has been equally respectable and mindful of the Indian Prime Minister’s views on the war.

Doctorow: 6:03
I think the basic common view of international relations among the member states of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization is realism, the realistic school. In the realistic school, countries look after their own national interests.

And national interests do collide. The case of India with respect to the United States and Russia is a case in point. India has strong commercial attachment to the United States, has been partly dependent on the United States for various arms deliveries. It has also had both strong commercial and military geopolitical interests shared with Russia.

6:48
So these sides have traditionally been in a balance. India has walked a tightrope, I would say, for decades and decades. And that is nothing new. What is new, of course, is Mr. Trump’s destruction of 25 years of American diplomacy with respect to India to bring it into a grouping for containment of Chinese expansion and economic growth. And that is the important outcome of his tariffs, the tariffs on India, which have attracted a lot of attention, but I think have been misunderstood.

My reading of Mr. Trump is that he is actively destroying the supports for United States hegemony and global domination. That is his intent. We will only know if that is the case 10, 20 years from now when archives are open. In the meantime, this is a supposition which I urge you to consider.

CNN News18: 7:46
You’ve in fact made a very critical point over there because many are talking about how Trump has overnight almost dismantled this 25 years of a painstakingly created relationship between New Delhi and Washington, one that was managed through various bipartisan efforts.

And I’m going to quickly bring in my correspondent, Siddhant, who also is joining us from the newsroom. So Siddhant, when you look at the way the White House has been reacting, what is one to make of that, given that many have said that if it was Biden who pushed Russia towards China, it is Trump who is pushing India towards China?

Siddhant: 8:26
Well, yes, that’s right Akanksha. But also Akanksha would like to add what you just said, what I could read from the statements that are coming, that we are getting to hear from the senior Trump officials.

So as far as the policy level is concerned Akanksha, those individuals are really committed to continuing the relationship with India and perhaps giving efforts to improve ties. Why I am saying this, because just last week we had two plus two official level dialogue with the United States, and perhaps that the release, this is a State Department’s release which did mention, which has mentioned of Quad and deepening cooperation in nuclear energy, compact was also mentioned, etc. etc.

9:16
But when it comes to people around president Trump, when it comes to people like Peter Navarro, hardcore MAGA people, then their commentary, their remarks are below the belt. They are doing everything to spoil this relationship. So as I said you know I won’t say that everybody in the US administration right now is kind of giving efforts to spoil the relationship. There are people, there are strategic experts Akanksha, many are speaking to you and other of our colleagues here in the newsroom and in fact you know they really want to, you know, continue with the relationship, and they want this relationship to grow. So, you know, so that’s what I could understand from the Trump administration and the US administration at this point.

CNN News18: 10:08
I want to take that point forward with Gilbert as well. Gilbert, Siddhant has made a very significant point over there. Donald Trump’s view is perhaps not the wider view of the United States. And I want to quote what the US embassy has gone on to talk about. In fact, soon after Peter Navarro’s statement shook all of India as we woke up, when he in fact again attacked India’s Prime Minister, he’s also tried to create a wedge in terms of the cast.

In fact, I wouldn’t even want to go where he has been. It’s the lowest ebb of the kind of rhetoric we’ve seen come out of White House. But the US Embassy in India has sent out a very heartening statement which talks about India and the US relationship being at the forefront of the 21st century relationship. They’ve also in fact sent out a quotation of Marco Rubio that says that “the enduring friendship between our two people is the bedrock of our cooperation and propels us forward as we realize the tremendous potential of our economic relationship.” So Gilbert, I want to bring you in on this divided view of India within the Trump administration.

And it’s clearly to do with MAGA versus the ones who are at the helm of affairs in the White House. What is your view, and what could be the impact of this for the Republicans ahead in the years ahead?

Doctorow: 11:30
There’s only one view that counts in the US White House, and that is Mr. Trump’s. I would not listen to anything that Mr. Rubio says regarding relations with India, because he is not making the policy. His boss is. The point is that Mr. Trump is not aimless, is not changing views from day to day. He is a student of Henry Kissinger, {however] much that may surprise your audience.

He has followed– and this was clear in his first term in office in the first year when he did, when his national securities strategy was issued. This was a Kissinger policy. Henry Kissinger’s fingerprints were all over Mr. Trump’s thinking then, and [I think] that persists today. India will have good relations with the United States after this spat is ended, but it will not continue in the creation of a quadrilateral grouping in the Indo-Pacific.

It will not be part of a block that is directed against China. And that is precisely what Mr. Trump’s tariff attack on India is all about.

CNN News18: 12:42
But, and that’s why I want to bring you in. Has the tariff attack exposed the US hypocrisy? Because they want to accuse us of war profiteering. What about the war profiteering that the US is doing through companies like Lockheed Martin in Ukraine?

Doctorow:
Don’t listen to words. Look at actions. Mr. Trump’s words are intended to deceive everyone, particularly his opponents, domestically and abroad. They are not the pointers to his actions. He will come back to India, but he is not coming back to the quadrilateral. You will note the latest reports are that he will not attend the quadrilateral summit.

13:21
That is his point. He wants to end blocs, and he wants to recreate– as Mr. Kissinger indicated in his 1994 book, “Diplomacy”– he wants to recreate the pre-World War I situation in global governance, where there was multi-plurality, where there were individual states, including powerful states, that looked after their national interests, but not in blocs.

CNN News18: 13:49
Stay with me, Gilbert. I’m going to also request Siddhant to continue staying with us. Let’s also take our viewers through the key highlights from Prime Minister’s statement at the SCO summit.

In fact he’s delivered some very crucial messages especially using SCO as an acronym to begin with SECURITY. There can be no double standards on terrorism, is what Prime Minister maintained. Terrorism is a shared challenge for humanity. He said that India has seen the heinous face of terrorism in Pahelgam on 22nd of April. He also went on to say that we have to spell it out clearly, that there’s going to be no compromise on terrorism. And that any open support to terrorism by any of the countries, whether they are sponsoring it or not, is unacceptable.

14:35
As far as CONNECTIVITY, the “C” of SCO is concerned, he went on to say that connectivity that bypasses sovereignty loses trust between all the member nations. India is working on Chabahar port for connectivity, which is why Iran’s role becomes extremely crucial. And that working on international north-south transport corridor is important as well, a reminder for SCO to push that forward. These projects will boost links with Afghanistan, Central Asia as well.

15:07
As far as OPPORTUNITY is concerned, India is following the mantra of “reform, perform, transform” as well. He also went on to invite all the member states, even the ones who are in the observer position or the guest nations, to become part of India’s growth story, to become part of India’s development journey as well.

Here’s what the India big wins are, but I’m going to quickly go across to Suzanne to bring in a word as far as the big wins are concerned, let’s take you through what the SCO declaration had to state. It strongly condemned the Pehelgam terror attack to begin with.

That’s been our diplomatic victory. SCO has called for combating cross-border movement of terrorists as well. It has echoed India’s line, which says that no double standards on terrorism should be tolerated. Of course, there was a direct reference to not just Pakistan, even China, which has been aiding Pakistan with direct intelligence information, something we observed during Operation Sindhur as well as you as a firm determination to continue the fight against terrorism. It also condemned the use of terror groups for mercenary purposes as well.

16:16
Let’s quickly go back to Siddhan to continue to stay with us. Siddhan, as far as connectivity is concerned, we’ve of course touched upon terrorism. Take us through what are the expectations for India and how significant is going to be Chabahar port, given the way we are seeing disturbances in that entire region, as far as the ones surrounding Iran are concerned, not to forget even Afghanistan and the way China and the United States also now want to make inroads.

CNNNews18 – Siddhan: 16:44
Definitely, you know, connectivity is very, very important. In fact, the kind of projection India is doing for itself, the role that in fact the world wants India to play in the coming years, perhaps for that India needs to be well connected, Akanksha, whether it’s Vladivostok-Chennai corridor, whether it’s North-South transit corridor, which will give Indian goods access to markets in Afghanistan and Central Asia, whether it’s IMAC, Akanksha, there’s a lot of work that has been put in by the Indian side as far as the IMAC corridor is concerned.

17:23
So you know, connectivity is a major focus of the Indian side, has always been the major focus of the Indian side. Also, you know, when, … after the withdrawal of US troops, Akanksha, from Afghanistan, India has been sending consignment to Afghanistan time and again, its wheat, medicines, etc. And those consignments are reaching Afghanistan via Chabahar port. So, you know, Chabahar port gets activated and via Chabahar it reaches Afghanistan. So India is using Chabahar port. In fact, there were two two agreements also which were signed last year between India and Iran. India pledged more money for the project. So connectivity is definitely a focus area of the Indian government.

CNN News18:
Gilbert, I want to quickly bring you in on the aspect of connectivity in this Trumpian climate, which has made it extremely adverse for India and Iran to operate together. Many say that had India not bowed down to Trump’s demands of reducing its oil purchases from Iran under the previous Trump administration, we could have perhaps set the benchmark much earlier. But what is your view, especially when it comes to forward movement or ensuring forward movement on the Chabahar port, given that Iran is also directly in the line of fire with Donald Trump?

Doctorrow: 18:49
Of course, this is important. Iran is very dependent on the support, both diplomatic support and economic support of fellow members of the Shanghai security organization. India has a prospect, a possibility of stepping up imports of Iranian petroleum, which would be an important assistance.

But I’d like to mention one country that you’ve omitted: Armenia. It was quite surprising that Armenia had a bilateral discussion with Vladimir Putin on the sidelines of the SCO summit. And that is directly related to your interests as India in the North-South corridor, because Armenia as a big player in the in the Southern Caucasus has a decisive role in whether this succeeds.

19:44
In that respect you have to consider the Europeans, because Armenia is being directed against Russia, like France. So the situation is quite complex.

CNN News18:
It’s also of advantage to India, given that Armenia is a direct counter to Azerbaijan, a country that has directly pledged support to Pakistan also during Operation Sindhu.

Doctorow:
Yes, these are very complex relations. Fortunately, a forum like SCO provides the opportunity for these various leaders to meet and to meet in rapid succession with one another. So that what is discussed between Putin and Pashinyan then becomes a subject for discussion between the Armenians and the Indians [or both persons].

CNN News18: 20:37
Absolutely. I’m going to request you to continue staying with me, Gilbert, a host of talking points, some in fact highlighted by you as well, which we perhaps couldn’t touch upon, Armenia being that very significant factor. Let’s also listen in to the reactions of the Russian president and the Indian prime minister during that much talked about bilateral that took place. Let’s listen.

Modi: [TRANSLATED] 21:02
We have been in constant contact with each other. We have been in constant contact with each other. This December, for our 23rd summit, 140 crore Indian participants are waiting for you. Excellency, this is the depth and breadth of our special and privileged strategic partnership. India and Russia have always walked shoulder to shoulder.

21:26 approx:
Our close cooperation is not only important for the people of both the countries, but also for the peace, stability and prosperity of the world. Your Excellency, we have been discussing the ongoing struggle in Ukraine. We hope that all parties will move forward constructively. We will have to find a way to end the conflict as soon as possible and establish a peaceful state. This is a call of humanity.

21:53 approx:
Excellency, once again I thank you from the bottom of my heart. Of bilateral cooperation in various areas. Dear Prime Minister, dear friend, Russia and India have been supporting special relations for decades. They are friendly and trustworthy. This is the foundation for the development of our relations in the future.

And these relations have absolutely non-party nature and are supported by the overwhelming majority of the peoples of our countries.

Putin [from subtitles]: 22:25
Today’s meeting is another good opportunity to further strengthen our relations. We can say thtat our relationship is based on principles. There is multifaceted cooperation between us. There is a very trustworthy relationship between Russia and India, one that is not based on politics.

Transcript of Press TV interview, 29 August

Transcript submitted by a reader

https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2025/08/29/753998/SLAMMING-ILLEGAL-SNAPBACK

PressTV: 0:19
Hello and welcome to “Spotlight”. Iran’s ambassador to the UN has strongly rejected and condemned the E3 push to activate the snapback mechanism against Iran, which would reimpose UN sanctions on Tehran over its nuclear program. Amir Saeedi Avani said the decision undermines Iran’s cooperation with the IAEA and constitutes an unnecessary and provocative escalation. Iranian foreign minister has also issued a stern warning to the European Troika, namely France, Germany and the UK, accusing them of colluding with Israel and the United States to maliciously pressure the Iranian people. We’ll be discussing the different aspects of this snapback mechanism and more on this edition of Spotlight. Here are our guests for tonight’s show.

1:08
Independent International Affairs Analyst Gilbert Doctorow joining us from Brussels. And we also have political commentator Massoud Shadjareh joining us from the British capital, London.

1:27
Welcome to the program. Let’s start off with Mr. Massoud Shadjareh. In London, Iran has rejected the invoking of the snapback mechanism as illegal and illegitimate. Tehran says that any attempt to revive these past sanctions would be a serious blow to diplomacy and a violation of the JCPOA itself. Give us your perspective on this route taken by the E3.

Shadjareh:
It really is outrageous that after all these years, the incompetent of Europeans after Trump pulled out, out of the deal and put sanctions against Iran. European nations said Iran should stay in and they will find ways of addressing the grievance of Iran and addressing the sort of the needs and aspiration of Iran, which was supposed to be ensured under JCPOA.

2:28
But they did nothing as such. As a matter of fact, they were the cause, not just Trump, but they were the cause of undermining and making JCPOA abandoned completely, despite the fact that Iran stood by its commitment right the way through. So here at the 11th hour, to jump in and try to actually claim that there is suddenly Iran has not adhered to his commitment. It is an abuse of the process, it’s undermining the spirit of the agreement and indeed it really is what I could only describe, that is, sort of trying to change the rules halfway through, just to put further pressure and support the Zionist state, which we have seen over the almost two years, they have done so.

3:31
Even they have not just supported Zionist state, but they have supported this genocide and equipped it to be able to commit this genocide. So I think in one way we can’t sort of expect anything else, but from the other side, it really this action undermines every aspect of sort of fair play and adhering to the spirit of the JCPOA.

PressTV: 3:57
Let’s bring in Gilbert Doctorow from Brussels. Mr. Doctorow, Iran’s foreign minister has called the activation of the snapback mechanism immoral, unjustified and unlawful.

Please walk us through these main talking points about the snapback activation. In addition to that, Iran’s UN envoy Amir Saeedi Ravani earlier said the decision undermines Iran’s cooperation with the IAEA and constitutes an unnecessary and provocative escalation.

Doctorow: 4:29
Well, this news item that you are now raising is getting attention even of mainstream in the West. “Financial Times” reported precisely on this issue of Iran being prepared to stop its cooperation with the International Atomic Agency if the snapback proceeds. At the same time, I would say that this is occurring at a propitious moment for Iran, because you will have every opportunity to consult with close friends and allies in the coming several days in China.

5:05
Your delegation is taking part in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization annual meeting. I believe your presence will be there. And surely they will find the time with Mr. Putin and perhaps with other important decision makers who will be there of the 26 countries taking part. You’ll have an opportunity to go over what remedies that Iran may have to strike back against this discriminatory and unjustified decision, which appears to be made in Europe.

PressTV 5:49
Masoud Shadjareh, earlier today, Iran’s UN envoy, Mr. Amir Saeedi Avani, called on other UNSC members to defend the rule of law and act responsibly. What should other members of the UNSC be doing in this regard?

Shadjareh:
Well, I think this implementation of switching this procedure, it has much more fundamental impact than what it will, impact that it will have on Iran. The reality is that it sort of makes mockery of any sort of negotiation or diplomacy or international law.

The reality is that, you know, if they could change the law, if they could abuse any agreement, clear agreement in this way, then they could do it to anybody else. And basically it’s a signal, as I was saying earlier on, that they will change the law of the game, in the middle of the game, just to implement their wishes and abuse the principles. Here, by doing so, they’re abusing principles of diplomacy, principles of fair play.

7:11
You know, every aspect of international relations is undermined because everyone, everyone could see how unfair it is, how abusive it is and how it’s been designed just to provoke. And I think no international body, no matter what part of the world they are, they can no longer trust agreements, like JCPOA and other agreements, internationally, if indeed this one be abused so clearly, so openly and so publicly. I agree with my colleague, the other contributor, that we have to wait and see what China and Russia and other nations are going to do. But the fact is this: that I believe there is a lot more at stake than just what is happening in Europe.

PressTV: 8:06
Mr. Doctorow, would you like to add anything to that? In that regard, actually, China and Russia have also condemned the activation of the snapback mechanism by the European troika. Moscow warned that reimposing sanctions against Iran could bring grave consequences, and it called it a, quote, “erroneous decision”.

The Russian Foreign Ministry says the trio is undermining diplomatic efforts to find a peaceful solution to the issue. Walk us through those reactions, if you may, because Iran has put forth questions whether the European trio is acting independently or simply following US policy.

Doctorow: 8:45
You’ve just taken words from my mouth. I was about to say precisely that. You are approaching this from a standpoint of fairness, rationality, and diplomacy. I’m afraid to say that all of those parameters do not apply in what is taking place, because Europe is only interested in currying favor with the United States at this moment, because the Europeans are scared out of their wits about how to deal with Russia when they are not equal to the Russians’ military force and when they are provoking, constantly poking the Russian bear in the eye.

So unfortunately, Iran is an innocent victim of a different set of considerations, which are really the European dependency and, say, slavish dependency on the United States and their hope that following Mr. Trump’s lead on this issue, they will be rewarded, patted on the head, and get what they want from the United States with respect to Ukraine. So, you are regrettably paying a price in the irrational and unreasonable behavior of the Europeans.

10:12
However, from the wild side world, looking from a standpoint of the global south, I think Europe has lost all credibility. And it appears to be weak, indecisive, and dependent, and lacking in sovereignty. So in that context, I think Iran does not have to feel abused. And I think you will receive very good counsel and support from the countries with which your president will be meeting in China in the next few days.

PressTV: 10:52
Massoud Shadjareh, in a joint statement, the E3 envoys to the UN accused Iran of abandoning almost all of its JCPOA commitments since 2019. What about all of Europe’s shortcomings in the implementation of the JCPOA? Why does Iran have to do all the heavy lifting here? Why has Iran always been the one to shoulder the responsibility of keeping the JCPOA afloat?

Shadjareh:
I mean, you couldn’t make comedy like that. In reality, it is that, you know, everyone around the world, any fair-minded person, will know that Iran went more than an extra mile to adhere to its responsibility, its commitment, but those commitments were undermined first by United States and Trump’s administration. And then it was sort of the same thing happened with the Europeans, so weak that they couldn’t really be a player.

And they just made [xxxxx] to the United States, and they weren’t able to save anything whatsoever of the agreement and they undermined it. But you know, the point I think at this hour and this time is that we need to understand that what Iranians and Iran and indeed fair-minded people in the global South will think right now is that you can’t trust, you can’t do a political deal, You can’t do a deal with the Europeans or Americans. And the fact of the matter is that really what is at here now is that we have to make a stand. Iran has to make a stand. Iran and its allies need to come together recognizing the negotiation.

12:52
If indeed this is implemented by the UN, then really it leaves no room whatsoever for any further negotiation. And I think this is the key. We are saying, we are seeing the beginning of end of international relations and international fair play, international law. And we have seen that being battered so badly over the last two years with Gaza being treated the way it has and the genocide has been supported by these nations. Now we are seeing that’s going further.

13:33
The weakness of Europeans is actually showing itself that they cannot possibly be involved in any international negotiation and be their own voice and their own action.

PressTV:
Gilbert Doctorow, Iran has been calling out the double standard here. Tehran believes it has already demonstrated its peaceful intentions, pointing to years of cooperation with the IAEA and full transparency under the NPT. But the Israeli regime that is carrying out a genocide as we speak possesses nuclear weapons without scrutiny while Iran has constantly been punished for its civilian nuclear energy program and civilian nuclear technology.

Doctorow: 14:23
Well, this double standard has been maintained under a situation of American global domination when it was not subject to a voice of reason or to measures of decency because “might made right”.

We are witnessing now the deterioration, collapse of that system. Frankly speaking, although Mr. Trump may not be a favorite politician in Iran, he is doing what he can to dismantle and destroy the underpinnings of American global domination. So in the longer run, this man who has not been very kind to Iran and who has certainly given the signal to the Europeans to make the decision which you have been decrying today, in the long run I believe that Mr. Trump is doing what he can to move to a multi-polar world, peculiar as that may sound to your audience today.

PressTV: 15:36
Massoud Shadjarah, with regards to the issue of international law, we spoke to a commentator a few days ago here on PressTV. He said, why are we even talking about international law at all? Because the issue of international law at this point is moot. Do you see it in that light as well?

Shadjareh:
Yeah, I think we really need to revalue and re-adjust our sort of even terminology when we say “double standard” or “international law”. It’s not a double standard. I think now with the blanket removed from our eyes, we could see quite clearly that it’s always, always supposed to be the same standard. This, it wasn’t a double standard, it’s an illusion that there will be a treatment, same treatment for the state of Israel as there is for Iran or anybody else around the world.

16:38
Lebanon, Syria, the reality is that it is always supposed to be this double standard. This was the standard, not double standard. And I think now we also see after almost two years of genocide in Gaza, that international law was always supposed to be misused and abused by the colonial power to implement their policies. I would even go further and say democracy has been exposed as well. You know, right across the Europe and Western world, overwhelming majority of people want end to this genocide, but the leadership, despite the strong feeling within all these nations, is not only [not] stopping it, but actually fueling it, giving free military equipment, finances and political support, and it goes on and on.

17:39
I think we need to sort of revalue that. Was there ever going to be a UN coming at 11th hour and saving the day? I would say no. Was there ever going to be equality in [inter]national law? No. Was there ever going to be equality in treaties and treatment of different nations? No.

I mean, now it’s very clear. We need to sort of sit back and say that we are in a juncture. Either we go along with the way that the Western powers are pushing us towards a future with genocide as the norm, or we oppose it and we change all the systems and have systems that are fit for purpose rather than fit for [revolution].

PressTV 18:28
Mr. Doctorow, Iran expects respect from the E3 and not pressure, especially regarding its right to enrich uranium under the NPT. Hasn’t that route of pressure proven to be ineffective? We can look at all the unilateral sanctions and the maximum pressure campaign that was spearheaded by Washington for all these years?

Doctorow:
Yes, well, of course the sanctions have been painful for Iran. It would be a mistake to underestimate the damage that has been done. Russia is the example of a country that has successfully resisted the greatest number of imposed sanctions in history. But Russia is a different country, a different economy, different scale of population, and it has been uniquely prepared to manage these sanctions. Iran has done very well, but it has suffered to a greater extent. And what is about to be reimposed if this happens? I believe you have four to six weeks to negotiate this and find some amicable solution.

19:46
But if it is imposed, of course, that will be a hardship. The question is, what will Iran’s friends and allies propose to do to alleviate this pain and in turn to inflict pain on the Europeans for the injustice they are considering. And if you look at the changing balance between Europe and the rest of the world, you will find that it is at a disadvantage today; its ability to impose willy-nilly its demands on a country like Iran is deteriorating.

20:38
This– for that to continue, it is imperative that you reach agreements with fellow members of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and with BRICS because essentially the three founding members and most important driving forces of BRICS of which you are now a member will be in attendance in Beijing for the 80th anniversary of the end of the war in the Pacific Theater. So you have an opportunity. I hope that it is used effectively. And there must be a united action, not only to assist Iran, but to impose pain on those who want to use the snapback.

PressTV: 21:29
Mr. Shadjareh, let’s wrap up this segment of the program with this final question. Of course, we’re running short of time, so I’m going to ask you to be brief.

Iran says that it’s still open to dialogue, but has always insisted the trust must go both ways. If the West wants progress, It has to stop making threats and start recognizing Iran’s legal rights. But we haven’t seen much trust building from the Western governments, have we?

Shadjareh:
No, we haven’t. I mean, I think Iran, ideologically, doesn’t want to close the door and wants to show both internally and externally that is indeed looking for a solution.

But I think it’s very difficult to see that any solution externally will be available without some sort of pressure from China and from Russia and indeed, global South. And I myself, I will add my voice to all those who are saying that this needs to happen, not just for saving Iran, but indeed to save internationally the ability of everyone else to have some sort of hope for the future because this sort of bullying will not bring us anything except war, genocide and disarray.

PressTV: 22:53
All right, thanks a lot, gentlemen. Political commentator Massoud Shadjareh joining us from London, and independent international affairs analyst Gilbert Doctorow joining us from Brussels.

Thank you for contributing to tonight’s program, and a special thanks to our viewers for staying with us on tonight’s edition of “Spotlight”.

23:09
It’s good night for now. See you next time.

Transcript of RT interview, 24 June

Transcript submitted by a reader

https://rumble.com/embed/v6t2haz/#?secret=WA2RPa1vVp

RT: 0:00
Let’s cross live now to Professor Gilbert Doctorow, former visiting scholar at Harriman Institute at Columbia University. Many thanks for joining us on the programme, very good to see you today. So, needless to say, it’s been an extraordinary few hours. Last we heard from Trump, he was clearly seething and not happy at all with Israel or Iran, after what he said were breaches of the agreement that he helped to broker and was so happy to brag about. Talk us through your reaction to his words there, because usually it’s just Iran that he would be critical of but this time it’s Israel and Iran he’s very critical of.

Gilbert Doctorow, PhD: 0:41
President Trump has many enemies. These enemies are the obvious ones, the Democratic Party. Part of the Republican Party does not like him. And I would say the vast majority of the alternative media, my confreres, my fellow colleagues who are informing the general public about the points in the news that mainstream doesn’t touch. They are mostly anti-Trump as well.

1:12
I have dealt with the last week’s developments, starting with the attack that Trump ordered on the three Iranian nuclear sites. I have taken a very different approach than almost all of my colleagues, because they are so anti-Trump that they can’t imagine that the man could do something good. I tried to imagine what motivated him to commit an act of aggression, an act that is in violation of the American Constitution and also of an American law requiring the president to consult with Congress before making a war act on a sovereign state. And what I found when I put aside all prejudice, or as much prejudice as it is humanly possible to do, is, [there] might just have been a logic to Mr. Trump’s actions, a logic which was proven in the last day by the announcement of a ceasefire.

2:13
The logic was that he, Trump, was preempting a nuclear strike by Israel on those very same sites. Let’s face it. Israel has been losing the war with Iran, losing it badly. We don’t know how badly because of strict military censorship in Israel, which means that the presence of the BBC and Reuters and the rest of it means nothing. They’re not allowed to do any real coverage of the war damage.

They only can show some pitiful destruction of apartments. So the general public has no idea that Israel is on the ropes. Israel’s infrastructure, essential to its economy, has been degraded. Its most important port, Haifa, has been largely destroyed or made inoperable because no merchant ship will go near Haifa for fear of being blown up by the Iranians. So the Israeli economy is badly wounded.

3:11
Now, we don’t know this when you pick up the “Financial Times” or the “New York Times”, but I’m telling you that from listening to Russian reports, listening to Indian reports, I deal regularly as a commentator, and to the most important Indian international broadcasters. And I listen to their programs, which are very, very sage and balanced. I have information which I’ve used to come to the conclusion that Mr. Trump was preventing Israel from doing what it could do on its own to destroy those nuclear sites, which could only be nuclear weapons. America had conventional weapons which would do the job, supposedly. Mr Trump declared victory and he left Mr Netanyahu with nothing to say except to do what we see now, enter into a ceasefire.

RT: 4:02
Well, this is what puzzles me, Doctor, is that Trump and now JD Vance as well have been bragging that those nuclear sites in Iran have been, quote, “completely obliterated”. Why then should Israel continue to keep hitting those sites?

Doctorow:
Because they’re looking– Mr. Netanyahu is desperate to continue the war because it’s the only thing that prevents his being arrested for various charges that have been in suspense due to his presidential, his prime ministerial powers. He is fighting for his personal political salvation at the expense of the welfare of his country. Israel is going down. Israel is being destroyed. And finally, Mr. Trump has stepped in.

4:49
What we have seen in the last week has enabled many of my peers to understand for the first time that the relationship between the United States and Israel is not what Mr. Meerscheimer has been saying for the last 18 years, that Israel dictates foreign policy to the United States. No. The relationship most recently has been the same as the American relationship with Ukraine, using Ukraine as a battering ram to impose a strategic defeat on Russia. The United States has been using Israel to wound Iran and to make revenge for the injuries that the United States has held close to its chest since 1980, and the hostage-taking of the American embassy in Tehran.

5:41
This was the explanation that Mr. Trump gave in his speech to the nation two days ago on why Iran was a dangerous enemy and terrorist state and had to be stopped. Fine. That was all theatrics. The reality is Mr Trump has stepped in and saved Israel from self-destruction. He’s been kinder to Israel than America has been to Kiev.

RT: 6:07
Really appreciate your time today. Many thanks for joining us on the program, Professor Gilbert Doctorow, former visiting scholar, Harriman Institute at Columbia University. Thank you very much.

Doctorow: 6:18
My pleasure.

Redacted: “Israel’s IRON DOME is nearly FINISHED!” Dr. Gilbert Doctorow says Israel has 1 week left

It was a pleasure, after a break of several months, to rejoin Natali Morris and her husband on their interview program Redacted for a discussion of the Israeli-Iran war: its likely duration, global significance and the position on this conflict taken by other world powers including the USA, Russia, China and Pakistan.

Redacted is an enormously popular program in the United States, in Europe and, I imagine, in other parts of the world. The viewer numbers on this show are indicative of the interest that the moderators have developed in a loyal audience.

As one Comment mentions, the Israeli air defense is a lot more than the Iron Dome, which is intended to intercept short range projectiles. Other, higher altitude interceptors protect Israeli from ballistic missiles. The problem that few commentators discuss is that the supply of missiles for these air defenses is not unlimited. The Iranian wave attacks are depleting these interceptors so that the effective protection of Israel from incoming missiles may not last more than 10 days.  If that is true, then Israel will not pursue the war beyond that point and Iran has already publicly stated that it will halt its attacks in turn.

Accordingly, there seems to be a lot of hyperventilating on the part of my fellow commentators. Moreover, the environmental threats from Israeli attacks on Iranian nuclear installations are being blown out of proportion for purposes of sensationalism. The world is not facing a new Chernobyl disaster from Israeli bombing raids.

That being said, the direct entry of Washington into the conflict by supplying its heaviest bombs to Israel or, still worse, by flying B2s into Iran and destroying the underground facilities that are best protected, could create a broad regional, even global conflict. Nonetheless, this is all still a hypothetical risk. 

In the meantime, the Russians, like the Chinese, are probably quietly supplying Teheran with air defense installations and other military materiel.  One has to wonder how long it will be before the North Koreans offer to sell a bomb or two to Teheran.  Why build when you can buy?

In any case, barring some dramatic development in the Iranian political structure, the balance of power in the Middle East between Israel and Iran is likely to continue be a major issue in the region for years to come whatever the outcome of the present exchange of missile strikes and bombing raids.

©Gilbert Doctorow, 2025

Harvard in the U.S. government cross-hairs

“Don’t fight city hall.”  That bit of American folk wisdom goes back to the early 20th century and had its origins in New York City, where the Tammany Hall crooked political machine made challenges to the authorities appear quixotic and unlikely to succeed.

Though some members of this Community will surely disagree with me, this is my best advice to Harvard University in its present direct confrontation with the Trump administration.

To be sure, corruption of those in power has nothing to do with this conflict. Political ideology is what it is all about. Trump stands for traditional family, religious, societal values, for veneration of our historical heroes, for an end to the forever wars that American foreign policy has given us these past 30 years. Though few American lives have been lost in these wars, they have literally cost hundreds of billions if not trillions of dollars and driven the U.S. federal deficit to unsustainable levels. 

Harvard has for several decades stood for ‘woke,’ for dethroning American heroes after whom monuments are erected and university buildings are named due to their connection to slavery or to their holding ethnic, religious, sexual or other prejudices that are no longer acceptable in polite society.  More to the point, Harvard has been an intellectual leader in forging a foreign policy based on American global hegemony that brooks no potential competitors and launches destructive, murderous proxy wars around the world.

That Harvard-inspired foreign policy is said to be ‘values based,’ meaning promoting human rights and democracy.  Anyone who doubts the intimate connection between the Harvard professorate and our ‘values based’ foreign policy would do well to read the obituary essays in honor of Joseph Nye, author of ‘Soft Power,’ this past week. Still better, pick up my 2010 volume Great Post-Cold War American Thinkers on International Relations which dissects the writings of the ten most popular political scientists of the preceding two decades as they delineated a road map into the future now that the USA was the sole remaining super power. As I understood after I completed my manuscript, nine of these ten intellectual leaders had a close relationship with Harvard University. 

By contrast, the Trump foreign policy today is ‘interests based,’ in the tradition of the Realistic School that was last seen as guiding Washington’s behavior under Richard Nixon. The flag of Realism flies highest at the University of Chicago, where Professor John Mearsheimer holds forth as the continuator of ideas long championed in the post WWII years by Hans Morgenthau, author of the seminal work Politics Among Nations.

From the very start of his presidency in this, his second mandate, Donald Trump began his assault on the elite universities which set the Leftist, anti-Trump tone for neary all of American higher education. The pretext for this attack was their tolerance for pro-Palestinian views and demonstrations on campus which, according to the government, jeopardized the safety of their Jewish students. This essentially phony allegation of anti-Semitism was carefully chosen by Team Trump to consolidate its support among the Zionist majority in both parties on Capitol Hill. It fit nicely with the blind eye that Trump turned to the genocide Israel has been perpetrating in Gaza. This was, as I have said elsewhere, political calculus to find support for Trump’s domestic and foreign policy initiatives that run counter to prevailing views of the American political establishment.  Included in this otherwise unpopular Trump agenda is closure of the Russia-Ukraine war on terms close to those demanded by Vladimir Putin and the implementation of a new wide-ranging détente with Moscow.

The attack of Team Trump on several elite universities over alleged anti-Semitism focused first on Harvard and Columbia universities. Federal grants and contracts to these two universities were or suspended or cancelled pending their providing to federal authorities information about some, mainly foreign students enrolled there and their putting in place rules which Team Trump said would stamp out anti-Semitism on campus.

Columbia University initially protested when $400 million in grants and contracts were provisionally terminated, but then reversed course, knelt down and kissed the ring of Team Trump.  Although the original grants and contracts have not yet been reinstated, there have been no further attacks on Columbia.

Harvard from the beginning refused to submit to what it called illegal pressure and punishment from the federal government. It initiated law suits to reinstate the funds. In response the government has escalated the punishment meted out to Harvard as I will mention further below to the point where it currently threatens the vital interests of the university.

Meanwhile, the Columbia President and administration have been criticized in both mainstream and in Alternative Media for failing to defend free speech guaranteed by the First Amendment and for submitting to the Trump demands.  In my view, criticism of the Columbia administration is misguided. The university is guilty of much greater errors of judgment than what its detractors in the media are saying. I see a far more serious threat to the university’s standing as a defender of liberal values and common decency in its extension of professorial positions to two unindicted war criminals – Hilary Clinton and Victoria Nuland. Their presence on campus before students, the prestige that has been accorded to them levels to the ground Columbia University’s moral standing in U.S. higher education. I say that as an alumnus.

                                                              *****

Harvard’s president has listened too closely to the advice of its smart-assed, litigious lawyers from its world-renowned Law School. Consequently, Harvard will undergo serious reputational and financial damage before it ultimately succumbs to pressure from donors and alumni organizations, submitting to the will of Team Trump.

After suspending three billion dollars in federal grants to Harvard, Team Trump threatened and then took action to strip Harvard’s tax-exempt status. One major consequence of that action is to raise taxes on its endowment. Another is to dissuade potential donors from contributing to the endowment, since they personally will now get no tax credits for their generosity.  

In the past week, Team Trump reached for the hatchet and issued an order terminating Harvard’s certificate of participation in the foreign student registration system which facilitates visa issuance and comes under the Department of Homeland Security. This order would compel these students to either transfer to some other university which enjoys that registration right or to lose their visa and be compelled to leave the country. 

I note that the justification for this decision goes beyond the allegations of anti-semitism on campus to direct attention as well to cooperation with the Chinese Communist Party in areas harmful to U.S. interests.

Nearly 7,000 students at Harvard presently are registered in the visa registration system, representing one quarter of student enrollments.  Their departure would impact greatly on the current operating budget of the university given that many if not most of the foreign students pay full tuition. The sum in question amounts to several hundred million dollars annually. Revocation would put in question the continued employment of nontenured faculty who would have considerably lower headcounts in their classes. More importantly, it would be a catastrophe for the international standing of Harvard, making it a less desirable place to teach.

The Harvard administration is putting a brave face on the situation. It contested the ruling in the courts and a district federal judge has just issued a temporary block on the de-certification. Presumably the motivation for the court to step in was that we are less than a month from the end of the school year and many students awaiting award of their diplomas would be compelled to leave the country with empty hands.

It is an open question how long the courts can block execution of the Department of Homeland Security decision. However, in any case whatever the ultimate court decisions may be, in time present Harvard’s ability to enroll foreign students will be in limbo and such uncertainty is fatal to the chances of maintaining present levels of enrollment.

While the administrators may be stiff-necked, I have little doubt that they will soon face massive pressure from the university’s wealthy donors to swallow their pride and seek some accommodation with Washington. We are speaking about businessmen, and businessmen never, ever go head-to-head against their nation’s government in pursuit of private interests; principles be damned. Moreover, it is inconceivable that alumni associations across the country and across the world will not counsel negotiation instead of litigation. I say this as a Harvard alumnus.

The only question now is how long it will take for Harvard men to understand that you ‘don’t fight city hall.’

©Gilbert Doctorow, 2025

Translation below into German (Andreas Mylaeus)

Harvard im Fadenkreuz der US-Regierung

„Leg dich nicht mit der Stadtverwaltung an.“ Dieser amerikanische Spruch stammt aus dem frühen 20. Jahrhundert und hat seinen Ursprung in New York City, wo die korrupte politische Maschinerie der Tammany Hall jegliche Auseinandersetzung mit den Behörden als unrealistisch und aussichtslos erscheinen ließ.

Auch wenn einige Mitglieder dieser Community mir sicherlich widersprechen werden, ist dies mein bester Rat an die Harvard University in ihrer derzeitigen direkten Konfrontation mit der Trump-Regierung.

Natürlich hat die Korruption der Machthaber nichts mit diesem Konflikt zu tun. Es geht hier um politische Ideologie. Trump steht für traditionelle Familien-, Religions- und Gesellschaftswerte, für die Verehrung unserer historischen Helden und für ein Ende der endlosen Kriege, die uns die amerikanische Außenpolitik in den letzten 30 Jahren beschert hat. Obwohl in diesen Kriegen nur wenige Amerikaner ihr Leben verloren haben, haben sie buchstäblich Hunderte von Milliarden, wenn nicht sogar Billionen Dollar gekostet und das Defizit des US-Bundeshaushalts in unhaltbare Höhen getrieben.

Harvard steht seit mehreren Jahrzehnten für „Woke“, dafür, dass amerikanische Helden, denen Denkmäler errichtet und nach denen Universitätsgebäude benannt worden waren, aufgrund ihrer Verbindung zur Sklaverei oder aufgrund ihrer ethnischen, religiösen, sexuellen oder anderen Vorurteile entthrohnt werden, die in einer höflichen Gesellschaft nicht mehr akzeptabel sind. Genauer gesagt ist Harvard eine intellektuelle Führungskraft bei der Gestaltung einer Außenpolitik, die auf der globalen Vorherrschaft Amerikas basiert, die keine potenziellen Konkurrenten duldet und weltweit zerstörerische, mörderische Stellvertreterkriege führt.

Diese von Harvard inspirierte Außenpolitik wird als „wertorientiert“ bezeichnet, was die Förderung von Menschenrechten und Demokratie bedeutet. Wer die enge Verbindung zwischen der Harvard-Professorenschaft und unserer ‚wertorientierten‘ Außenpolitik anzweifelt, sollte die Nachrufe auf Joseph Nye, den Autor von „Soft Power“, lesen, die in der vergangenen Woche erschienen sind. Noch besser wäre es, mein 2010 erschienenes Buch „Great Post-Cold War American Thinkers on International Relations“ zu lesen, in dem ich die Schriften der zehn populärsten Politikwissenschaftler der letzten zwei Jahrzehnte analysiere, die einen Fahrplan für die Zukunft entworfen haben, nachdem die USA zur einzigen Supermacht geworden waren. Wie ich nach Fertigstellung meines Manuskripts festgestellt habe, hatten neun dieser zehn intellektuellen Führer enge Beziehungen zur Harvard University.

Im Gegensatz dazu ist die Außenpolitik von Trump heute „interessenorientiert“ und steht in der Tradition der Realistischen Schule, die zuletzt unter Richard Nixon das Verhalten Washingtons bestimmte. Die Flagge des Realismus weht am höchsten an der Universität von Chicago, wo Professor John Mearsheimer als Fortführer der Ideen auftritt, die in den Jahren nach dem Zweiten Weltkrieg von Hans Morgenthau, dem Autor des wegweisenden Werks „Politics Among Nations“, vertreten wurden. Seit Beginn seiner zweiten Amtszeit hat Donald Trump einen Angriff auf die Eliteuniversitäten gestartet, die den linken, anti-Trump-Ton für fast das gesamte amerikanische Hochschulwesen vorgeben. Der Vorwand für diesen Angriff war ihre Toleranz gegenüber pro-palästinensischen Ansichten und Demonstrationen auf dem Campus, die laut der Regierung die Sicherheit ihrer jüdischen Studenten gefährdeten. Diese im Wesentlichen falsche Behauptung des Antisemitismus wurde vom Trump-Team sorgfältig ausgewählt, um seine Unterstützung unter der zionistischen Mehrheit in beiden Parteien im Kapitol zu festigen. Sie passte gut zu der Blindheit, mit der Trump den Völkermord Israels in Gaza ignorierte. Wie ich bereits an anderer Stelle gesagt habe, handelte es sich hierbei um politisches Kalkül, um Unterstützung für Trumps innen- und außenpolitische Initiativen zu finden, die den vorherrschenden Ansichten des amerikanischen politischen Establishments zuwiderlaufen. Zu dieser ansonsten unpopulären Agenda Trumps gehören auch die Beendigung des Krieges zwischen Russland und der Ukraine zu Bedingungen, die denen von Wladimir Putin nahekommen, und die Umsetzung einer neuen weitreichenden Entspannungspolitik gegenüber Moskau.

Der Angriff von Team Trump auf mehrere Eliteuniversitäten wegen angeblichen Antisemitismus richtete sich zunächst gegen die Universitäten Harvard und Columbia. Bundeszuschüsse und -verträge für diese beiden Universitäten wurden ausgesetzt oder gekündigt, bis sie den Bundesbehörden Informationen über einige, hauptsächlich ausländische Studierende, die dort eingeschrieben sind, vorlegen und Regeln einführen, die laut Team Trump den Antisemitismus auf dem Campus ausmerzen sollen.

Die Columbia University protestierte zunächst, als Zuschüsse und Verträge in Höhe von 400 Millionen Dollar vorläufig gekündigt wurden, schwenkte dann aber um, kniete nieder und küsste dem Team Trump die Hand. Obwohl die ursprünglichen Zuschüsse und Verträge noch nicht wieder aufgenommen wurden, gab es keine weiteren Angriffe auf die Columbia University.

Harvard weigerte sich von Anfang an, sich dem, wie es es nannte, illegalen Druck und den Strafen der Bundesregierung zu beugen. Es reichte Klagen ein, um die Mittel wieder zu erhalten. Als Reaktion darauf hat die Regierung die Strafen gegen Harvard verschärft, wie ich weiter unten noch näher ausführen werde, sodass sie derzeit die lebenswichtigen Interessen der Universität gefährden.

Unterdessen wurden der Präsident und die Verwaltung der Columbia University sowohl in den Mainstream- als auch in den alternativen Medien dafür kritisiert, dass sie die durch den Ersten Verfassungszusatz garantierte Meinungsfreiheit nicht verteidigt und sich den Forderungen Trumps gebeugt haben. Meiner Ansicht nach ist die Kritik an der Verwaltung der Columbia University fehlgeleitet. Die Universität hat sich weitaus schwerwiegenderer Fehleinschätzungen schuldig gemacht, als ihre Kritiker in den Medien behaupten. Eine weitaus ernstere Bedrohung für das Ansehen der Universität als Verfechterin liberaler Werte und allgemeiner Anstandsregeln sehe ich in der Vergabe von Professuren an zwei nicht angeklagte Kriegsverbrecherinnen – Hillary Clinton und Victoria Nuland. Ihre Anwesenheit auf dem Campus vor den Studierenden und das ihnen entgegengebrachte Ansehen zerstören das moralische Ansehen der Columbia University im US-amerikanischen Hochschulwesen. Das sage ich als Absolvent dieser Universität.

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Der Präsident der Harvard University hat zu sehr auf den Rat seiner klugscheißerischen, prozesssüchtigen Anwälte aus der weltberühmten juristischen Fakultät gehört. Infolgedessen wird Harvard einen schweren Reputations- und finanziellen Schaden erleiden, bevor es schließlich dem Druck von Spendern und Alumni-Organisationen nachgibt und sich dem Willen des Trump-Teams beugt.

Nachdem das Trump-Team drei Milliarden Dollar an Bundeszuschüssen für Harvard ausgesetzt hatte, drohte es mit dem Entzug der Steuerbefreiung für Harvard und setzte diese Drohung in die Tat um. Eine wichtige Folge dieser Maßnahme ist die Erhöhung der Steuern auf das Stiftungsvermögen. Eine weitere Folge ist, dass potenzielle Spender davon abgehalten werden, dem Stiftungsvermögen Geld zu spenden, da sie nun persönlich keine Steuervergünstigungen mehr für ihre Großzügigkeit erhalten.

In der vergangenen Woche griff das Trump-Team zur Axt und erließ eine Anordnung zur Aufhebung der Teilnahmebescheinigung Harvards am Registrierungssystem für ausländische Studenten, das die Erteilung von Visa erleichtert und dem Heimatschutzministerium untersteht. Diese Anordnung würde diese Studenten zwingen, entweder an eine andere Universität zu wechseln, die dieses Registrierungsrecht genießt, oder ihr Visum zu verlieren und das Land verlassen zu müssen.

Ich stelle fest, dass die Begründung für diese Entscheidung über die Vorwürfe des Antisemitismus auf dem Campus hinausgeht und auch auf die Zusammenarbeit mit der Kommunistischen Partei Chinas in Bereichen hinweist, die den Interessen der USA schaden.

Derzeit sind fast 7.000 Studenten in Harvard im Visaregistrierungssystem gemeldet, was einem Viertel der Studentenzahl entspricht. Ihr Weggang hätte erhebliche Auswirkungen auf den aktuellen Betriebsetat der Universität, da viele, wenn nicht sogar die meisten ausländischen Studenten die Studiengebühren in voller Höhe bezahlen. Die betreffende Summe beläuft sich auf mehrere hundert Millionen Dollar pro Jahr. Eine Aufhebung würde die Weiterbeschäftigung von nicht fest angestellten Lehrkräften in Frage stellen, die dann deutlich weniger Studierende unterrichten müssten. Noch wichtiger ist, dass dies eine Katastrophe für das internationale Ansehen von Harvard wäre und die Universität als Lehrort weniger attraktiv machen würde.

Die Harvard-Verwaltung gibt sich angesichts der Situation tapfer. Sie hat die Entscheidung vor Gericht angefochten, und ein Bundesbezirksrichter hat gerade eine vorübergehende Aussetzung der Entziehung der Zertifizierung verfügt. Vermutlich war der Grund für das Eingreifen des Gerichts, dass wir weniger als einen Monat vor Ende des Schuljahres stehen und viele Studenten, die auf ihre Diplome warten, gezwungen wären, das Land mit leeren Händen zu verlassen.

Es ist offen, wie lange die Gerichte die Umsetzung der Entscheidung des Heimatschutzministeriums blockieren können. Unabhängig davon, wie die endgültigen Gerichtsentscheidungen ausfallen mögen, wird die Fähigkeit der Harvard University, ausländische Studierende aufzunehmen, mit der Zeit in der Schwebe hängen, und diese Unsicherheit ist fatal für die Chancen, das derzeitige Niveau der Einschreibungen aufrechtzuerhalten.

Auch wenn die Verwaltungsbeamten hartnäckig sind, habe ich kaum Zweifel daran, dass sie bald massivem Druck von den wohlhabenden Spendern der Universität ausgesetzt sein werden, ihren Stolz zu überwinden und sich mit Washington zu einigen. Wir sprechen hier von Geschäftsleuten, und Geschäftsleute stellen sich niemals aus privaten Interessen gegen die Regierung ihres Landes, Prinzipien sind ihnen egal. Außerdem ist es unvorstellbar, dass Alumni-Vereinigungen im ganzen Land und auf der ganzen Welt nicht zu Verhandlungen statt zu Rechtsstreitigkeiten raten werden. Ich sage das als Harvard-Alumnus.

Die einzige Frage ist nun, wie lange es dauern wird, bis die Harvard-Leute verstehen, dass man „nicht gegen die Stadtverwaltung kämpft“.

Steve Witkoff’s visit to Petersburg today: what do we know?

In this evening’s 20.00 o’clock main Russian state news program Vesti the number one topic was the day’s business that brought Vladimir Putin to the Northern Capital.

Why St Petersburg? Because it is the home of the Admiralty and is one of the main shipbuilding centers of Russia.

The video showed Putin seated with a dozen or so high-ranking navy officers, with Finance Minister Siluanov and with several other officials discussing the nearly agreed plans not only for large-scale navy shipbuilding (50 + vessels) in coming years of both surface ships and submarines but also for the integration of all navy ships with robotics, meaning unmanned cutters, for real time communication of all vessels with one another and integrated intelligence from satellites.  The only apparent civilian outside of government present at the meeting was Andrei Kostin, the CEO of VTB bank who also is in charge of nearly all Russian shipbuilding, both for military and commercial purposes. As I have said elsewhere, Kostin has eclipsed Herman Gref as Russia’s most visible and trusted banker.

Only a few remarks by Putin were aired but they were weighty. He said that the Russian navy is now 100% modernized and the aim of the talks is to ensure that it remains a world leader in military equipment and technologies in the future, since the navy is an essential part of Russia’s nuclear deterrence.  A week or so ago, Putin authorized the launch of the latest atomic submarine which carries hypersonic Zirkon cruise missiles with 1,000 km range. Readers in London will know what that means and perhaps will report it to Keir Starmer.  This submarine type is now entering serial production.

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The number two news item this evening was the visit of Steve Witkoff, Donald Trump’s personal envoy charged with negotiating a cease-fire in Ukraine.  I call out the order of reporting, because at this level nothing is left to chance. Everything has symbolic value.

Nonetheless, it was reported on state television for perhaps ten minutes, while tidbits of further information about the Witkoff visit appeared on Dzen and various other internet sites.

Let’s for a moment look at the tidbits, because they are also indicative of what is afoot.

We know that following his arrival in Petersburg, Witkoff was met by Kirill Dmitriev, the head of the Russia Foreign Investment Fund with whom he had met a week ago in Washington. Dmitriev is Vladimir Putin’s personal envoy to the talks on ending the Ukraine war and is thus Witkoff’s direct counterpart. The business part of their talks was held in the Grand Hotel Europe, which has been the most distinguished hotel in the city for the past hundred and thirty or more years. It is where Piotr Tchaikowsky spent his first nights in Petersburg when arriving by train from abroad. I can only see in this choice that the Russian hosts wanted to give a personal touch to the visit and to ensure that his time would be concentrated in a very few city blocks in the center.

We also know that Witkoff was accompanied on this trip by his wife and they both, in the company of Dmitriev, did some high level tourism:  they went to the Grand Choral Synagogue and to the St Isaac’s Cathedral. 

The logic of visiting the Synagogue was that tomorrow is the first day of Passover, and as a practicing Jew, Witkoff would surely have been interested in seeing the best and largest synagogue from the days of the tsars, when it stood at the center of the Jewish community of the capital. Not in a bad location, by the way: the Grand Choral Synagogue is just a five-minute walk from the Mariinsky Theater from where it recruited its cantors. Moreover, this synagogue was largely renovated with financial assistance from American philanthropists early in the new millennium.  Of course, the only actual Jews Witkoff is likely to have seen there apart from the chief rabbi would be members of the Israeli diplomatic community for whom it is a home away from home.

The visit to St Isaac’s needs no special explanation. It is the most beautiful church in Petersburg and a defining edifice in the city’s skyline.  It also has on its outer facade scars from the shelling of the city by the Hitlerite Germans during the Siege, a useful reminder of who was who that Messrs Merz and Pistorius would rather have us all forget.

I must ask myself whether Witkoff’s bringing his wife is an indication of the growing warmth of relations and good prospects for the war’s coming to an end with a nudge from Donald Trump. Or is it a premonition that this will be her last opportunity to see the sights of Petersburg before the Wall comes down again?

As of 20.00 o’clock tonight Witkoff was in a meeting with Vladimir Putin in downtown Petersburg. The venue is the Presidential Library (full name: Yeltsin Presidential Library), a place that is virtually never used for high level meetings.  Normally, such a meeting would be held outside the city at the glorious Constantine Palace on the Gulf of Finland.  But perhaps because the Witkoff visit is under time pressure in the hope of its being followed immediately by a direct telephone call between Putin and Trump, it was decided to meet downtown, just near the Admiralty buildings where Putin had had his conference with the naval officials.

Russian journalists assume that the talks between Witkoff and Dmitriev, like the ones between Witkoff and Putin, cover many subjects beyond the confines of the Ukraine war.  They mention, for example, the likelihood that they discussed the situation with respect to Iran and its nuclear program. This, of course, is another of Witkoff’s briefs, and it is an area in which the Russians are doing what they can to calm things down, not least of which by arranging the meeting that Witkoff has tomorrow in Oman with his Iranian counterpart.

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Given the paucity of information released by the parties so far, any prediction of what comes next in the American-Russian rapprochement is highly risky.  But there is reason to think that Washington and Moscow now have agreed on the general contours of a peace settlement.  It was remarked on Russian television that the meeting of the representatives of both sides in Istanbul last week made good progress on normalization of diplomatic relations.  It now appears that there is a tentative understanding on the return to Russia of its six diplomatic properties that were illegally seized in the waning days of the Obama administration and early in the Trump 1.0 administration.  The Russians will now be allowed to visit the properties to ascertain what damage may have been done to them. If this report is true, it is a very good token of good will from the American side.

©Gilbert Doctorow, 2025

Translation below into German (Andreas Mylaeus)\Was wissen wir über Steve Witkoffs heutigen Besuch in Petersburg?

In der Hauptnachrichtensendung des russischen Staatsfernsehens Vesti war das Topthema heute Abend um 20:00 Uhr die Angelegenheit, die Wladimir Putin in die nördliche Hauptstadt führte.

Warum St. Petersburg? Weil es die Heimat der Admiralität und eines der wichtigsten Schiffbauzentren Russlands ist.

Das Video zeigte Putin, wie er mit etwa einem Dutzend hochrangiger Marineoffiziere, Finanzminister Siluanov und mehreren anderen Beamten zusammensaß und die fast beschlossenen Pläne besprach, nicht nur für den groß angelegten Marineschiffbau (über 50 Schiffe) in den kommenden Jahren, sowohl für Überwasserschiffe als auch für U-Boote, sondern auch für die Integration aller Marineschiffe mit Robotik, d.h. unbemannte Kutter, für die Echtzeit-Kommunikation aller Schiffe untereinander und integrierte Aufklärung durch Satelliten. Der einzige sichtbare Zivilist außerhalb der Regierung, der bei dem Treffen anwesend war, war Andrei Kostin, der CEO der VTB-Bank, der auch für fast den gesamten russischen Schiffbau verantwortlich ist, sowohl für militärische als auch für kommerzielle Zwecke. Wie ich bereits an anderer Stelle gesagt habe, hat Kostin Herman Gref als sichtbarster und vertrauenswürdigster Bankier Russlands in den Schatten gestellt.

Von Putin wurden nur wenige Bemerkungen gemacht, aber diese waren gewichtig. Er sagte, dass die russische Marine nun zu 100 % modernisiert sei und das Ziel der Gespräche darin bestehe, sicherzustellen, dass sie auch in Zukunft eine weltweite Führungsposition in Bezug auf militärische Ausrüstung und Technologien einnehme, da die Marine ein wesentlicher Bestandteil der nuklearen Abschreckung Russlands sei. Vor etwa einer Woche genehmigte Putin den Stapellauf des neuesten Atom-U-Boots, das mit Hyperschall-Marschflugkörpern des Typs Zirkon mit einer Reichweite von 1.000 km ausgestattet ist. Leser in London werden wissen, was das bedeutet, und werden es vielleicht Keir Starmer berichten. Dieser U-Boot-Typ geht nun in die Serienproduktion.

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Die zweitwichtigste Nachricht an diesem Abend war der Besuch von Steve Witkoff, Donald Trumps persönlichem Gesandten, der mit der Aushandlung eines Waffenstillstands in der Ukraine beauftragt ist. Ich weise auf die Reihenfolge der Berichterstattung hin, denn auf dieser Ebene wird nichts dem Zufall überlassen. Alles hat einen symbolischen Wert.

Dennoch wurde im staatlichen Fernsehen vielleicht zehn Minuten lang darüber berichtet, während weitere Informationen über den Witkoff-Besuch auf Dzen und verschiedenen anderen Internetseiten erschienen.

Schauen wir uns diese Informationen einen Moment lang an, denn sie sind auch ein Hinweis darauf, was vor sich geht.

Wir wissen, dass Witkoff nach seiner Ankunft in Petersburg von Kirill Dmitriev, dem Leiter des russischen Fonds für Auslandsinvestitionen, empfangen wurde, mit dem er sich eine Woche zuvor in Washington getroffen hatte. Dmitriev ist Wladimir Putins persönlicher Gesandter bei den Gesprächen über die Beendigung des Ukraine-Krieges und damit Witkoffs direkter Ansprechpartner. Der geschäftliche Teil ihrer Gespräche fand im Grand Hotel Europe statt, das seit über 130 Jahren das vornehmste Hotel der Stadt ist. Hier verbrachte Pjotr Tschaikowski seine ersten Nächte in St. Petersburg, wenn er mit dem Zug aus dem Ausland ankam. Ich kann in dieser Wahl nur erkennen, dass die russischen Gastgeber dem Besuch eine persönliche Note verleihen und sicherstellen wollten, dass sich seine Zeit auf einige wenige Stadtblöcke im Zentrum konzentriert.

Wir wissen auch, dass Witkoff auf dieser Reise von seiner Frau begleitet wurde und beide in Begleitung von Dmitriev einige Sehenswürdigkeiten besichtigten: Sie besuchten die Große Choral-Synagoge und die Isaakskathedrale.

Der Grund für den Besuch der Synagoge war, dass morgen der erste Tag des Pessachfestes ist, und als praktizierender Jude hatte Witkoff sicherlich Interesse daran, die beste und größte Synagoge aus der Zeit der Zaren zu sehen, als sie im Zentrum der jüdischen Gemeinde der Hauptstadt stand. Übrigens nicht an einem schlechten Standort: Die Große Choral-Synagoge ist nur fünf Gehminuten vom Mariinski-Theater entfernt, aus dem sie ihre Kantoren rekrutierte. Außerdem wurde diese Synagoge Anfang des neuen Jahrtausends mit finanzieller Unterstützung amerikanischer Philanthropen umfassend renoviert. Natürlich sind die einzigen Juden, die Witkoff dort wahrscheinlich gesehen hat, abgesehen vom Oberrabbiner, Mitglieder der israelischen diplomatischen Gemeinschaft, für die sie ein Zuhause in der Ferne ist.

Der Besuch in der Isaakskathedrale bedarf keiner besonderen Erklärung. Sie ist die schönste Kirche in Petersburg und ein prägendes Bauwerk in der Skyline der Stadt. An ihrer Außenfassade sind Narben vom Beschuss der Stadt durch die Hitlerdeutschen während der Belagerung zu sehen, eine nützliche Erinnerung daran, wer wer war, was die Herren Merz und Pistorius lieber vergessen würden.

Ich muss mich fragen, ob Witkoffs Mitnahme seiner Frau ein Zeichen für die wachsende Herzlichkeit der Beziehungen und gute Aussichten auf ein Ende des Krieges auf Anstoß von Donald Trump sind. Oder ist es eine Vorahnung, dass dies ihre letzte Gelegenheit sein wird, die Sehenswürdigkeiten von Petersburg zu sehen, bevor die Mauer wieder fällt?

Um 20.00 Uhr heute Abend war Witkoff in einem Treffen mit Wladimir Putin in der Innenstadt von Petersburg. Der Veranstaltungsort ist die Präsidentenbibliothek (vollständiger Name: Jelzin-Präsidentenbibliothek), ein Ort, der so gut wie nie für hochrangige Treffen genutzt wird. Normalerweise würde ein solches Treffen außerhalb der Stadt im prächtigen Konstantinpalast am Finnischen Meerbusen stattfinden. Aber vielleicht weil der Witkoff-Besuch unter Zeitdruck steht, in der Hoffnung, dass unmittelbar danach ein direktes Telefongespräch zwischen Putin und Trump folgt, wurde beschlossen, sich in der Innenstadt zu treffen, in der Nähe der Admiralitätsgebäude, wo Putin seine Konferenz mit den Marinebeamten abgehalten hatte.

Russische Journalisten gehen davon aus, dass die Gespräche zwischen Witkoff und Dmitriev, wie die zwischen Witkoff und Putin, viele Themen über den Ukraine-Krieg hinaus abdecken. Sie erwähnen beispielsweise, dass sie wahrscheinlich die Situation in Bezug auf den Iran und sein Atomprogramm besprochen haben. Dies ist natürlich ein weiteres Thema von Witkoff, und es ist ein Bereich, in dem die Russen alles tun, um die Lage zu beruhigen, nicht zuletzt durch die Organisation des Treffens, das Witkoff morgen im Oman mit seinem iranischen Amtskollegen hat.

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Angesichts der Spärlichkeit der Informationen, die bisher von den Parteien veröffentlicht wurden, ist jede Vorhersage darüber, wie es mit der amerikanisch-russischen Annäherung weitergeht, höchst riskant. Es gibt jedoch Grund zu der Annahme, dass sich Washington und Moskau nun auf die allgemeinen Konturen einer Friedensregelung geeinigt haben. Im russischen Fernsehen wurde angemerkt, dass das Treffen der Vertreter beider Seiten in Istanbul letzte Woche gute Fortschritte bei der Normalisierung der diplomatischen Beziehungen gemacht habe. Es scheint nun eine vorläufige Einigung über die Rückgabe der sechs diplomatischen Liegenschaften Russlands zu geben, die in den letzten Tagen der Obama-Regierung und zu Beginn der Trump-Regierung illegal beschlagnahmt wurden. Die Russen dürfen nun die Liegenschaften besichtigen, um festzustellen, welche Schäden möglicherweise entstanden sind. Wenn dieser Bericht wahr ist, ist dies ein sehr gutes Zeichen des guten Willens von amerikanischer Seite.