‘Judging Freedom’ edition of 26 November: Can Putin Tolerate More War?

In today’s chat we discussed several very important issues of the day as a flood of news relating to the peace negotiations come out of Washington, Moscow, Abu Dhabi and the European capitals.

I report on the very evident split between Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Vladimir Putin over the unconventional and now apparently failing procedure by which negotiations for peace are being held. Lavrov yesterday strongly criticized the use of back channels and entirely sidelining his own ministry which normally should be in charge of such important talks that require great secrecy and also great diplomatic competence on the part of the leading figures in the talks.  Lavrov said that he has not seen the revised plan, now counting 18 points and so cannot comment but does not expect to see anything good in it, since the leaks allowed the wrecking team from Europe to nullify what was good about the original 28-point plan.

Today, President Putin’s special advisor on foreign relations Yuri Ushakov made a public statement to the effect that he has seen the revised plan and that it can be used as a basis for further talks.  Let me be clear:  Ushakov is a seasoned diplomat with a lot of relevant experience considering that he was the Russian ambassador to Washington from 1998 to 2008. But today he is a law unto himself, not a member of the diplomatic corps. He may be said to speak for Putin.  And now we find that his position on the peace process is diametrically opposed to that of the Foreign Minister.  This is a remarkable development in Moscow that one very rarely sees. What we may guess is that Putin’s prioritization on establishing good relations with the United States has drawn him into the backchannel solution, which now is going sour.

Judge Napolitano raised the issue of Ursula von der Leyen’s pack of lies and hypocrisy speech yesterday regarding the way forward on the peace talks.  A two-minute excerpt from that speech was put up on the screen. The woman is very dangerous for the future of Europe.  Let us assume that she has a very solid bomb shelter beneath the Commission headquarters.  But that gives little comfort to the rest of us. Should she have her way, in a year or two Western Europe may look a lot like war ravaged Ukraine does today.

©Gilbert Doctorow, 2025

US’ 28-Point Peace Plan Empowers Russia, Diminishes Ukraine? | WION GAME PLAN

US’ 28-Point Peace Plan Empowers Russia, Diminishes Ukraine? | WION GAME PLAN

It was a pleasure this morning to have a 10-minute online chat with presenter Shivan Chanana of India’s largest English-language global broadcaster, WION, who have more than 9 million subscribers.

In keeping with the shifting currents in high politics in Delhi, which always walked a tightrope between the USA and Russia (formerly USSR),  the broadcaster has shifted back and forth between favoring Mainstream commentaries on the Russia-Ukraine war from US military experts over the past several months and then coming back to me for a contrarian opinion as they did today.  Please note that the single largest audience I have ever had in podcasts, more than 350,000 views, was precisely on WION at perhaps 9 months ago.

NewsX World: US, Ukraine Draft Refined Peace Framework

This link to a brief interview from yesterday has just arrived and I am pleased to share it with the Community. Pay no attention to the ‘China Warning’ heading because this is a news digest and the Russia-Ukraine War is the first topic on the interview agenda after the presenter reads off the top news of the hour.

Yes, as you will notice, my expectations from this latest Trump peace initiative are changing by the day. I emphasize that I have no angst changing my position when the object under examination changes, and the evolution of this initiative is anything but consistent.

Some are saying that Team Trump is overseeing a ‘bait and switch’ operation in which the Russians were offered one fairly acceptable 28-point plan and now instead they will be required to agree to a much less desirable Ukrainian-edited plan.  That may be.  But I think something more characteristic of Trump is underway:  he is preparing for the parties NOT to agree to his mediated settlement and then will lower the boom on both – withdrawing US intel and military hardware support for Ukraine and imposing new draconian sanctions on Russia. This will allow him to wiggle out of the entire project of bringing peace to Ukraine and tell the Europeans to deal with it on their own. 

I mention this as a possible explanation for the peculiar behavior of Dan Driscoll and Steve Witkoff in Geneva, letting the Ukrainians gut the original proposal and then smiling at the end and saying everything is very constructive.

RT International interview: Trump disappoints yet again…

RT International interview:  Trump disappoints yet again…

The news coming out of the Geneva talks today between the US delegation headed by Marco Rubio, Steve Witkoff and Daniel Driscoll is shocking and upsets my optimistic expectations for peace arrived at on Friday and Saturday following the release of the 28-point Trump plan.

It is inconceivable that Trump can expect to get an approving from Moscow after its having been gutted by the Ukrainians acting in consultation with the European war-mongers. Putin’s wager on reestablishing good relations with the USA and neutralizing the Europeans appears to have been lost. Will he now throw in his and Russia’s lot with the Russian ultranationalists and escalate the destruction of Ukraine? Will he finally decapitate the regime?

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1p_3hj6hDKa0Tf2PODe4_X4V7ycSPM9JJ/view?usp=sharing

Links to today’s interview segments from News X World and an excellent briefing on the Peace Plan by Ray McGovern

Links to today’s interview segments from News X World and an excellent briefing on the Peace Plan by Ray McGovern

The producers at NewsX World were very fast off the mark this morning and have just posted on the internet the two interview segments from earlier today that I described in my latest essay on these pages.

Russian defenses intercept drones in unprecedented wave

Canadian PM Mark Carney & German Chancellor Friedrich Merz discuss Ukraine Peace Deal

I also use this opportunity to bring to the attention of the Community a just released interview with my friend and colleague in the Alternative Media, Ray McGovern, taken by Professor Glenn Diesen.

I recommend this because Ray sets out very clearly the sequence of events starting from the presidential summit in Alaska in mid-August that led to compilation of Trump’s 28-point peace plan, which now has been provisionally approved by Vladimir Putin as the basis for a settlement and awaits a final ‘yes’ from Volodymyr Zelensky. Ray pays special attention to how Putin explained this story during the well -choreographed opening minutes of last Friday’s weekly Russian Security Council session.

All of this is an essential context for our appreciation of the Trump document.  He makes reference to the dire situation of the Ukrainians on the field of battle where they have suffered very serious losses of fortified cities like Kupyansk, Pokrovsk, Volchansk which have protected their hold on the Donbas from the start of the Special Military Operation to present.

What is missing from Ray’s explanation is the European context for Trump’s present demand that the Plan be signed before Thanksgiving, 27 November. Sitting as I do in Brussels, I am much more sensitive than my American colleagues in Washington or New York to the European dimension, namely war hysteria in the media and the ever more brazen, ever more irresponsible and provocative measures that the European heads of government are prepared to take to ensure that the war continues.

As I say, Trump’s Plan is as much a preparation for -regime change across Europe, for the ousting of the war mongers in power here as it is for a cease-fire and outbreak of peace between Russia and Ukraine. These issues are directly interlinked.

In these circumstances, it is foreseeable that at their next gathering in Brussels mid-December these same members of the European Council will do the unthinkable, will violate international law, will do what no one dared to do even in the midst of WWII and will confiscate the 185 billion euros of Russian state assets now frozen in Euroclear for the purpose of funding the war in Ukraine for two more years.

©Gilbert Doctorow, 2025 

Conversation with Professor Glenn Diesen: Trump Neutralizes Europe with Peace Plan

Conversation with Professor Glenn Diesen: Trump Neutralizes Europe with Peace Plan

In this 45-minute chat, we discussed why there is reason for optimism that Trump’s 28-point plan will achieve its several interrelated objectives. From the moment of its signing as the master plan for a to-be-negotiated detailed set of agreements between Russia, Ukraine, Europe and the USA this initiative will begin to dramatically clear the air, reduce tensions in the region and across Europe.

Assuming that it is accepted by both Volodymyr Zelensky and Vladimir Putin within the 27 November deadline set by Trump, the signing will be followed immediately by a withdrawal of Ukrainian forces from all of the Donbas and withdrawal of Russian forces from all oblasts of Ukraine aside from the Lugansk, Donetsk, Zaporozhye and Kherson regions. The withdrawal process will be accompanied by a full ceasefire. So far, so good, but that is only the very beginning of the process that will be set on its way.

Some of my peers have chosen to ignore the foregoing and speak of the Plan as something that will be discussed and discussed for months before anything happens.  They are dead wrong. They are missing the reasons why Trump has set just 7 days for acceptance or rejection of the document by Russia and Ukraine. These are the same reasons why it apparently was drafted by respective emissaries of Trump and Putin outside the normal institutional channels.  The point has been to catch Zelensky at the present moment of great weakness following the revelations a week ago of immense corruption among his close entourage and also amidst the deeply humiliating loss of Kupyansk and Pokrovsk to Russian forces, which show beyond any doubt that Ukraine’s hopes for holding the Donbass are illusory. The point has been not to allow the Europeans to reorganize a counter strategy to keep the war going built, likely, on confiscation of Russian state assets in Euroclear. The point has been not to give Britain and France time to send troops down to Ukraine and massively escalate the war.

I consider this interview as setting forth my final word on how Trump is setting the stage for regime change across Europe by removing the whole logic of a security threat from Russia which the warmongering leaders of 24 EU Member States have been using to consolidate their hold on power. Normalization of relations with Russia, revising the security architecture of the Continent puts paid to the ongoing distortion of the EU from a peace project to a war project.

©Gilbert Doctorow, 2025

NewsX Eurozone: Ukraine’s options in response to the Trump peace plan

I appear as from 1minute10

This morning’s session with NewsX World focused first on how Zelensky has no options but to accept the Trump plan given the U.S. threat to stop all intel sharing and supply of military hardware if he resists. As I say here, the Peace Plan is directed towards normalization of relations between Russia, Europe and the USA. There will be many beneficiaries, including the peoples of Western Europe who may now see their warmonger leaders totally discredited and unseated.

The second issue was what motivated Lukashenko to free 32 political prisoners in response to requests from Washington. My fellow panelist in Berlin saw this as an outreach to Trump to find leverage against his relationship with Putin and Russia. I dispute this interpretation, finding instead that Trump was reaching out to Belarus to lift sanctions in order to demonstrate to the Kremlin that they may also enjoy relaxation of sanctions if they make concessions and proceed along the 28-point peace plan

News X World (India) interview at midday on the Trump Peace Plan and Russian capture of Kupyansk

News X World (India) interview at midday on the Trump Peace Plan and Russian capture of Kupyansk

You will note that I determinedly ignore the questions put to me by the News X World moderator because they are, like almost all discussion of the Trump Peace Plan in Western media, focused strictly on the points in the Peace Plan relating to Ukraine’s giving up its presently held territory in the Donbas. This is what Kaja Kallas at the EU Commission and the warmongers Keir Starmer of the UK, Emanuel Macron of France and Friedrich Merz of Germany denounce as a capitulation imposed on Ukraine which they say they are determined to resist.

However, the 28-point Peace Plan is a comprehensive road map intended to put an end to the remilitarization of Europe and implies regime change not only in Ukraine but in 24 of the 27 European Member States that are today’s troublemakers.  By bringing about a nonaggression pact between Russia, Europe and the U.S., by pledging not to ever invite Ukraine into NATO and in general no longer to expand NATO, this plan will revise the security architecture of Europe to ensure at least a coming generation of peace on the Continent, not only between Russia and Ukraine. Moreover, the point on extension of the START treaty on strategic nuclear weapons is something unrelated to the Ukraine war but very much a concern in the Kremlin and also among those in the West who stand taller than their pygmy heads of state and government.

©Gilbert Doctorow, 2025

Zelenskyy signals readiness for honest talks as US peace plan sparks backlash

Donald Trump’s 28-point peace plan for ending the Russia-Ukraine War

The BBC this morning already began giving the microphone to the usual Neocon academics at Stanford who berated the 28 point peace plan that was delivered to Zelensky in Kiev yesterday, and which he said he would respond to shortly. Trump is being accused by mainstream commentators of selling out an ally, pandering to a tyrant (Putin) and doing a disservice to American interests worldwide.

I imagine that ultra-nationalist Russians will appear on Russian state television talk shows later today to issue their condemnatory words on the peace plan from the perspective of the other side of the barricades.

For my part, after reading through the plan, which The Financial Times published several hours ago and which I reproduce below, I say ‘bravo’ to the American President, whose team has cobbled together a road map to long-lasting peace not just between Russia and Ukraine, but between Russia, Europe and the United States. Those determined critics of Trump in both Western mainstream AND in Western alternative media who have predicted the same kind of faux peace that was imposed on Hamas and Israel will ultimately have to admit that The Man does some things right when he and his close advisors set their minds to it.

I will issue a proper evaluation of the document point for point in the coming day or two. For the moment, I take pleasure in noting that the concept of using the frozen Russian assets as a means of not merely ensuring quick reconstruction of both the Ukrainian held and the Russian held parts of what was pre-war Ukraine but also involving the United States in the process, to ensure the funds are not diverted into private pockets and really do some good.  This is a variation on my long-held proposal for these funds. Moreover, the plan obliges Europe to contribute $100 billion to the very same cause, which is a far more worthy objective for extracting funds from European taxpayers than further financial and military aid to the bankrupt regime in Kiev. 

That the concept of denazification is also addressed in this plan is especially worthy of note. There are those who were asking just days ago how this could be realized. Here in the plan we see very specific proposals for its being implemented – without purges, without recrimination and with a positive approach to shaping the future society in Ukraine.

I also note especially the requirement that elections be held in Ukraine within 100 days of concluding the agreement and start of its implementation, which includes, of course, a comprehensive cease-fire.  This, not forced regime change by American or British intelligence operatives, is the best possible way to ensure the evolution of Ukraine towards democracy and peaceful coexistence with its neighbor.

Among the 28 points are issues not directly related to the Ukraine-Russia conflict but having decisive importance for restoring calm in international relations and taking us all back from the risks of nuclear war. The outstanding point in this regard is the call for extension of the START treaty without any mention of bringing China to the table, which of course would at this point condemn the initiative to failure.

The full text of Trump’s 28-point Ukraine-Russia peace plan

1. Ukraine’s sovereignty will be confirmed.

 2. A comprehensive and comprehensive [sic] non-aggression agreement will be concluded between Russia, Ukraine and Europe. All ambiguities of the last 30 years will be considered settled.

3. It is expected that Russia will not invade neighbouring countries and NATO will not expand further.

4. A dialogue will be held between Russia and NATO, mediated by the United States, to resolve all security issues and create conditions for de-escalation in order to ensure global security and increase opportunities for cooperation and future economic development.

5. Ukraine will receive reliable security guarantees.

6. The size of the Ukrainian Armed Forces will be limited to 600,000 personnel.

7. Ukraine agrees to enshrine in its constitution that it will not join NATO, and NATO agrees to include in its statutes a provision that Ukraine will not be admitted in the future.

8. NATO agrees not to station troops in Ukraine.

 9. European fighter jets will be stationed in Poland.

 10. US guarantee: The US will receive compensation for the guarantee. If Ukraine invades Russia, it will lose the guarantee. If Russia invades Ukraine, in addition to a decisive coordinated military response, all global sanctions will be reinstated, recognition of the new territory and all other benefits of this deal will be revoked. If Ukraine launches a missile at Moscow or St. Petersburg without cause, the security guarantee will be deemed invalid.

 11. Ukraine is eligible for EU membership and will receive short-term preferential access to the European market while this issue is being considered.

12. A powerful global package of measures to rebuild Ukraine, including but not limited to: a. The creation of a Ukraine Development Fund to invest in fast-growing industries, including technology, data centres, and artificial intelligence. b. The United States will cooperate with Ukraine to jointly rebuild, develop, modernise, and operate Ukraine’s gas infrastructure, including pipelines and storage facilities. c. Joint efforts to rehabilitate war-affected areas for the restoration, reconstruction and modernisation of cities and residential areas. d. Infrastructure development. e. Extraction of minerals and natural resources. f. The World Bank will develop a special financing package to accelerate these efforts.

13. Russia will be reintegrated into the global economy: a. The lifting of sanctions will be discussed and agreed upon in stages and on a case-by-case basis. b. The United States will enter into a long-term economic cooperation agreement for mutual development in the areas of energy, natural resources, infrastructure, artificial intelligence, data centres, rare earth metal extraction projects in the Arctic, and other mutually beneficial corporate opportunities. c. Russia will be invited to rejoin the G8.

14. Frozen funds will be used as follows: $100 billion in frozen Russian assets will be invested in US-led efforts to rebuild and invest in Ukraine. The US will receive 50% of the profits from this venture. Europe will add $100 billion to increase the amount of investment available for Ukraine’s reconstruction. The remainder of the frozen Russian funds will be invested in a separate US-Russian investment vehicle that will implement joint projects in specific areas. This fund will be aimed at strengthening relations and increasing common interests to create a strong incentive not to return to conflict.

15. A joint American-Russian working group on security issues will be established to promote and ensure compliance with all provisions of this agreement.

 16. Russia will enshrine in law its policy of non-aggression towards Europe and Ukraine.

17. The United States and Russia will agree to extend the validity of treaties on the non-proliferation and control of nuclear weapons, including the START I Treaty.

18. Ukraine agrees to be a non-nuclear state in accordance with the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons.

19. The Zaporizhzhya [sic] Nuclear Power Plant will be launched under the supervision of the IAEA, and the electricity produced will be distributed equally between Russia and Ukraine — 50:50.

20. Both countries undertake to implement educational programmes in schools and society aimed at promoting understanding and tolerance of different cultures and eliminating racism and prejudice: a. Ukraine will adopt EU rules on religious tolerance and the protection of linguistic minorities. b. Both countries will agree to abolish all discriminatory measures and guarantee the rights of Ukrainian and Russian media and education. c. All Nazi ideology and activities must be rejected and prohibited.

21. Territories: a. Crimea, Luhansk and Donetsk will be recognised as de facto Russian, including by the United States. b. Kherson and Zaporizhzhia will be frozen along the line of contact, which will mean de facto recognition along the line of contact. c. Russia will relinquish other agreed territories it controls outside the five regions. d. Ukrainian forces will withdraw from the part of Donetsk Oblast that they currently control, and this withdrawal zone will be considered a neutral demilitarised buffer zone, internationally recognised as territory belonging to the Russian Federation. Russian forces will not enter this demilitarised zone.

22. After agreeing on future territorial arrangements, both the Russian Federation and Ukraine undertake not to change these arrangements by force. Any security guarantees will not apply in the event of a breach of this commitment.

 23. Russia will not prevent Ukraine from using the Dnieper River for commercial activities, and agreements will be reached on the free transport of grain across the Black Sea.

 24. A humanitarian committee will be established to resolve outstanding issues: a. All remaining prisoners and bodies will be exchanged on an ‘all for all’ basis. b. All civilian detainees and hostages will be returned, including children. c. A family reunification programme will be implemented. d. Measures will be taken to alleviate the suffering of the victims of the conflict.

 25. Ukraine will hold elections in 100 days.

26. All parties involved in this conflict will receive full amnesty for their actions during the war and agree not to make any claims or consider any complaints in the future.

 27. This agreement will be legally binding. Its implementation will be monitored and guaranteed by the Peace Council, headed by President Donald J. Trump. Sanctions will be imposed for violations.

28. Once all parties agree to this memorandum, the ceasefire will take effect immediately after both sides retreat to agreed points to begin implementation of the agreement.